Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,588
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

Jan 20-24 storm window opens (Jan 22 potential)


Typhoon Tip

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.9k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Here's the thing... I'd like  to see the globals produce enough synoptic scale lift and inflow in the boundary layer to produce a decent snow across the region as a whole while we try to pin down who gets nailed by the NORLUN. The globals are so dry and unimpressive I'm a bit worried. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Imo what the nam is converging upon is rapid deepener upon exit scenario.   Hard to believe that much Q forcing "look" riding over the top of such a steep frontal slow, which resides over top cP/Maritime interface, can happen without it.  This situation is DEFINITELY a higher resolution model type requirement.  

 

General rule of thumb for v-max is 1.5D south of the Sound and this situation is ideal.  The operational GFS has the mid level jet dynamics but doesn't muster the same sfc response.   Not sure what the situation is with the Euro but ... this kind of reminds me of Dec 2005 (NOT as anolog) but that two was a situation where weak and or SE low placement was abruptly realized close and poppy-

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...