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Pattern change on our doorstep - will it deliver the goods? General Discussion/ banter

Baroclinic Zone

By Baroclinic Zone,
in New England

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Clinch Leatherwood

Clinch Leatherwood

Posted
Posted

Lets be honest lol, outside of a couple days to start the month the entire winter has been a torch I mean December was well above normal lol, in some cases around the northeast record breaking.  However, there was snow in December and obviously even in the warmest winter torch you can always get snow, and thats all that matters and all that anyone cares about, so the idea of a thaw outside the mountains is kind of laughable to be honest, especially when you look at the numbers and facts.

 

Snow cures all.

 

All I'm saying is the "Debbie downers" were much more correct than the cold misers with regards to the January pattern through at least the end of this week (majority of January so far) so were they really being downers or where they just discussing the actual weather?  And you are right, call it whatever we like the two winter months have been largely above normal.   This torch is actually WORSE than last year at this time (for this past week or so).  That's how jaded we are, our perceptions have changed.  I'd have bet this torch didn't compare to last year for this time period, I'm wrong (data from the NWS TAN site, for station Boston)

 

Yesterday +12 and +4 over last year

1/11 +7 and +3 over last year

1/10 +12 and +2 over last year

1/9 +8 and +4 over last year

1/8 +8 and -1 from last year

1/7 +5 and -11 from last year

1/6 +7 and -2 from last year

1/5 +5 and +3 over last year

1/4 0 and + 11 over last year

 

We're about to change patterns again.  There's no doubt about that.  What comes after is still up for debate, and that's what this place is all about right?

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Allsnow

Allsnow

Posted
Posted

Yeah...it's been warm overall for awhile. As weather lovers, this has been an amazing and tremendous stretch. It doesn't get much better than watching dense fog slowly eat away snow with 30s/30s or 40s/40s day after day. This is the extreme weather we live to experience. I had to pinch myself this morning to make sure it was all real.

Lmao sig worthy. He is on repeat

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Logan11

Logan11

Posted
Posted

Snow is the ultimate arbiter for the wx weenie.  Those of us that have had snow cover since around 12/22 have a much more positive spin on this period.

 

Last week was a torch even here (comparatively speaking), but I held the snow all week and could do my daily snow shoeing so I didn't much care.

 

I think I come out of this with 2 to 3 inches of frozen concrete in the woods circa tomorrow night, but probably ended my snow shoeing for now.

All I'm saying is the "Debbie downers" were much more correct with regards to the January pattern through at least the end of this week (majority of January so far) so were they really being downers or where they just discussing the actual weather?  And you are right, call it whatever we like the two winter months have been largely above normal.   This torch is actually WORSE than last year at this time (for this past week or so).  That's how jaded we are, our perceptions have changed.  I'd have bet this torch didn't compare to last year for this time period, I'm wrong (data from the NWS TAN site, for station Boston)

 

Yesterday +12 and +4 over last year
1/11 +7 and +3 over last year
1/10 +12 and +2 over last year
1/9 +8 and +4 over last year
1/8 +8 and -1 from last year
1/7 +5 and -11 from last year
1/6 +7 and -2 from last year
1/5 +5 and +3 over last year
1/4 0 and + 11 over last year

 

We're about to change patterns again.  There's no doubt about that.  What comes after is still up for debate, and that's what this place is all about right?

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted

This is going to come down to people's definition of epic. Epic is a stretch like Jan 2011, Jan 2005, Jan and Feb 94...etc. A 3-6" deal followed by a 4-8" deal 6 days later to me is not epic.

 

While I like some of these features that are classic for great stretches, I'm not sold on an epic stretch....however it should provide a period for snow chances....and not just climo either. I certainly see how it could be an awesome stretch..the potential is there...just not sold yet.

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Damage In Tolland

Damage In Tolland

Posted
Posted

I need Kev to take a pic Mon AM. Can not wait for Messenger to post how many inches of analogs he has shoveled. I made a great animated GIF of all the analog dates,,but they do not work here anymore, classic I mean classic loading pattern. Your constant feature is there everytime. If we miss a big storm in the next three weeks it's pure crap luck and I will go back and join Scooter on the dark side.

Will be long gone. Patches of grass appearing in a few spots now 2-4 left..bye bye 

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dendrite

dendrite

Posted
Posted

Why the sarcasm? This weather sucks monkey ****, and nobody is saying anything different, but its still weather.

Well this is a forum of winter snow and cold lovers. You certainly love to remind all of us about how warm and unsnowy it is. I don't have a problem with your posts in general, but you do seem to like to rub it in. It's why some people label your posts as trolling even though you throw out "facts". Don't go getting defensive and upset on me now. Obviously people can post about winter warmth and positive departures, but I'm not sure any of us find it quite as exciting and amazing as you do.

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Mr Torchey

Mr Torchey

Posted
Posted

Lmao sig worthy. He is on repeat

Sig worthy, really? I mean Brian is funny as hell and has some classic sarcastic style posts but sig worthy, almost seemed like a I am sick of this crap weather, do not remind me of it the pattern has gotten to me type posts.  Then again you have your head so far up any persons ass that knocks me its hard to keep track.

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Mr Torchey

Mr Torchey

Posted
Posted

Well this is a forum of winter snow and cold lovers. You certainly love to remind all of us about how warm and unsnowy it is. I don't have a problem with your posts in general, but you do seem to like to rub it in. It's why some people label your posts as trolling even though you throw out "facts". Don't go getting defensive and upset on me now. Obviously people can post about winter warmth and positive departures, but I'm not sure any of us find it quite as exciting and amazing as you do.

I guess you have not read my posts over the last 4 days? This weather sucks, period.  If its not going to be sunny and 60 this is a completely useless cool up or whatever its called these days.

 

I want snow, and lots of it, thats why when it snows i am up until 2am watching it, enjoying it, playing in it, taking pictures in it, just so happens the last two winters have sucked.  Rubbing warm temps in faces? How old are we?

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Logan11

Logan11

Posted
Posted

Clippers and late blooming Miller B's maybe.  I can't say that I see more than that on the models. Probably better prospects in SNE where as MIller B can blow up at the last minute and have better effects.

This is going to come down to people's definition of epic. Epic is a stretch like Jan 2011, Jan 2005, Jan and Feb 94...etc. A 3-6" deal followed by a 4-8" deal 6 days later to me is not epic.

 

While I like some of these features that are classic for great stretches, I'm not sold on an epic stretch....however it should provide a period for snow chances....and not just climo either. I certainly see how it could be an awesome stretch..the potential is there...just not sold yet.

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dendrite

dendrite

Posted
Posted

I guess you have not read my posts over the last 4 days? This weather sucks, period.  If its not going to be sunny and 60 this is a completely useless cool up or whatever its called these days.

 

I want snow, and lots of it, thats why when it snows i am up until 2am watching it, enjoying it, playing in it, taking pictures in it, just so happens the last two winters have sucked.  Rubbing warm temps in faces? How old are we?

Sig worthy

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted

Clippers and late blooming Miller B's maybe.  I can't say that I see more than that on the models. Probably better prospects in SNE where as MIller B can blow up at the last minute and have better effects.

 

Which is perfectly fine by me...I will take it and run. I even see the potential for something more siggy as Tip noted.

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Tropopause_Fold

Tropopause_Fold

Posted
Posted

I guess you have not read my posts over the last 4 days? This weather sucks, period.  If its not going to be sunny and 60 this is a completely useless cool up or whatever its called these days.

 

I want snow, and lots of it, thats why when it snows i am up until 2am watching it, enjoying it, playing in it, taking pictures in it, just so happens the last two winters have sucked.  Rubbing warm temps in faces? How old are we?

LOL - how many times are you going to mention your posting over the last few days? intentionally change your style to see what we'd say? 

you dug your own hole. 

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Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted

This is going to come down to people's definition of epic. Epic is a stretch like Jan 2011, Jan 2005, Jan and Feb 94...etc. A 3-6" deal followed by a 4-8" deal 6 days later to me is not epic.

 

While I like some of these features that are classic for great stretches, I'm not sold on an epic stretch....however it should provide a period for snow chances....and not just climo either. I certainly see how it could be an awesome stretch..the potential is there...just not sold yet.

Yes a great period incoming, any luck we get a biggie to stall over your fanny for 100 hours. We have not seen this type of pattern like Will stated since 05, the best part and weeklies show it is the reload of the pattern and more potential. As we all know lots of things have to align for the majors but I will take, clippers, miller Bs, Windex squalls, diamond dust, low wind chills, OES, LES leftovers any time. We can all say bye bye to this disgusting puke air, see ya again late Morch for all I care.
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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted

Yes a great period incoming, any luck we get a biggie to stall over your fanny for 100 hours. We have not seen this type of pattern like Will stated since 05, the best part and weeklies show it is the reload of the pattern and more potential. As we all know lots of things have to align for the majors but I will take, clippers, miller Bs, Windex squalls, diamond dust, low wind chills, OES, LES leftovers any time. We can all say bye bye to this disgusting puke air, see ya again late Morch for all I care.

 

Ironically Jan 22 is a date signaled on some models.

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