Pattern change on our doorstep - will it deliver the goods? General Discussion/ banter

[weathafella]

GEFs also have many members with precip getting as far north as ALB on Tuesday

GEFS is promising.....many members on the 6z with a wintry appeal.

[weathafella]

off topic but do you mind saying what that shows for the UK? going to be there from Jan 20-23. Thanks

It shows Mark missing 18 inches back home.

[Damage In Tolland]

GEFS is promising.....many members on the 6z with a wintry appeal.

 

Yeah I think we'll see the op runs bring it back today and over weekend especially. Esp with good ens support .

[mahk_webstah]

It shows Mark missing 18 inches back home.

I was afraid of that and am hoping that we get a storm in before my late night flight on the 19th...or even one that caused a cancellation... Oy!

[Tropopause_Fold]

the mon-wed period is a needle threader, i would keep expectations low.

[kdxken]

Pretty sunrise this morning.

[Damage In Tolland]

Probably the last morning of deep snowcover..though we'll quickly replace it Tuesday

 

[Mr Torchey]

One of the most beautiful sunrise I have seen in years here this morning.

 

[Tropopause_Fold]

One of the most beautiful sunrise I have seen in years here this morning.

 

yeah all over new england it seems. you know what they say "red sky in the morning, torch warning"

[dendrite]

Nice to see Euro ens keep the wave on Tuesday.Not gonna be a dry fropa. Stay the course

Ens pretty much lost the wave. And agree, prob won't be a dry fropa.

[Mr Torchey]

yeah all over new england it seems. you know what they say "red sky in the morning, torch warning"

 

It was magical on the morning walk.

[Mr Torchey]

Do you think it will be warm in Fairfield?

 

Not any warmer than it is in the gangbang capital of ct, Norwalk, enjoy the torch Johnny boy, little late night bowling last night I see, yep it was Thursday surprise, surprise.

[friedmators]

Hour 252 on the EURO monthlies is interesting.  What exactly are the monthlies?  Is it an ensemble run or a single instance?

 

Hour 516 too lol

[Mr Torchey]

Clippers! I love clippers!

[Ginx snewx]

sneaky Scooter cold this morning in that beautiful sunrise. Open the KU book, look at 192-240 Euro Ens, tell me what ya think. Money is in the bank.

[Mr Torchey]

sneaky Scooter cold this morning in that beautiful sunrise. Open the KU book, look at 192-240 Euro Ens, tell me what ya think. Money is in the bank.

 

Archie, as the pv lifts out?

[Ginx snewx]

Archie, as the pv lifts out?

 

Elongation west, Miller B

[Mr Torchey]

Elongation west, Miller B

ahh ok it will be interesting to watch the pv, where it ends up if it splits etc.  Anything is better than this stretch of 45 and blah.

[weathafella]

Steve's right.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Elongation west, Miller B

 

It's been too freaking long since we've had a pure Miller B.  Would be nice to see one come to fruition.

[CoastalWx]

I'm going to wait until Sunday, but this guy liked the models last night.

[Damage In Tolland]

I'm going to wait until Sunday, but this guy liked the models last night.

Remember....

[CoastalWx]

Remember....

 

I keep thinking of that scene with Spock from Star Trek two. "Remember...."

[Tropopause_Fold]

I'm going to wait until Sunday, but this guy liked the models last night.

Frozen tundra incoming

[Typhoon Tip]

Well that was a disconcerting set of runs last night. Bare ground with arctic air is no fun.

 

Yeah, it is/was definitely a bit rough for the snow enthusiasts to see a lot of wasted cold.   

 

Personally I am not surprised as the lowering amplitude for the Tuesday system.  The SPV is just too strong and over-powering.   Better chances probably materialize when the gradient slackens (aloft) a bit, and there is residual cold thickness' in place.   

[CoastalWx]

Frozen tundra incoming

 

To me, I'll take the cold because I buy Jerry's logic....the S/W's will come as the GFS op suggests.

[TalcottWx]

Cold = snow. Get one the other will come

[Tropopause_Fold]

Frozen tundra incoming

To me, I'll take the cold because I buy Jerry's logic....the S/W's will come as the GFS op suggests.

Oh yeah I wasn't implying frozen / bare ground I was just saying it's going to get very cold

[Ginx snewx]

kind of surprised even down here in torchville SE CT at work its still only 28 degrees.

[CoastalWx]

Oh yeah I wasn't implying frozen / bare ground I was just saying it's going to get very cold

 

Oh I know...just adding a little commentary.