dryslot Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 24-48 hours when it was only grazing the south coast, you were banging the its coming north drum...now that it has done so, you think its going to tickle SE? You know how it works, You toss every model that does not jackpot you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 15, 2013 Author Share Posted January 15, 2013 By the way folks radar looks pretty damn good just to my s and w now..............gfs picked up on this a bit at 18z but I think it was under done.........interior mix to snow with coating and nasty am commute? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 24-48 hours when it was only grazing the south coast, you were banging the its coming north drum...now that it has done so, you think its going to tickle SE? Great job by the Kuro. It had this wave more amped up and north beginning this past weekend and sure enough, here it comes for you and me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 21z SREFs look a lot like the 18z GFS. Looks a lot more like a SWFE. Gets the 0C line up near the pike, but almost all the qpf falls before that, and its pretty beefy...0.50" up to the MA/NH border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Great job by the Kuro. It had this wave more amped up and north beginning this past weekend and sure enough, here it comes for you and me. Wrong wave though...the one tonight was the initial system a few of the models including the KURO were playing with...the Wednesday deal is an entirely separate ordeal. Do you still have snow on the ground up there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 21z SREFs look a lot like the 18z GFS. Looks a lot more like a SWFE. Gets the 0C line up near the pike, but almost all the qpf falls before that, and its pretty beefy...0.50" up to the MA/NH border. Will is it just me or have the SREF's mainly been yesterdays news? Or is it that we're still kind of outside their ideal range? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Starting to prepare for what could be an awful awful commute into Boston Wednesday morning... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 NWS Box p/c must be having problems? I'm seeing sunny and clear for the entire week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Will is it just me or have the SREF's mainly been yesterdays news? Or is it that we're still kind of outside their ideal range? Well we are getting inside of 48 hours. So I think their trends should be useful right now. Its still a bit far out, but they do perform well on qpf at this range. That said, I've seen on many occasions where they continue a 12/18z trend on the 21z run and then all the 00z suite doesn't follow. Should be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Well we are getting inside of 48 hours. So I think their trends should be useful right now. Its still a bit far out, but they do perform well on qpf at this range. That said, I've seen on many occasions where they continue a 12/18z trend on the 21z run and then all the 00z suite doesn't follow. Should be interesting. Yeah that last sentence is what I meant. It seems like more times than not you guys will comment on them and then the next main run breaks the other way. by the time the new SREFs are out that originate after the main run time period we already kind of know what happened. Be interesting to see. I vote warmer this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 NWS Box p/c must be having problems? I'm seeing sunny and clear for the entire week.Same here the last hour or soZones ftw? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 NAM a little warmer (0c 8h) up here than the 12z run, but cooler in the mid atlantic nearest the wave through 18 Precip appears to be SE of the 12z position in the mid atlantic...how that equates up here on the trajectory its traveling.....probably SE of the 12z? Temps very similar to the 12z through 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 21z SREFs look a lot like the 18z GFS. Looks a lot more like a SWFE. Gets the 0C line up near the pike, but almost all the qpf falls before that, and its pretty beefy...0.50" up to the MA/NH border. Nerf gun to head (thanks Saki), what's your call for Boston? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Same here the last hour or so Zones ftw? Zones are working This storm looks decent for us a Rt 2 corridor folk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Nerf gun to head (thanks Saki), what's your call for Boston? Lol...wish I could wait a little longer. Right now I'd say an inch or less for Logan, but a couple for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsh Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 On and off sleet & rain in Greenwich commenced about 20 minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Wrong wave though...the one tonight was the initial system a few of the models including the KURO were playing with...the Wednesday deal is an entirely separate ordeal. Do you still have snow on the ground up there? Really? I thought it was the follow up wave all along since that was the only one with cold air in place. I'm calling my depth a trace. It's 50-75% coverage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Lol...wish I could wait a little longer. Right now I'd say an inch or less for Logan, but a couple for you. That's what I feel right now too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Decent snow probs for 4"+ up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Really? I thought it was the follow up wave all along since that was the only one with cold air in place. I'm calling my depth a trace. It's 50-75% coverage. I think it was the first one based on the forky exchanges. The NAM wants to try to develop the third wave..the one models have had for days that plays around and misses. Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Zones are working This storm looks decent for us a Rt 2 corridor folk. I am really shocked we might be getting anything more than a dustingKURO is unstoppable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Lol...wish I could wait a little longer. Right now I'd say an inch or less for Logan, but a couple for you. Good call IMHO. I think we have all kinds of issues not the least of which is the fact that 95% of the time we'll be AOA freezing for the 24 hours preceding the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Good call IMHO. I think we have all kinds of issues not the least of which is the fact that 95% of the time we'll be AOA freezing for the 24 hours preceding the event. I know I may seem like a Debbie lately, but I just know how the climo goes around here. Let's just hope the pattern produces down the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Raining here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 NAM Cranking up that last wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 2-4 for Kevin. 3-6 for mpm through Will. 2-4 for Ray. T-2 for Boston. 4-8 for Maine and parts of nh. That my call fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 I know I may seem like a Debbie lately, but I just know how the climo goes around here. Let's just hope the pattern produces down the road. Yeah this is a gift if it produces, ride the gfs as it makes the most sense in this pattern. In a few days we are in a new regime and things hopefully will be better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 NAM insisting on this obscenely slow solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 NAM is wet compared to even the 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Yeah this is a gift if it produces, ride the gfs as it makes the most sense in this pattern. In a few days we are in a new regime and things hopefully will be better. As you said earlier, hopefully the last bs event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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