CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Let's change that inv trough to a low center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Let's change that inv trough to a low center.What would GAY think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 What would GAY think? Bigger snow panties? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 -20C 850s down to C/S NJ by thur on the euro behind tuesday system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Lay down some powder and then hounds of hell charge in FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Day 7 snow on the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Day 7 snow on the euro.So 2 snowstorms for us next week? Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 what weenie run of the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Epic. Lets hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Does EURO continue the trend of light snow in SNE on tuesday? How far west does it get with QPF? -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Day 7 snow on the euro. Day 7 has been prolific with the snows this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Epic. Lets hope. Brief synopsis ... please. I am working and don't have time to back track thread. After this season and last winter, I need something to hang my hat on!!! Maybe next week is it!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Brief synopsis ... please. I am working and don't have time to back track thread. After this season and last winter, I need something to hang my hat on!!! Maybe next week is it!!cold overall...chance of light snows Tue, bigger storm poss Friday. Weenie run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 cold overall...chance of light snows Tue, bigger storm poss Friday. Weenie run Thanks, maybe instead of hanging my hat, I'll hang my weenie!!!!! :weenie: Back to mixing I go, one eye on this thread all the while!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Its 37-39 hills and 40-44 coast for 1 day. Snowpack in tact FTW Saturday Partly sunny, with a high near 42. Southwest wind 10 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph. Saturday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. Southwest wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Sunday Mostly sunny, with a high near 40. Breezy, with a west wind 13 to 21 mph. http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=41.81738473661011&lon=-72.38548278808594 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Epic. Lets hope. Epic? I reserve epic for something that fits the definition. This just looks cold with a couple of chances for some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Epic? I reserve epic for something that fits the definition. This just looks cold with a couple of chances for some snow. Well that's some of the coldest air we've seen with the chance for snow, and the extended looked good. Obviously subjective. True epic would be that week in Jan 2005 that Bob mentioned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 I am more interested in the storm the Euro is picking up around the 25th - 26th. Long way out, but I think that could be the real deal. Still more interested in this period. Quick discussion on how I see this evolving ... http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/blog/3/entry-35-increased-storminess-for-last-week-of-january/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Well that's some of the coldest air we've seen with the chance for snow, and the extended looked good. Obviously subjective. True epic would be that week in Jan 2005 that Bob mentioned. Yeah. You can't just throw around terms like epic, bomb, or air apparent. It isn't right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Yeah. You can't just throw around terms like epic, bomb, or air apparent. It isn't right. It was just tongue and cheek too...given these last 15 months...it probably qualifies..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Tipper. The Mon nite/ Tues event is like a 2-4 or 3-6 fluff bomb regionwide i see one gfs ensemble member that shows 3-6. one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 It was just tongue and cheek too...given these last 15 months...it probably qualifies..lol. it's all relative. Hey, an unpredicted snow squall dumped 1.5" in Norman at the end of December, and people at OU are practically scrambling to do case studies on the epic model bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Surprised no one mentioned the JMA.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Still more interested in this period. Quick discussion on how I see this evolving ... http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/blog/3/entry-35-increased-storminess-for-last-week-of-january/ so if I am getting you right Sam you see the 26th or so as the first, the SWFE. Then you see a chance for a digging amplifying system which I suppose could be snow up here but a changeover further south and east? would that second system then help build our NAO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Surprised no one mentioned the JMA.... This one. http://grib2.com/jma/CONUS_JMA_1000-500_SLPTHKPRP_96HR.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 so if I am getting you right Sam you see the 26th or so as the first, the SWFE. Then you see a chance for a digging amplifying system which I suppose could be snow up here but a changeover further south and east? would that second system then help build our NAO? Right, so I feel pretty good about the 26th storm threat ... whatever comes before it will be minor IMO. The s/w that follows the 26th might bring a brief warm up to the Ohio Valley ... New England is might stay cold given the persistent confluence. But that could be another wintry threat around 29-30. Haven't looked at much after that ... just talking about how the CONUS should open up for increased storminess for the last week of January Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Right, so I feel pretty good about the 26th storm threat ... whatever comes before it will be minor IMO. The s/w that follows the 26th might bring a brief warm up to the Ohio Valley ... New England is might stay cold given the persistent confluence. But that could be another wintry threat around 29-30. Haven't looked at much after that ... just talking about how the CONUS should open up for increased storminess for the last week of January Cool! Maybe time for you to plan a trip back. i have been feeling good about late next week for a while....just seems like the right time given the slow progression of events and the evolution of the MJO. I would think that at some point, with the MJO going into 7 and 8, and the strat warming, that we will get a real -NAO. The cold should be able to stay around for quite awhile. Seems to me that we get a real stretch of winter up here and at some point the NAO brings the mid atlantic in the game. My goal is always to exceed 2 feet on the level every winter and we just might be there by the end of the first week of Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 18, 2013 Author Share Posted January 18, 2013 Moderation: I have no issue if you want this thread to be used for the overall colder and stormier pattern as I can see there are others chomping at the bit to discuss stuff beyond Tuesday's system. I will change the title if you need - Folks, NCEP: "......THERE IS REASONABLE EVIDENCE OF A COASTAL WAVE DEVELOPING ATOP THIS SLOPED ARCTICFRONT...AND BENEATH A COMPLEX 250MB JET STRUCTURE EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. ENOUGH SUPPORT/EVIDENCE DURING THE LAST 48 HOURS TO REQUEST A SERIES OF NOAA G4 WINTER RECON FLIGHTS TO SAMPLE THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BETWEEN HAWAII AND ALASKA..." Not sure when that sounde data would make it into the grid, but clearly there are top minds onto this issue/volatility in the domain for the time frame in question, so it's definitely interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 18, 2013 Author Share Posted January 18, 2013 Tipper. The Mon nite/ Tues event is like a 2-4 or 3-6 fluff bomb regionwide I tell you what, Kevin, the Euro has zippo wiggle room - if that deep layer gets even a little bit more amped when that wavy turns the corner in the OV, that would be a NJ Model bomb *( and I mean actual deepening rates ). Very very close there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 18, 2013 Author Share Posted January 18, 2013 One can see why G4 flights are being requested... It has been a long long time since this type of thickness packing has been modeled, and situated so close to the Gulf Stream.. You can't fiddle around with that - that's a like a loaded gun when dad left the cabinet unlocked, oops. If run a 110kt 500mb wind stream over the top of that intense of a frontal slope than the models would quite likely be underdone with sfc result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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