weathafella Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 I said hope for 2-3" so I was very grounded. The fail is for the WSW...I think that's bullish IMHO. Seems like a total cya. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
educate Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Seems like a total cya. extrapolates gray forecast nicely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Watches up here. I think I get dry slotted. 1 or 2". Thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Seems like a total cya. I understand how volatile these are, but if we had better 950-850 inflow I could understand. I think those parameters are more for Cstl Essex county and points north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Pretty high probabilities actually http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 An the cape perhaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 I said hope for 2-3" so I was very grounded. The fail is for the WSW...I think that's bullish IMHO. feel bad for noaa, they kind of have to follow their own models which have been useless. Same thing happened down south with the last one. not over yet Scott, but I have a hard time going against the Euro even understanding the grid behind it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 feel bad for noaa, they kind of have to follow their own models which have been useless. Same thing happened down south with the last one. not over yet Scott, but I have a hard time going against the Euro even understanding the grid behind it. It's not about the euro though. I think it's too low in ne ma and se nh. Euro doesn't look correct there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 This is why you don't make 6-12" snowfall maps 2d out for a mesoscale event. I made mine with colored pencils...erasable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 A look at who issued it is really all you need to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Although a WSW seems bullish, they can always adjust down to a WWA if necessary. With the challenging nature of nailing banding situations like this down, I don't think it's a terrible call. Especially when it may impact a large city like Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 GFS looking decent so far. better than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 GFS looking decent so far. better than 12z Good for PWM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 A look at who issued it is really all you need to seeI see no problem with this. 4-8 seems likely somewhere in EMass, GYX did the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 3-6 for mby sounds reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 5h looks better. 'diggier', more energy. slower coming east. all good signs. no promises yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 3-6 for mby sounds reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 First and final 1-3 across entire area ivt jackpots of course lollis to 8 in area TBD, this stuff is going to blow and sublimate like crazy outside jackpot areas, winter is almost here, its going to snow at least a little bit I am happy and good luck to all, except the Pats:) Enjoy guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 RGEM doesn't look bad. I take it the 18z is more robust than earlier runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 I have a better chance of that in mby than you do yet you have been banging that drum for days lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 raleighwx stopped updating for me early on in the run, so I have no idea what the rest shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 GFS bonafide sne disaster @ 42. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 raleighwx stopped updating for me early on in the run, so I have no idea what the rest shows. 1-2 for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 2-4 but congrats Phil Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 First cut at snowfall totals. Thinking 2 maxima... one on the south coast and Cape/Islands where inflow is maximized. Models have developed a little weenie band here from Long Island out toward the Cape. The second one is the one we've been tracking... thinking it's from Cape Ann north but more likely from Portsmouth up into portions of S ME. I'm not nearly as bullish as the NWS but it's certainly a tough forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Jay hawk FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 2-4 but congrats PhilYeah Gfs looks like 2-4 for most in SNE. Debatable if we toss or not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 First cut at snowfall totals. Thinking 2 maxima... one on the south coast and Cape/Islands where inflow is maximized. Models have developed a little weenie band here from Long Island out toward the Cape. The second one is the one we've been tracking... thinking it's from Cape Ann north but more likely from Portsmouth up into portions of S ME. I'm not nearly as bullish as the NWS but it's certainly a tough forecast. good forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Jayhawk FTW After poring over the data last night it was an easy call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 It is what it is. Told you it's feast or famine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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