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January 12-14 Potential Winter Weather Event


Hoosier

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Lol.....a couple inches would work for me. That is actually even more than I thought it would show. I am just ready to graduate out of the "inch or less" class.

 

I hear you. Good luck!

 

 

I titled this for the 13th-14th in case there were multiple waves...might as well keep it here.

 

 

Works for me.

 

Maybe a little white down that way as well?

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You can see the effect of the low level dry air on the DTX radar really well right now...I assume that's whats up with the apparent donut hole in the radar returns - further away where the radar is sampling higher levels the air is already saturated, but not at the surface yet.

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Sleet continues here, even in the heaver returns. If the same thing occurs at ORD, Alek's futility record will be safe by a wide margin.

 

Embrace the sleet!  It's basically the most interesting weather our region has had in a year or two.  The penny and nickel snow events are less interesting than this, imo.  Sleet is accumulating pretty good on our patio rug/tarp outside.

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Embrace the sleet! It's basically the most interesting weather our region has had in a year or two. The penny and nickel snow events are less interesting than this, imo. Sleet is accumulating pretty good on our patio rug/tarp outside.

Hahaha, I never thought I would be so happy to hear sleet tinging off the window. Makes a perfect backdrop to the niners destruction of the packers. :)

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Embrace the sleet!  It's basically the most interesting weather our region has had in a year or two.  The penny and nickel snow events are less interesting than this, imo.  Sleet is accumulating pretty good on our patio rug/tarp outside.

 

 

Sleet takes longer to melt too. :)

 

I don't think we had any sleet last winter.

That's a silver lining!

 

I got about 0.4" of sleet and bascially a trace of snow mixed in it.

 

Down to 27° now. I would think this sleet has to give up pretty soon.

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Well this is interesting.

 

 

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0022
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1047 PM CST SAT JAN 12 2013
  
   AREAS AFFECTED...SRN INDIANA...NRN KY...SWRN OH
  
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
  
   VALID 130447Z - 130615Z
  
   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT
  
   SUMMARY...STORMS WILL AFFECT THE REGION WITH LOCALLY SEVERE WINDS
   POSSIBLE.
  
   DISCUSSION...A STRONGLY FORCED LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS NOW ALONG THE
   IL/INDIANA BORDER WILL AFFECT MUCH OF SRN IND AND NRN KY ALONG THE
   OH RIVER OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...AND MAY PERSIST INTO SWRN OH.
  
   SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE PRESSURE FALLS AHEAD OF THIS
   EVOLVING FEATURE...WHERE STRONG WARM ADVECTION WAS OCCURRING DUE TO
   A 50+ KT LOW LEVEL JET.  MARGINAL INSTABILITY HAS DEVELOPED AS THE
   WARM FRONT LIFTS NWD...WITH MUCAPE ON THE ORDER OF 100-300 J/KG INTO
   SRN IND AND SWRN OH. ALTHOUGH SHEAR IS VERY STRONG...WIDESPREAD
   SEVERE IS UNLIKELY DUE TO VERY POOR LAPSE RATE PROFILES.
   HOWEVER...MECHANICAL MIXING MAY RESULT IN LOCALLY SEVERE WINDS AS
   THIS LINE PASSES...AND THIS COULD EXTEND AS FAR E AS WRN OH.

 


 

post-4544-0-07179800-1358052944_thumb.gi

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Finally the snow is coming down at a good clip out there.  Was very surprised to have that period of sleet 45mins ago or so.  Had been all snow before that.  Temp down to 22.  Snow surprisingly stuck to paved surfaces right off the bat, even after temps in the 50s all last night and early this morning.  Probably have close to a half inch so far.  Back edge of the snow isn't all that far away, so my inch prediction may end up pretty close.

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