Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 What a freaking bowling ball down in the deep south. So close now to something more dynamic with the late week/early weekend system. Back to the storm at hand. But wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 On 1/15/2013 at 2:39 AM, Saki said: What a freaking bowling ball down in the deep south. So close now to something more dynamic with the late week/early weekend system. Back to the storm at hand. But wow. I think every GEFS run has 1 member try to blow something up with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 On 1/15/2013 at 2:39 AM, Saki said: What a freaking bowling ball down in the deep south. So close now to something more dynamic with the late week/early weekend system. Back to the storm at hand. But wow. Would be nice for another north trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 On 1/15/2013 at 2:40 AM, dendrite said: I think every GEFS run has 1 member try to blow something up with that. On 1/15/2013 at 2:41 AM, weathafella said: Would be nice for another north trend. I think we've got a minute here as we wait for other models so I hope it's okay to go a little OT. Pretty much every operational model developed that into something at one time or another. Most were still misses, I believe there were some really old GFS long range runs that had a system around late week early weekend. If the NAM didn't suffer from major init issues and the timing is real - we'll see in an hour or two anyway...that one has a lot of potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 There's a huge spread in the SREFs for the Wednesday event. Mid level temps are all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Nam manages to keep BOS in northerly winds during the event. Quick peek at FOUS has us with 0.36 all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 On 1/15/2013 at 2:49 AM, weathafella said: Nam manages to keep BOS in northerly winds during the event. Quick peek at FOUS has us with 0.36 all snow. where is our honorable coastal front king scooter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 NAM actually scrapes the Cape with the Friday system...still don't think that one has a enough room to amplify though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 This is the slowest cool down in history. At least the snow's refrozen so it gives some resistance when you walk through it. Maybe a little evaporational cooling has allowed it to freeze. 32.6/23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 This was probably already posted, but I didn't see it. Crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 On 1/15/2013 at 3:02 AM, moneypitmike said: This was probably already posted, but I didn't see it. Crushed. SE CT FTW! Look at that pixel of 4-6" (And near the western suburbs of Hartford) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Whatever I'm going 1-2 bos and hoping for northerly winds and no cf due to light winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 On 1/15/2013 at 3:04 AM, NorEastermass128 said: SE CT FTW! Look at that pixel of 4-6" (And near the western suburbs of Hartford) Thats right over Ginxys house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Okay--I'm out. Hopefully will wake to find lots of tremendous qpf tomorrow. 'night folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Jesus 228 on the 12z euro is so cold lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 RGEM going the NAM route. It's got energy hanging back, will be slower than the last run. The late week/early weekend event is on the agenda. Hopefully as it goes through this run it looks as promising for storm 2 (Wednesday) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 RGEM is really juiced. Looks like a high end advisory criteria event over most of SNE outside of the south coast and Cape/Islands. Maybe even some low end warning lollis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 On 1/15/2013 at 3:19 AM, ORH_wxman said: RGEM is really juiced. Looks like a high end advisory criteria event over most of SNE outside of the south coast and Cape/Islands. Maybe even some low end warning lollis. I care more about NH into ME than I normally would, I think 3-6 is a safe bet Loon to Sunday River, if not maybe more, we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 On 1/15/2013 at 3:22 AM, Saki said: I care more about NH into ME than I normally would, I think 3-6 is a safe bet Loon to Sunday River, if not maybe more, we'll see. Looks like models are still trending north, It will be interesting to see if the Gfs holds serve from 18z as it was amped and the furthest NW or continues the trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 One hell of a jet streak over NNE is modeled leading up to this storm. 200+ knots! At the same time this "wave" coming up from the SE is really just a mish mash of moisture and convectively driven vorticity maxima/PV anomalies. As this all scoots north and enters a broad area of synoptic scale lift in the right entrance region of the jet streak things go to town. This is going to be a tough one to figure out synoptically I'm afraid with the models never doing well handling convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 On 1/15/2013 at 3:19 AM, ORH_wxman said: RGEM is really juiced. Looks like a high end advisory criteria event over most of SNE outside of the south coast and Cape/Islands. Maybe even some low end warning lollis. AK(AKACB)T Did the 12z UKIE introduce any midlevel issues away from the south coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 00z GFS def a good tick south of 18z through 36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 On 1/15/2013 at 3:24 AM, Cold Front said: Looks like models are still trending north, It will be interesting to see if the Gfs holds serve from 18z as it was amped and the furthest NW or continues the trend The 21z SREF plumes are awfully juicy for our area. Here they are (total snow) for Lewiston: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 00z GFS has definitely ticked colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 On 1/15/2013 at 3:40 AM, CT Rain said: 00z GFS has definitely ticked colder. I'm not shocked, it was really amped at 18z. We might be starting to see it come back toward the others while the more suppressed models like the NAM was earlier continue to trend north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 00z GFS is a solid thump! ORH-RAY jackpot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 On 1/15/2013 at 3:40 AM, Arnold214 said: The 21z SREF plumes are awfully juicy for our area. Here they are (total snow) for Lewiston: Nice, Getting into high end advisory area, 2" snow pack left from the "Mild Up", Going to need to rebuild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 On 1/15/2013 at 2:49 AM, weathafella said: Nam manages to keep BOS in northerly winds during the event. Quick peek at FOUS has us with 0.36 all snow.idk if I entered my lat long right on 12z euro but looks like south/se winds at 48 then south at 54? Lol talk about opposite. Can't be right on wind direction but it looks cold. Anyone else have another product with a sounding for bos on 12z euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 On 1/15/2013 at 3:41 AM, ORH_wxman said: I'm not shocked, it was really amped at 18z. We might be starting to see it come back toward the others while the more suppressed models like the NAM was earlier continue to trend north Yeah, I think you were right earlier with the 18z being to amped, 0z GFS still a decent hit for most on here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 The winds are pretty ugly for the coast on the 00z GFS...hope for more of a Euro/NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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