TalcottWx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Now all we need is a Patriots loss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 I do think CHH to PVC is a good spot... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Now all we need is a Patriots lossJay my man, nothing has changed since yesterday, where the tail set's up is the key. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Yeah the two jackpot area looks on point Ryan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 I do think CHH to PVC is a good spot... Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Yeah the two jackpot area looks on point Ryan. I hated putting that awful sucker hole over BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 First cut at snowfall totals. Thinking 2 maxima... one on the south coast and Cape/Islands where inflow is maximized. Models have developed a little weenie band here from Long Island out toward the Cape. The second one is the one we've been tracking... thinking it's from Cape Ann north but more likely from Portsmouth up into portions of S ME. I'm not nearly as bullish as the NWS but it's certainly a tough forecast. not far from what I just put together: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 I hated putting that awful sucker hole over BOS. Go with winter trend. In all honesty it makes sens...the map that is. Two weenies LLJs there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 not far from what I just put together: ImageUploadedByTapatalk1358718991.172678.jpg Nice... yeah pretty close. I could see a decent band start to fire up on Long Island and sort of streak northeast toward the Cape. Plus some OES enhancement I feel good about 3" or so most of the Cape though as your map shows the Bourne/Sandwich/Famlouth area is more tenuous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Just enough snow to lay a white carpet in advance of the cold to increase the albedo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Go with winter trend. In all honesty it makes sens...the map that is. Two weenies LLJs there. I did like putting Kevin in C-2" though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Maybe you guys will be right. It just seems a dusting of snow doesn't seem possible based in what we're looking at and past analogs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Still think this will come close to verifying with 2-4 from here east..good luck to all who lay forecasts on the line..the weenies will watch and observe from the sidelines Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Maybe you guys will be right. It just seems a dusting of snow doesn't seem possible based in what we're looking at and past analogsBlizz beginning his slow step down process to reality lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 I can see the WSW being warranted at this time. Downgrade as needed. Plus, with the blowing of the snow and the timing (Tues AM commute could be an issue) I think it is fine. I will enjoy my 1.1" if I get it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Yeah Gfs looks like 2-4 for most in SNE. Debatable if we toss or not30:1 FTW?Only >0.25 on Cape/Islands. Most of CT near or just under 0.10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Will be interesting to see how much this changes over the next 24 StormTotalSnowFcst.png Pretty high probabilities actually http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php I like seeing the 2-4" they have over my house, but I'll consider myself fortunate with an inch. Yeah Gfs looks like 2-4 for most in SNE. Debatable if we toss or not Your prior statements about the utility of the GFS leave no wiggle room--you must toss it. Print it out and it might come in handy as toilet paper or for lighting a fire it can be of no use to you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 30:1 FTW? Only >0.25 on Cape/Islands. Most of CT near or just under 0.10. Im not looking at qpf. You never make forecasts based on qpf amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 12-15:1 ratios sound reasonable with this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 12-15:1 ratios sound reasonable with this Good leafblower snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Ratiois should be a good 20:1 I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 If we can establish even a little weak WAA, then 1-2" widespread is possible. It won't take much to wring out moisture in such a cold atmosphere. We try to do that especially s coast which helps with the mini jackpot near the Cape and maybe srn RI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Good leafblower snow It would be actually if it was just a few inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Tim Kelly still going for 3" widespread. 8" NE MA - SE NH - SW ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Tim Kelly still going for 3" widespread. 8" NE MA - SE NH - SW ME. Blizzard on the table still? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Well here in this area, we should just treasure every inch. I hate to see an inch sublimated by Tuesday Night and bare ground for this cold...but take what we can get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 take the whining to the banter thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 take the whining to the banter thread Huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 take the whining to the banter threadhuh, getting antsy the SREFS cut you down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Semper911 Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Meh, you taint for about an hour on the Euro, lol. Taint isn't a bad thing if its sleet for a couple hours. Think of how many of those '94 storms had a bit of taint. Seriously. Even Dec 6, 2005 had taint, and it was the best storm ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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