packbacker Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Maybe I was to quick to diss the NAM .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 GFS is further south than the NAM @66 this might be a good run for NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 2 Closed now over Central AL....is this closed longer on this run? HR66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Wow this run looks like it might get juice for NC @69 lots of moisture incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 On 1/15/2013 at 3:48 AM, deltadog03 said: 2 Closed now over Central AL....is this closed longer on this run? HR66 Looked like it to me and @72 Boom! CAE might get rocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 @75 could be snow across NC. The problem with this run is the time of day. BL temps gonna be an issue on this run but man it looks like it has serious potential. Get the new thread ready boys lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 HR72 closed over my head. *GA* Temps are warming though. There is a ton of moisture coming in this though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 wow......trend is def our friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bingcrosbyb Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Oh snap! Putting North-Central AL in play now baby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 On 1/15/2013 at 3:51 AM, deltadog03 said: HR72 closed over my head. *GA* Temps are warming though. There is a ton of moisture coming in this though. Looks like @75 ATL might be getting some backside action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 If there's a compromise between the 00z GFS and the 00Z nam so that east TN gets hammered, I'll be happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Snow map should be fun. Look at the SFC map on SV CLT east gets the money zone on this run. Again I've said before and I'll say again with ULL they will be all over the map. We won't know until about a day before who is going to cash in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Can we wrap this run up and just slow it down by like 6 hours, we would have a monster on our hands. This is a 72 hour model prog now, why is the Euro so far off, the GFS has bounced around a little but the Euro isn't showing anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 On 1/15/2013 at 3:54 AM, burgertime said: Snow map should be fun. Look at the SFC map on SV CLT east gets the money zone on this run. Again I've said before and I'll say again with ULL they will be all over the map. We won't know until about a day before who is going to cash in. The only area that could cash in is the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 On 1/15/2013 at 3:54 AM, packbacker said: Can we wrap this run up and just slow it down by like 6 hours, we would have a monster on our hands. This is a 72 hour model prog now, why is the Euro so far off, the GFS has bounced around a little but the Euro isn't showing anything. My bet is the Euro comes on board tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Not as good as the NAM over TN Eh you beat me to it burger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 On 1/15/2013 at 3:55 AM, lilj4425 said: The only area that could cash in is the mountains. Can we stop with this ****? Give your reasons or just don't post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 one thing is for sure, a LOT of precip is in the cards. northern sc/southern nc gets walloped this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 On 1/15/2013 at 3:56 AM, burgertime said: Can we stop with this ****? Give your reasons or just don't post. Too warm. BL temps are a mess. Even if it did snow outside of the mountains, it wouldn't accumulate much if at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 On 1/15/2013 at 3:57 AM, lilj4425 said: Too warm. BL temps are a mess. Are you basing this on soundings or just making a guess? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 On 1/15/2013 at 3:56 AM, valkhorn said: Not as good as the NAM over TN Eh you beat me to it burger. LOLOL All that excitement for that little bit of snow XD oh well ill take what i can get. i just wanna see a snow shower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 I'd prefer the NAM to win right now. The 00z GFS is shafting East TN. Although we are winning in the precip department right now, I wouldn't call 4" of rain with temps around 40 a 'win'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 The Ukie may offer hints of the euro. What time does it run? Crazy Uncle is up next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 On 1/15/2013 at 3:57 AM, burgertime said: Are you basing this on soundings or just making a guess? Robert just said same thing about temps being a concern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 On 1/15/2013 at 3:54 AM, packbacker said: Can we wrap this run up and just slow it down by like 6 hours, we would have a monster on our hands. This is a 72 hour model prog now, why is the Euro so far off, the GFS has bounced around a little but the Euro isn't showing anything. I agree pack that this would look a lot better if it was 6 hours slower. Good trends today w/ the NAM and GFS keeping it closed longer but to be honest I'm still worried w/ sfc. temps. I sure hope I'm wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 On 1/15/2013 at 3:59 AM, POWERSTROKE said: Robert just said same thing about temps being a concern That's all well and good I'm waiting on our blue kazoo friend to back up what he said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 On 1/15/2013 at 3:57 AM, burgertime said: Are you basing this on soundings or just making a guess? KMRN @ 72 has it above freezing up to 800 mb however its got dry air at 800-900 mb and the wetbulbs would make it very close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Dunno why everyone is making a big fuss about temps. We are better this go-around than that last storm. may the odds ever be in your favor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 On 1/15/2013 at 3:59 AM, POWERSTROKE said: Robert just said same thing about temps being a concern If we get a closed low like we just saw on the GFS with the HP building in and it comes in about 6 hours later someone will get dumped on. Until the Euro jumps in I am still skeptical though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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