Jonger Posted January 24, 2013 Author Share Posted January 24, 2013 Nice! It has been pouring down snow here. We definitely have more than a foot now. See you on Saturday... Seriously thinking about playing out that way. Quick drive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 decent single band really getting its act together here in N Mich..... Hugging the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 LES is getting ready to impact NW IN and Benton Harbor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 24, 2013 Author Share Posted January 24, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 See you on Saturday... Seriously thinking about playing out that way. Quick drive. Where do you think you are gonna go? Funny, I'm heading to Detroit on Saturday to visit my bro who will be flying in for his company gala. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 24, 2013 Author Share Posted January 24, 2013 Where do you think you are gonna go? Funny, I'm heading to Detroit on Saturday to visit my bro who will be flying in for his company gala. Probably Allegan-Van Buren counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 decent single band really getting its act together here in N Mich..... Hugging the coast. That band is a perfect set-up for Boardman. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Probably Allegan-Van Buren counties. Yeah, Allegan has done great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I have a feeling they will drop the advisory for most of the area, other than the coast. The mesolow and lack of general moisture before hand, definitely gave us the kick! My eyes turn to Friday where inland counties should receive about an inch of synoptic snow, lakeshore 2-4". Possible flare up of snow Saturday night with another inch seems square. Then.... Dunn dun dunnnnnnnnn RAIN and upper 30's Tuesday with lows in the mid 30's!! Spring is making a come back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Light snow this evening but nothing heavy. Definitely accumulating some though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 FWIW Skilling's RPM model showed a decent band of LE impacting Chicago later tonight and tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 FWIW Skilling's RPM model showed a decent band of LE impacting Chicago later tonight and tomorrow morning. Yeah I caught that. LES from 5am-2pm about. 1.6" for Midway tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Yeah I caught that. LES from 5am-2pm about. 1.6" for Midway tomorrow. When I assessed potential earlier today, most guidance had convergence weakening as band shifted into Illinois as well as lowering inversion heights, but certainly something to watch for. I had the late December event in the back of my head, which was more marginal thermodynamically but at least from how I saw it today had a longer duration of good convergence than what I see here. It'll be interesting to watch this one unfold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Yeah, Allegan has done great. There's a pretty good snowfall gradient right across the city Grand Rapids. 3" IMBY (northeast side), close to 12" in the SW suburbs. It was coming down really hard downtown earlier today, drove home and it was barely flurrying at my house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Light snow this evening but nothing heavy. Definitely accumulating some though. Im going bold I bet this spot here gets 2-3" tonight/tomorrow. about .25" so far of pixie dust but just to my north is a good shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Latest RAP still brings the southern edge of the band all the way into extreme NE Wayne Cty for a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Nice burst here last few minutes. Campus sidewalks and streets covered, grass is getting there now too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I didn't even notice the LES Advisory until just now. Also... ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 1118 PM SNOW 3 SW MIDWAY AIRPORT 41.75N 87.79W 01/23/2013 M0.3 INCH COOK IL CO-OP OBSERVER 0.3 INCH OF SNOW. 0.01 INCH LIQUID. TRACE ON GROUND. 30:1 ratios at MDW! (Maybe) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Nice burst here last few minutes. Campus sidewalks and streets covered, grass is getting there now too. LOT evening update is below. The inversion didn't seem that high on the runs I was looking at but I haven't checked the past few runs. AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 1119 PM CST WED JAN 23 2013 DISCUSSION 1119 PM CST HAVE OPTED TO ISSUE A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FOR PORTER COUNTY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS HAVE BECOME MORE NUMEROUS ACROSS SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN WITH REFLECTIVITY AND LAKESHORE OBS ACROSS WESTERN MICHIGAN SUGGESTING A FOCUSING OF CONVERGENCE TRYING TO COMMENCE. DECENT RADAR RETURNS ARE NOTED WITH A TRAJECTORY TOWARD PORTER COUNTY WITH ARRIVAL OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO WITH SOME OF THESE SHOWERS BEING RATHER INTENSE AND BRINGING SOME ACCUMULATION. 00Z RAOB FROM GREEN BAY SHOWED H85 TEMPS RIGHT AROUND -22C WITH LAKE TEMPS LIKELY IN THE +2 TO +3 RANGE RESULTING IN EXTREME INSTABILITY AS INVERSION HEIGHTS PUSH 11-12 KFT LATER TONIGHT. THE BAND IS STILL EXPECTED TO STEADILY MOVE WESTWARD THROUGH DAYBREAK WHICH WILL BE THE LIMITING FACTOR WITH REGARD TO ACCUMULATION. WITH THE INSTABILITY AND A DEEP SATURATED DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE WITHIN THE UNSTABLE LAYER SNOWFALL RATES COULD BE RATHER IMPRESSIVE AND LIKELY IN THE 1 TO 2 INCH PER HOUR RANGE...IF NOT HIGHER...AT TIMES. WILL GO WITH AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES BUT LOCAL 8 INCH AMOUNTS ARE A POSSIBILITY WHERE THE BAND PERSISTS OR PIVOTS....ESPECIALLY IF THE SHOWERS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS CAN BRING A COUPLE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION. QUESTIONS STILL REMAIN WITH THE EVOLUTION OF THE BAND AFTER DAYBREAK. HIGH RES GUIDANCE STILL POINTS TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF A MESOLOW WHICH COULD ACT TO FURTHER FOCUS THE BAND BUT ALSO PUSH IT FURTHER WESTWARD RAISING SOME CONCERN FOR ACCUMS ACROSS LAKE AND COOK COUNTIES INTO MIDDAY. HOWEVER...WITH HIGH PRESSURE MOVING IN INVERSION HEIGHTS DO FALL THOUGH LOOK TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED SNOW SHOWERS BUT PROBABLY AT A REDUCED INTENSITY. WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS BUT WILL EASE LATER TONIGHT AS THE MAIN SNOW BAND ARRIVES...ESPECIALLY INLAND. AREAS NEAR THE LAKE WILL CONTINUE TO BE GUSTY BUT EASE TO AROUND 30 MPH. THIS WILL RESULT IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING AND EVEN POSSIBLE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT THE LAKESHORE. DID GIVE CONSIDERATION TO A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW INCHES OF ACCUMULATION OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS ADDING TO TOTALS FROM THE MAIN BAND LATER ON...BUT GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH HOW LONG THE BAND WILL LAST OVER A GIVEN AREA AND HOW IT EVOLVES AFTER DAYBREAK...IN ADDITION TO THE WORST BLOWING AND DRIFTING LIKELY BEING CONFINED TO THE LAKESHORE DECIDED TO STICK WITH THE ADVISORY ROUTE FOR NOW. MDB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Looks like the LES is going to jump into Lake Co., IN a bit early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 for the 2nd night in a row, we had 0.3" of lake effect rime snow (though last nights had 0.01" water, tonights 0.02"). Its funny...its like the tundra type of winter, pixie dust everywhere. About an inch of crunchy powder on the ground (though 1.9" has fallen the last 3 days..this stuff settles)...took a pic of footprints on the deck...this rime sparkles! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Looks like the LES is going to jump into Lake Co., IN a bit early. Radar looks kinda disorganized right now (multi bands) but some signs of a single Jacques de Plume getting organized over northern Lake Michigan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Lake county Indiana might overperform if latest radar trends are any indication. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 LOT expanded the advisory west to include Lake county IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 LOT continues to bump up the point & click as well. Was around an inch earlier today, then 1-3. then 2-4, now 3-5. Plus an additional 1" tomorrow, so 4-6. Coming down in buckets again as I speak, and from the 3rd floor it looks like we've passed 1", but that's merely a guesstimation. Off to bed now. I'll see in the morning whether we got plumed or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 N-S band over Lake Michigan is looking better and better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 convergence for the western shore looks especially fleeting, this doesn't look like much of an event for chi/mke even by our standards Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Sarnia/Port Huron are getting rocked. When you see that kind of reflectivity on radar when it's this cold, you know there are some mad rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 lol Total daytime snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. best thing about these kinds of bands is it will be crystal clear blue skies out the west window and dark rip city out the east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Sarnia/Port Huron are getting rocked. When you see that kind of reflectivity on radar when it's this cold, you know there are some mad rates. Reports via Fox2 WJBK. Most totals around 2-4" 0730 AM SNOW PORT HURON 42.99N 82.43W01/24/2013 M2.4 INCH ST. CLAIR MI TRAINED SPOTTER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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