BullCityWx Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Warmest temperature in Hickory from Monday onward until the end of the GFS run is 38 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 I would have thought since gsp is talking there could be significant snow in the nc mtns. Thursday night and Friday there is no HWO yet stating this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Frost potential all the way to MIA: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Suncat Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 this is going to be a shock to the system next week... Yeah, this looks great! Too bad there's little if any precipitation occuring at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Here's the thing: Even if this cold is dry, it cools off the ground which is very warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 This is daytime highs for next Tuesday off the 12z GFS.... brrrr! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 A daytime high in Atlanta in the mid to upper 20s ? That's hard to fathom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toxictwister00 Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 A daytime high in Atlanta in the mid to upper 20s ? That's hard to fathom. I don't see how. We had one last winter on Jan. 2nd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 12z Euro spitting out another 1.1 inches of QPF for Knoxville through tomorrow morning. I think the entire population of frogs will be strangled by then. Edit: 1.52 through tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 IMHO the 12z run of the GFS was to this point the most impressive run to date in regards to the Upper Southeast (North of I-20). At around Day 10-12 just when you think the cold relaxes, a second potent surge of arctic air settles into the Eastern US. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 A daytime high in Atlanta in the mid to upper 20s ? That's hard to fathom. Daytime highs in the 20's are not uncommon here in winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Euro is swinging some major cold air into the SE @174. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Problem is cold air generally means dry. Hopefully it will be different but time is getting later and later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Euro is swinging some major cold air into the SE @174. I see the Euro runs a storm West of the Apps at 240. That would prob end up in 1 of 2 scenarios... 1. The airmass won't be able to moderate enough in time and we have an ice storm. Or... 2. The Euro is wrong in sending the storm inland and we end up with a Miller A. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 The op euro really want to tank the ao and build the heights over the Davis straits. The GFS ensembles want to do this as well. This would fit in with the euro weeklies and the cfs and set up a great pattern for the month of Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 12z gfs ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncwinterwxman Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 The models are SLOWLY starting to latch on to this change in the pattern...the last week of January into February is looking more and more interesting...FWI...the MJO wave looks to be slowing down...IF it stalls in phase 7/8, look out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreensboroWx Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 The op euro really want to tank the ao and build the heights over the Davis straits. The GFS ensembles want to do this as well. This would fit in with the euro weeklies and the cfs and set up a great pattern for the month of Feb. Yeah, this would be a very favorable pattern. It has a nice look! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmersonGA Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 A daytime high in Atlanta in the mid to upper 20s ? That's hard to fathom. I'm well north of the city but it happens here a couple times a year. Even last year we had a day in February that stayed in the 20s. It might have had a midnight high above though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 I'm well north of the city but it happens here a couple times a year. Even last year we had a day in February that stayed in the 20s. It might have had a midnight high above though. Lol, I had that for two weeks a few years ago. Not uncommon at all. I remember walking home from high school in the 60's when it was 5 degrees. It used to be lots colder in Ga. than recent years. We used to get Bevo cold Finally a cold push down to the gulf showing up. If that happens I'll get officially psyched over the space between shots...if a second shot shows up. Maybe around the end of the month? All we need is the roller coaster, and so far all we have gotten is the going up part, lol. When we get some dips then the fun can begin. Cold brings dry, warm brings rain, meeting at the coming and going nexus gets the fun in here!! Meanwhile I still have a ULL going overhead soon, if the models hold it, so I'm going to go out and look up to see if I can see snow melting on the way down To bad my Tree Top Snow Observation Tower isn't complete yet, lol. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Hey guys keep an eye out around the 26th. The GFS has had a storm the last three days on that Date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1002 AM EST TUE JAN 15 2013 VALID 12Z FRI JAN 18 2013 - 12Z TUE JAN 22 2013 AN AMPLIFIED RIDGE/TROUGH PATTERN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD WITH A COLD TROUGH ANCHORED IN HUDSON BAY AND EASTERN CANADA AND A RIDGE ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE AND WESTWARD TO THE WEST COAST. THE CANADIAN/GEFS/ECMWF ENSEMBLES HAVE THE GENERAL FLOW PATTERN IN ORDER...WITH THE EASTERN PACIFIC FLOW ALOFT AND A SLOW TO BREAKDOWN THE RIDGE IN THE WEST. THE 15/00Z OPERATIONAL ECMWF/UKMET WERE DECENT OPERATIONAL GUIDANCE PACKAGE TO FOLLOW THROUGH DAY 5 WITH THE OPERATIONAL GFS DISPLAYING ITS 'FASTER' BIAS...IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC AND WITH ITS BREAKDOWN OF THE UPPER RIDGE IN THE WEST. THE STRONG RIDGE IN THE SOUTHEAST AND ALL THE WARM AIR/MOIST AIR ALONG ITS WESTERN PERIPHERY WILL BE ALL BUT A MEMORY BY DAY 3...WITH A SUCCESSION OF CANADIAN/ARCTIC AIRMASS INTRUSIONS SHUNTING THE SOUTHEAST RIDGE OUT TO SEA. LINING UP ALONG THE UPWIND SIDE (IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT) OF THE DEEP TROUGHING OVER EASTERN CANADA....THESE CANADIAN/ARCTIC INTRUSIONS WILL TREND TEMPERATURES DOWNWARD...AND WELL BELOW NORMAL (BITTER COLD) FOR MUCH OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND PARTS OF THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. THE ONLY EXCEPTIONS WILL BE IN THE SOUTHWEST...WHERE THE RIDGE WILL REBUILD...AND ALLOW FOR MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS SOUTHERN NEVADA...ARIZONA AND PARTS OF NEW MEXICO...TEXAS AND CALIFORNIA. IN GENERAL...AREAS SOUTH AND WEST OF THE STATIONARY FRONT DEPICTED ON THE DAY 5, 6 AND 7 SURFACE PROGS WILL BE MILDER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 I keep looking at this and it looks like transient cold. Am I missing something? Perhaps MJO? 7-8-1? Unfortunately, I've lost my link somewhere to MJO forecasts. Anyone share a good link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Looks like mostly cold with a few periods of moderation to me. This is the south after all. Can't be cold ALL the time in the winters here. Though there is a BIG difference between the midsouth and the Deep South. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 I keep looking at this and it looks like transient cold. Am I missing something? Perhaps MJO? 7-8-1? Unfortunately, I've lost my link somewhere to MJO forecasts. Anyone share a good link? Here's mine: http://www.daculaweather.com/4_mjo_phase_forecast.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 I keep looking at this and it looks like transient cold. Am I missing something? Perhaps MJO? 7-8-1? Unfortunately, I've lost my link somewhere to MJO forecasts. Anyone share a good link? What are you looking at first of all? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JQPublic Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Am I the only one that is pumped for this cold air. Snow is always a bonus for me! Bring the cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Cold air........ A fairly consistent supply looks like a good bet. SSW really going to do its work me thinks. Oh, I think Brick is pumped too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Here's mine: http://www.daculaweather.com/4_mjo_phase_forecast.php Thanks! That was the link I lost! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 What are you looking at first of all? GFS and EURO after day 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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