Baroclinic Zone Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 SREfs look nice a nice hit. Flirts my area with the 0.5" contour. I may bump my 2-4" to a 3-5" deal. Negligible but I feel good this AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Signs of low level instability tonight ahead of the vort max. Keep an eye on that as there's going to be some enhanced snows with that. Will be impossible to tell where till it gets going, but it might start out pretty far west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 SREFs really are nice for the south coast of SNE from RI to Phil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Signs of low level instability tonight ahead of the vort max. Keep an eye on that as there's going to be some enhanced snows with that. Will be impossible to tell where till it gets going, but it might start out pretty far west OK, who told you that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 OK, who told you that?Huh? No one did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 OK, who told you that? Probably noyes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Huh? No one did Well there is some..just wondering why you said that...lol. So part of me thinks you may get clipped with the blossoming area of snow as it heads east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 NAM has a CCB for Phil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Well there is some..just wondering why you said that...lol. So part of me thinks you may get clipped with the blossoming area of snow as it heads east. Lol do you think I don't know or look at these things when I make my forecasts? I think that area of convergence starts over West central CT and heads east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 E MA getting clobbered at 24 per sim radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 NAM tries to pivot the good stuff down from the north shore here tomorrow morning. Still shows you the banded nature of this thing...IE feast or famine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tolland Death Band Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Blizz what is the KURO printing out for n central Tolland county? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 NAM tries to pivot the good stuff down from the north shore here tomorrow morning. Still shows you the banded nature of this thing...IE feast or famine. Yeah...big bust potential either way. School districts will have tough calls tomorrow. Delayed openings would probably be the best best for south and north shores. (Maybe even inside 128). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 NAM tries to pivot the good stuff down from the north shore here tomorrow morning. Still shows you the banded nature of this thing...IE feast or famine. Fully prepared to wake up to green grass tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Right on the edge from both the north south and east, looks like the NAM and SREF are just close enough for a nice 3-6" but there's basically no wiggle room and high screw potential lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 NAM tries to pivot the good stuff down from the north shore here tomorrow morning. Still shows you the banded nature of this thing...IE feast or famine. That's the other whole piece to this that's a big challenge - does that meso-low pivot a band of heavy snow south then southeast, scraping BOS/PYM/Cape as the whole thing pivoted and rotates out to sea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 NAM tries to pivot the good stuff down from the north shore here tomorrow morning. Still shows you the banded nature of this thing...IE feast or famine. Yeah, it's not one conjealed precip shield. I think areas in and around BOS 10-15mi are going to be wondering where the snow is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 That's the other whole piece to this that's a big challenge - does that meso-low pivot a band of heavy snow south then southeast, scraping BOS/PYM/Cape as the whole thing pivoted and rotates out to sea Personally, I think the risk is more of a screwjob here vs a bust in the positive direction. I'd feel better on the north and south shores. But who knows...it will only take an hour or two of good snows to add another 2-3" on top of what you may expect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Blizz what is the KURO printing out for n central Tolland county?2-4 I believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 RAP is quite nice here. But, hr 18 is like hr 72 on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Personally, I think the risk is more of a screwjob here vs a bust in the positive direction. I'd feel better on the north and south shores. But who knows...it will only take an hour or two of good snows to add another 2-3" on top of what you may expect. Eh, I love our odds when gambling with a good Norlun. Historically we do pretty well in those situations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 2-4 I believe 2-3 would not surprise me there. High ratios and no wind...you may see through the snow to the ground..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Eh, I love our odds when gambling with a good Norlun. Historically we do pretty well in those situations. Definitely a gamble. We deserve a hot hand for once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 2-3 would not surprise me there. High ratios and no wind...you may see through the snow to the ground..lol.Yeah that's what I'm envisioning though I worry the wind is just gonna blow the stuff all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Yeah that's what I'm envisioning though I worry the wind is just gonna blow the stuff all over the place. It will after. Sublimate a bit too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 It will after. Sublimate a bit too.Thankfully already a base so I won't be looking at half grass and half 6 inches blown into drifts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Thankfully already a base so I won't be looking at half grass and half 6 inches blown into drifts I just hope I can grab 2-3. I know the risk is also higher depending on where the banding sets up....but it's tough to be bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 I heard all these older ladies talking about three to five inches for the springfield area when i was at coffee this morning but i do not see any evidence to support that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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