Jump to content

  • Member Statistics

    17,586
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

Pattern change on our doorstep - will it deliver the goods? General Discussion/ banter

Baroclinic Zone

By Baroclinic Zone,
in New England

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 2.2k
  • Created
  • Last Reply
mahk_webstah

mahk_webstah

Posted
Posted

Just noted that the hpc med range thoughts through tues are for cold and dry for most of the east while gyx is talking about an unsettled period with a lot of weak waves.  I think sometime between Tuesday and Sunday the 26th we get a big storm as we will have had 3 weeks with no significant storms, and at some time that has to change.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted

kinda sucks that even though models are quite cold (besides the day 4 pseudo-clipper thing) every storm lifts north.

I mentioned that too. With lack of blocking that's a risk. That is some pressing cold so not all storms may do that, but something to watch. Many of our atorms in '94 did do that too.....but it managed to be just cold enough for the most part.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

Posted
Posted

And how about Will's? Did it make it?

 

 

Nope, not really...I still have some, but its all fractured. Monday was the back breaker...I would have surivived with a solid 3-4" probably if the front came through Sunday night. The woods are still surviving with a couple inches of crust and the perpetually shaded spots surivived with a bit, but there's plenty of bare spots to see. Thankfully its covered again in 24 hours.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Tropopause_Fold

Tropopause_Fold

Posted
Posted

I mentioned that too. With lack of blocking that's a risk. That is some pressing cold so not all storms may do that, but something to watch. Many of our atorms in '94 did do that too.....but it managed to be just cold enough for the most part.

i kind of just took that as the euro going overly nuts with the energy coming S...will be interesting to see if that trend continues or not. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
apm

apm

Posted
Posted

Yeah, the crescendo of warmth was impressive, even on the water yesterday:

 

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/obs/BOSobs.html

 

As always, thanks for your updates.

 

 

Nope, not really...I still have some, but its all fractured. Monday was the back breaker...I would have surivived with a solid 3-4" probably if the front came through Sunday night. The woods are still surviving with a couple inches of crust and the perpetually shaded spots surivived with a bit, but there's plenty of bare spots to see. Thankfully its covered again in 24 hours.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

Posted
Posted

There is really very little to hate about the pattern going forward. I know there are some shell shocked folks who assume they will get screwed, but in all honesty, it really doesn't get that much better than what it progged for the next 10-14 days for us. Maybe we would like a big Greenland block too...but the absolute perfect pattern is rarely going to be on an ensemble mean for 2 weeks straight. It does look like we could get periods where an NAO block tries to sneak in there.

 

If not, its hardly a poor pattern. A ton of cold supply to the north and that awesome block N of AK is providing continuous cross polar flow.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted

i kind of just took that as the euro going overly nuts with the energy coming S...will be interesting to see if that trend continues or not.

Yeah I just mean in general. It's great on paper but I can see how it might not live up to epic standards that's all. I'm cautiously optimistic.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Wonkis

Wonkis

Posted
Posted

You have to like that the fridge just north in Canada is stocked with cold. It would seem this setup has a better chance to produce snow than the arctic bowling ball that was depicted earlier?

 

 

i'm going to follow the long-range GFS to the promised land. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Baroclinic Zone

Baroclinic Zone

Posted
  • Author
Posted

days 5-16 are pretty sweet on that run. lol. 

 

We won't have to worry about any crappy antecedent airmasses.  LOL,  Any s/w that comes out of Canada will have the chance to produce something for us.  Maybe we get the big dog next week, maybe not, but I do see a lot of minor/moderate threats.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
Go to topic listing

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...