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Jan 20-24 storm window opens (Jan 22 potential)


Typhoon Tip

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Not feeling it with this setup. I mean maybe there's an outside chance at eeking past 4'' depending on exactly where the norlun sets up but I think 2-4'' is a safe call.

Many are giving themselves vertigo over every new run. Sometimesthese things can surprise a bit inland as well like the Dec 07 one did here. I think we have a good idea where the max zones may be. As for totals, it's probably best to keep expectations conservative, but to know that some spots will get lucky. We just need to nowcast it like a t'storm obs day.
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Such huge bust potential up here. GYX just upgraded coastal Cumberland and York Counties to WSWs. The text of the warning makes clear how much uncertainty there is, but people will latch onto the fact that there's a WSW and will expect the higher totals. I'd think that schools, etc. will want wait until early tomorrow AM to make calls on closings.

 

Don't they always wait for morning?  That's 95% of the time here.

 

New BOX snowfall map is out as of 315pm.

 

attachicon.gifStormTotalSnowFcst.png

 

Some of the probs for 8 & 12" are pretty high too.

 

 

I'm not so sure on that 2-4" for NW areas.  Riding the NAM?

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Yeah, I don't get it sometimes, You are not bad at knowing your stuff, I think some on here do it just to bust your balls but others who knows

Some do and I get that. I do it all the time to people..But there are some idiots who are serious..Like Wiz for one example. Like the other day when Forky asked me to post a picture of a spot in the yard that had sun exposure..I mean really? has it come to that?

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Finally...  24hr qpf from 12z MM5 is out...

 

Not sure why this isn't referenced so much anymore, but it may be pretty realistic... we shall see.

 

Light greenish in southeast MA is ~0.4"

0.5" line cuts through south of Plymouth and all of Cape is > 0.5"

 

attachicon.gifpcp24.36.0000.gif

yea I really like the MM 5 but by the time the 4 K comes out its already running the next run, lol. I think it's run on Andy's Tandy
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Some do and I get that. I do it all the time to people..But there are some idiots who are serious..Like Wiz for one example. Like the other day when Forky asked me to post a picture of a spot in the yard that had sun exposure..I mean really? has it come to that?

 

 

I like to once in a while as well, And i am sure you know if i do it to you its all in fun, But others like you said, I think are serious

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Some do and I get that. I do it all the time to people..But there are some idiots who are serious..Like Wiz for one example. Like the other day when Forky asked me to post a picture of a spot in the yard that had sun exposure..I mean really? has it come to that?

Have to say though you constantly doubt me and ask for pics, so you want respect show it. I know some serious ball busting goes on but when it comes to obs most of us are very serious,Scooter, Ryan and you calling my Obs fables, guess its a joke but it's one of those jokes where it's funny but there is an underneath tone.
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