Bostonseminole Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 For the idiots... U need to have the paper next to it with today's date! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Have to say though you constantly doubt me and ask for pics, so you want respect show it. I know some serious ball busting goes on but when it comes to obs most of us are very serious,Scooter, Ryan and you calling my Obs fables, guess its a joke but it's one of those jokes where it's funny but there is a an underneath tone. I ask for pics all the time because you do . You and Joe always ask for pics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 No real change to the snow forecast for 5.... Tickled the 3-6 west across more of RI and SE Mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 No real change to the snow forecast for 5.... Tickled the 3-6 west across more of RI and SE Mass. So the max amount you can see me NE CT getting is 2 inches? Really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Light snow in New Haven, visibility is down a tick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 SE MA could get nailed. Hoping for 2-4 at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 I ask for pics all the time because you do . You and Joe always ask for picsCuz I love pics of weather? I joke with you but I know you are serious about obs. So Am I. Great cover dude, you should have great piles by Mid Feb, can you challenge 11? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Got a dusting here except on the street Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
educate Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Well they did not upgrade to warnings as I though they would. Only Essex County and Barnstable County. Everyone else is under Advisories. read the warning. indicated that upgrades to all eastern areas remain plausible and changes might be made to headlines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 This trend would make me very nervous about higher amounts... 16z to 17z to 18z HRRR cut back significantly (NE zoom not available yet, but you get the idea): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Cuz I love pics of weather? I joke with you but I know you are serious about obs. So Am I. Great cover dude, you should have great piles by Mid Feb, can you challenge 11?I doubt it unless the Fri nite/ Saturday storm can get over a foot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 So the max amount you can see me NE CT getting is 2 inches? Really? It's not about the "max amount I can see" it's about what's likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Ryans map looks reasonable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 This trend would make me very nervous about higher amounts... 16z to 17z to 18z HRRR cut back significantly (NE zoom not available yet, but you get the idea): acsnw_sfc_f15.png I don't seriously use that outside of about 6hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 fyi...if you guys have obs try to keep them to the obs thread. If you're posting disco or models/analysis we can keep it here for awhile longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Loving the hourly useless hrrr updates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 SE MA could get nailed. Hoping for 2-4 at home. Talk dirty to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 I doubt it unless the Fri nite/ Saturday storm can get over a foot Mid FEB. Absolutely loving the look of weeklies and long term. Anyways still no now here. Ryan's map is probably close to reality if nothing unusual happens although I am sticking with my 2-4 with EMA 3-6 with those lollipops the size of the ones on the Candyland game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 I dont even know if that weenie snow map is going to make sense given the high ratios we'll see. You should look at QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Flakes here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 It's not about the "max amount I can see" it's about what's likely.That doesn't make sense then. The max amounts you can see should be your top number that you publicly issue. That way if Stafford gets 4 inches and you had 2-4 you don't bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 I dont even know if that weenie snow map is going to make sense given the high ratios we'll see. You should look at QPF. If the SREFs come remotely close to correct. At 0.5", I see 6-8". 12-15:1 ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 SE MA could get nailed. Hoping for 2-4 at home. Box has BOS 73% for 4 inches. 29% 8 inches. I think 2-4 is a reasonable forecast though box suggests 4-6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 That doesn't make sense then. The max amounts you can see should be your top number that you publicly issue. That way if Stafford gets 4 inches and you had 2-4 you don't bust Not really... it's both deterministic and probabilistic. I could see 4" if everything goes totally right but I don't think it's likely. I try to produce a range that's reasonable and most likely. To be honest I think <1" is more likely than 4" for your back yard lol. Also... keep in mind... most people fixate on the higher number. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rivers Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 have my coating already, comming down at a steady light clip here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 I went in earlier,,but my youngest daughter came down with the puke bug this morning and my oldest had to have a tooth pulled today at the ortho..so I left the office at 1:00 so i could bring her..Puke bug I'm sure will run thru the household..ugh Hope she feels better. Got the same dusting here in just a few minutes.....now just weenie flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Box has BOS 73% for 4 inches. 29% 8 inches. I think 2-4 is a reasonable forecast though box suggests 4-6. I'm mobile so don't take my calls verbatim until I get a better look lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 New p/c has 1-3, new zfp has 2-4.. I'll take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 I dont even know if that weenie snow map is going to make sense given the high ratios we'll see. You should look at QPF. Especially given ORH is currently 22/9 with -SN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Not really... it's both deterministic and probabilistic. I could see 4" if everything goes totally right but I don't think it's likely. I try to produce a range that's reasonable and most likely. To be honest I think <1" is more likely than 4" for your back yard lol. Also... keep in mind... most people fixate on the higher number. Likewise, headlines are average over the zone, not the maximum amount. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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