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Snow Event 1/15-1/16


Mr Torchey

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  On 1/15/2013 at 4:19 AM, ORH_wxman said:

That's pretty weird looking....almost like what you would see in a norlun or inverted torugh.

Yeah, almost like there's some sort of tug going on with the approaching nrn stream trof over the lakes when you loop thru the mslp imagery.

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  On 1/15/2013 at 4:32 AM, NorEastermass128 said:
Likewise.  Living life on the edge lol
  On 1/15/2013 at 4:30 AM, PeabodyFlood said:

128 is within like 100 yds. Of my house lol, when the setup is meh for the coast I almost always either just make it within snowtopia or just barely get screwed with rain/sleet city.

Hey your outside 128 your safe!! ;)

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  On 1/15/2013 at 4:32 AM, NorEastermass128 said:

Likewise. Living life on the edge lol

Always makes these events so much more exciting, can never tell if we're going to end up with winter fun or a rainy screwzone til its actually here lol. But hey when it sets up right we get destroyed with the good stuff.

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I would say it went a bit north of 12z, but its really close. The ariel coverage of qpf is further north, but the sfc features aren't that different. The 850 temps are almost the same too. The 0C line gets to the south coast at its warmest.

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  On 1/15/2013 at 6:07 AM, cpick79 said:

Will euro didn't have the warmer bl temps on 12/29 wrt to the coastal screw job did it. Not saying these are the same type of events but just by memory I think euro bl temps were too cold for coast on 12/29

 

 

There's probably going to be an area that is warmer than most model guidance literally right on the water. But you go back a mile or two and its cold enough to snow. That's my guess anyway. We'll just have to wait and see. If a GFS scenario happened, then it would be rough for a larger part of BOS metro.

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  On 1/15/2013 at 6:10 AM, ORH_wxman said:

There's probably going to be an area that is warmer than most model guidance literally right on the water. But you go back a mile or two and its cold enough to snow. That's my guess anyway. We'll just have to wait and see. If a GFS scenario happened, then it would be rough for a larger part of BOS metro.

 

So it sounds like most of the 00z models are giving mostly/all snow to NE CT?

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  On 1/15/2013 at 6:13 AM, redsoxdude1714 said:

So it sounds like most of the 00z models are giving mostly/all snow to NE CT?

 

 

Yes...only the GFS would probably change it over there, but really thats after 90% of the system is done and it barely did so. The 18z run change me over here, but 00z didn't.

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  On 1/15/2013 at 6:10 AM, ORH_wxman said:
There's probably going to be an area that is warmer than most model guidance literally right on the water. But you go back a mile or two and its cold enough to snow. That's my guess anyway. We'll just have to wait and see. If a GFS scenario happened, then it would be rough for a larger part of BOS metro.

Thank you for the play by play. Euro I think might be acceptable for here.

Latest sref's?

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