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Pattern change on our doorstep - will it deliver the goods? General Discussion/ banter

Baroclinic Zone

By Baroclinic Zone,
in New England

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mahk_webstah

mahk_webstah

Posted
Posted

I see what you're saying though for sure. For me, I don't have a problem posting a forecast but I don't know if run-of-the-mill weenies know how much time goes into an actual forecast. I have no problem throwing out ideas but chances are if I'm posting I haven't sat at my desk for a couple hours pouring over all the data to come up with a legit forecast.

You guys are professionals and it is not fair to expect you to forecast on here.  If you did, you wouldn't enjoy it probably and then we would lose your contributions.  Although you guys are good about responding when you are asked what you think is probably going to happen.

 

I like it best when ya'll weenie out.

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Clinch Leatherwood

Clinch Leatherwood

Posted
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This run was a hair better. Pay no attention to the QPF, this nrn edge will likely have a deformation band. So it's important to track mid level RH and VV.

 

Yeah little better to me too, both the Euro/GFS deliver something and we have the GGEM with a rockem sockem system.  The old rule was the GFS inverted trough at this range signaled a potential closer to the coast/stronger system (follow up energy).  we'll see.

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

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Yeah little better to me too, both the Euro/GFS deliver something and we have the GGEM with a rockem sockem system.  The old rule was the GFS inverted trough at this range signaled a potential closer to the coast/stronger system (follow up energy).  we'll see.

 

I know you can't see this, but it has the look of stretch deformation...the kind where you stretch parcels out from SW-NE. So, IMHO looking at where it sets up is important. This run brought it to the Cape. While it may be suppressed..the mid levels are important here.

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Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted

I see what you're saying though for sure. For me, I don't have a problem posting a forecast but I don't know if run-of-the-mill weenies know how much time goes into an actual forecast. I have no problem throwing out ideas but chances are if I'm posting I haven't sat at my desk for a couple hours pouring over all the data to come up with a legit forecast.

And this is why I watch your station. No rip and read. You guys miss some, inexact science, but much better than the rest.
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radarman

radarman

Posted
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Radarman, no offense taken at all...just wanted to clarify. I actually thought we did a decent job talking about our gut feelings in the extended, but I guess it didn't come across that way. It's all good.

 

Thanks.  I have tremendous respect for you guys and as I said I didn't really mean for that to be directed at you personally.  You are all very generous with your time and it is appreciated.

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Clinch Leatherwood

Clinch Leatherwood

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I know you can't see this, but it has the look of stretch deformation...the kind where you stretch parcels out from SW-NE. So, IMHO looking at where it sets up is important. This run brought it to the Cape. While it may be suppressed..the mid levels are important here.

 

Gotcha.  It's close enough to watch.

 

18th is brewing up a good one on the Euro OP

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