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Lake Effect Snow Potential 1/30- 2/06


Jonger

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DTW picked up another 0.5" with this late morning/early afternoon snow squalls, though I only managed just a dusting of 0.1". So the Jan 31/Feb 1 event total was 3.4" at DTW and 3.1" imby...very good for pure LES. The depth has settled to a crunchy 2" of powder, there are plow piles....and a clipper is on the way. Only had to have 2 days with bare ground this go around following a torch, unlike the 9 days we saw with the torch the 2nd week of January.

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6z/12z NAM and WRF hinting at some easterly enhancement later tonight and tomorrow for Toronto. Not a huge deal but it could add up to a couple of inches. GFS/RGEM on the other hand keep winds SSW and everything offshore.

The NAM  has a very weak easterly flow off of ontario but keeps the band offshore. 

 

WRF:

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Looks really intense on radar. Pics would be awesome. :)

 

Received 5.5-6 inches in 3 hours last night here but the real show was north of here. A foot of snow by my parents house so far. Here is a few pictures my dad took. Here is latest spotter reports as well.

 

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=buf&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF&format=ci&version=1

 

 

http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/841/febles.jpg/'>febles.jpg

 

http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/210/febles1.jpg/'>febles1.jpg

 

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Well, the WRF does bring it onshore, as is illustrated by the 2nd map you posted. The first map is the GFS.  

Nope first image is the NAM but for some reason it is showing up as the GFS. If you look in the bottom left corner it illustrates that better. Sorry for the confusion. RUC looks really interesting especially for the oshawa/whitby.

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Welcome! Were you the one nicknamed "the hammer" on the accuweather forums?

 

Yes I was.  I sent over a dozen emails and never heard back from anyone. I really don't know what happened....no worries, I'm glad to be here now!  

Been a pretty uneventful winter, but nice to see some of the snowbelts getting hammered with LE. 

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6z/12z NAM and WRF hinting at some easterly enhancement later tonight and tomorrow for Toronto. Not a huge deal but it could add up to a couple of inches. GFS/RGEM on the other hand keep winds SSW and everything offshore.

 

Has there ever been a snow band from Lake Ontario which extended to Kitchener/Waterloo?

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Hey folks, I'm new here. From Hamilton.

I got booted off accuweather but I'm not sure why, and with no reply to my many emails asking for help from the mods. Apparently their administration and organization is as top notch as their forecasts. Lol...slam. 

 

Was really happy to find this board. I'm a big weather fan and like many of you, love snow storms!  Which means this isn't a great place to live.  haha  So far I'm impressed with Americanwx.  Looks really good and well organized. 

Cheers

Hey,

Sorry to hear about that. Bigmt tried to keep us updated with your situation. Happy to see you here though, i have been posting here a bit more lately and am impressed with americanwx so far. Welcome!

Blizz

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Nope first image is the NAM but for some reason it is showing up as the GFS. If you look in the bottom left corner it illustrates that better. Sorry for the confusion. RUC looks really interesting especially for the oshawa/whitby.

attachicon.gifcref_t7sfc_f24.png

 

Yeah, the identification on that map is weird. Well, it's all going to come down to whether we can spawn a little low pressure reflection just to our south. It'll probably come down to nowcasting.

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Hey,

Sorry to hear about that. Bigmt tried to keep us updated with your situation. Happy to see you here though, i have been posting here a bit more lately and am impressed with americanwx so far. Welcome!

Blizz

Thanks! appreciate it.  Yea, he was a great help trying to help me resolve my situation.  Any new updates on this possible Lake Ontario snowband tonight??

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Thanks! appreciate it.  Yea, he was a great help trying to help me resolve my situation.  Any new updates on this possible Lake Ontario snowband tonight??

 

18z NAM still has it, but it's rather weak looking. The rest of the models keep the winds SW and don't really get much close to the west end of L Ontario. Keep an eye on radar but it's not looking too likely IMHO.

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seeing this as the highest reported total (so far anyhow) out of GRR's CWA:  

 

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
105 PM EST SAT FEB 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 AM     SNOW             N BYRON CENTER          42.81N 85.72W
02/02/2013  M10.0 INCH       KENT               MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NEW SNOW FROM 9 PM FRIDAY THROUGH 10 AM SATURDAY.

 

..and my work office has also been "bullseyed" with this one:

 

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
233 PM EST SAT FEB 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0231 PM     HEAVY SNOW       SAINT JOSEPH            42.11N  86.48W
02/02/2013  M10.5 INCH       BERRIEN            MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            5.5 INCHES OF NEW SNOWFALL SINCE 6 AM...10.5 INCHES
            SINCE 6 PM FRIDAY...11 INCHES OF SNOW DEPTH

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