Typhoon Tip Posted January 20, 2013 Author Share Posted January 20, 2013 OT but Euro appears about to deliver on Friday. weekend rule? ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 20, 2013 Author Share Posted January 20, 2013 of course. ...my typical Euro site won't update, and I have noticed that when that happens, the run is problematic. hm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Euro sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 looks the 03z srefs held serve.12 and 24h progs still good for +0.5" for a good chunk of eastern areas. greatest south and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 06z NAM is a solid hit for just about all of sne. se ma and cc get hit hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Norlun feature looks awfully nice on the NAM for MA/the Berks and those parts. Clipper also deepens to bring decent good QPF to SE RI/MA including the cape especially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 06z NAM is a solid hit for just about all of sne. se ma and cc get hit hard make that ne ma. wow, nam going bonkers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 lol nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 snow probs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 6z NAM and 3z SREFs go bonkers for sure. They go to town for SE and NE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 6z nam 1.28" kbvy 1.18" kbos 0.83" kpym 0.64" korh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 About the only certainty I can see with this is that Jay is prime for an epic meltdown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 About the only certainty I can see with this is that Jay is prime for an epic meltdown. Agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DFRI Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 6z nam 1.28" kbvy 1.18" kbos 0.83" kpym 0.64" korh What does it look like for PVD? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 What does it look like for PVD? 0.45" kpvd But don't take these numbers too firmly... these high amounts in NE MA are in part due to a meso-low (see below), and that will be hard to pinpoint this far out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 snow probs That would be awesome for the eastern folks--biggest impact of the year (hopefully short-lived based on what may happen later in the week). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Based on everything ..it seems 3-6 regionwide seems to be the right forecast with some localized areas getting 5-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 So the euro was basically nothing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 feeling pretty good about this. somewhere between BOS and CHH gets at least a plowable event i think - may very well be that whole zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 feeling pretty good about this. somewhere between BOS and CHH gets at least a plowable event i think - may very well be that whole zone. Bring your thoughts west to MPM area ..again based on blend of everything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Looks better than I expected last night, especially for eastern areas An inch here would be ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Isn't 2-4 inches plowable? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 This idea doesn't look too bad.. 2-4 from here east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Bring your thoughts west to MPM area ..again based on blend of everything there will probably be flakes flying region-wide...just not comfortable with much inland away from the western end of the convergence zone. there could be some decent stuff over the interior on the tail end of the trough but have to think that will be more localized in nature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Based on the NAM everything ..it seems 3-6 regionwide seems to be the right forecast with some localized areas getting 5-10 Fixed. If the NORLUN plays out well, I think the ratios may allow for some lollies considerably higher than the 5-10" you have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Isn't 2-4 inches plowable?This winter they seem to drop the blades for an inch hereSharpening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Isn't 2-4 inches plowable? I use 3" as my general threshold as to whether to shovel or not. If I were a town manager, I'd apply that for plowing as well. Exceptions allowed based on other forecast elements. Hoping the cool air can arrive quickly. 30.4/26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Box sums up the wide spread in models: Models... there are three different camps for this solution to play out. Models are indicating that a inverted trough/norlun trough will set up sometime Monday night and into Tuesday. The NAM/sref models are more robust and give the region significant snowfall accums. The UKMET/GFS are the in between models as the ec/Canadian are the less robust and have the axis of higher precipitation offshore. Because of these different solutions have trended with a massive blend between the GFS/NAM/ec to begin to trend the forecast to a proper solution. Keep in mind that the trough and heavier axis can shift in any direction at the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 while the euro doesn't have the big precip amounts (its meager at best) - it does have a nice axis of low level convergence over Mass Bay / CC / E MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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