Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Classic snow sky now. Should start fairly soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 7:16 PM, wxsniss said: Realistic for these feast-or-famine meso events... the screwzone / jackpot are yet to be nailed down. Awesome nowcasting event. We're within 24 hours... riding the RAP, HRRRPrimary/Dev1, (?MM5) here on out. MM5 http://cheget.msrc.sunysb.edu/loop/12km.pcp3.html Same general idea of 2 areas of max snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 7:08 PM, dendrite said: The great thing about all of these meso models is that you can always find one that jackpots you. lol, Every event would qualify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 I like a dusting to 2 or 3 imby. To me anything over 3" is a big win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 And since I keep mentioning it... 12z MM5 (takes ridiculously long to update)... I have no idea how this compares to newer Hi-Res models 18-21: 21-24: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 I would sacrifice a couple ravens fans for that MM5 qpf max to come south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Preparing myself for an awful commute home tonight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 7:24 PM, Rollo Tomasi said: I like a dusting to 2 or 3 imby. To me anything over 3" is a big win I think you'll do just fine there on the water, Just waiting on the 15z SREFs and NAM to make my final call imby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 "I need snow" is banging his head on his desk over that first map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 ya nice sucker hole On 1/21/2013 at 7:26 PM, moneypitmike said: "I need snow" is banging his head on his desk over that first map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 I see the WWA was reissued at 12:30--does that mean BOX is not expanding them? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 7:08 PM, dendrite said: The great thing about all of these meso models is that you can always find one that jackpots you. the NMM goes nuts east of the cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 No mention of BL issues along the immediate SE coast? Looks like it could be a pasty 33* snow along the SE shore, maybe slightly higher along the cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 How long until the sref? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 7:30 PM, BostonWX said: No mention of BL issues along the immediate SE coast? Looks like it could be a pasty 33* snow along the SE shore, maybe slightly higher along the cape. Not even a chance of mixing the soundings are great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 7:28 PM, forkyfork said: The great thing about all of these meso models is that you can always find one that jackpots you.the NMM goes nuts east of the cape NMM is such a weenie model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 7:31 PM, sbos_wx said: Not even a chance of mixing the soundings are great Well not mixing, but lower ratios? Could create more of an even spread of totals from the Cape through the south shore than expected. 2M temps are 33 at PYM for a time during the heaviest precip. 36-37 at CHH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 7:30 PM, BostonWX said: No mention of BL issues along the immediate SE coast? Looks like it could be a pasty 33* snow along the SE shore, maybe slightly higher along the cape. It'll hover around 32F for a while before plummeting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 7:30 PM, sbos_wx said: How long until the sref?They still look good from E MA into SE NH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Srefs look good not sure how they compare to 09z though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 7:32 PM, BostonWX said: Not even a chance of mixing the soundings are great Well not mixing, but lower ratios? Could create more of an even spread of totals from the Cape through the south shore than expected Its not like an isothermal 0C layer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 7:31 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: NMM is such a weenie modelso there won't be a warm core mesolow with an eyewall and 50 kt winds? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 I'm hoping for the 3 inches or a bit more here in downtown Boston... First real legit chance of snow since I've started school here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 7:35 PM, forkyfork said: NMM is such a weenie modelso there won't be a warm core mesolow with an eyewall and 50 kt winds? I'm just saying it does crazy stuff all the time. That wasn't aimed at you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 7:30 PM, BostonWX said: No mention of BL issues along the immediate SE coast? Looks like it could be a pasty 33* snow along the SE shore, maybe slightly higher along the cape. ~Not with temps at 31/16 and upper levels at -10C and lower. I think it'll be plenty fluffy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 7:33 PM, dendrite said: They still look good from E MA into SE NH They arced the 0.5" contour into SE MA/RI now. 1" tickles the elbow of CC now. Good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 7:36 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: I'm just saying it does crazy stuff all the time. That wasn't aimed at you.i'm kidding. i think your quotes are messing up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 7:34 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: Its not like an isothermal 0C layer It looks like a real shallow layer at the surface. But with a SE/ESE wind for a period of time, I gotta think parts of the cape will struggle with accum for a period monday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 7:28 PM, moneypitmike said: I see the WWA was reissued at 12:30--does that mean BOX is not expanding them? They need to be updated every 8 hours or they expire and drop off the maps. Could be either no expansion, or just needed to update them before the main package, so don't read too much into it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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