Geos Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 EURO is showing 1-3" for most of Chicagoland. Which is more bullish then the last 2 runs. Fwiw: the colder air is moving in quicker, not sure what's going on upstairs between 850-700mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 15z RUC hinting at stronger system, each to see looking at 850mb and at the sfc taking it down to 1002mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 12, 2013 Author Share Posted January 12, 2013 Looks better for a brief changeover for the both of us. Wunderground map shows 2-4 inches for you. Not that I believe it, but would be nice to see some snow. This one might be tough to call until it's underway. Ground will be wet but I like that our temps will be dropping during the precip. 2-4" is probably the ceiling...my early guess would be around an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 RAP showing a stronger system getting it's act together too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Only thing you will have to worry about is whether or not we will be playing in Lambeau next Sunday. Euro shows basically nothing for us in S WI... Would love a rematch with Seattle after the debacle early in the season.. Playing Atlanta would be almost no fun and to easy. I hate systems like this that are playing with a cold front. seems 9 times outta 10 ( ) they end up not timing up just right and it doesn't take much not lining up right to throw things off when there is only a narrow area of snow anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 can't imagine chicago gets 1-3" of snow on the euro. could maybe see 1" with snow and sleet i suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 EURO is showing 1-3" for most of Chicagoland. Which is more bullish then the last 2 runs. Fwiw: the colder air is moving in quicker, not sure what's going on upstairs between 850-700mb. where you seeing the 1-3"? wxunderground? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 can't imagine chicago gets 1-3" of snow on the euro. could maybe see 1" with snow and sleet i suppose. Exactly what I was thinking but also wondering if the cold air moving in quicker will have any pull, probably at the sfc but that only makes the icing situation worse with WAA aloft and lots of moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 classic RAP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Would love a rematch with Seattle after the debacle early in the season.. Playing Atlanta would be almost no fun and to easy. I hate systems like this that are playing with a cold front. seems 9 times outta 10 ( ) they end up not timing up just right and it doesn't take much not lining up right to throw things off when there is only a narrow area of snow anyways. As would I. Beating the Seahawks to make the Super Bowl would be the perfect revenge. Its all about being in the perfect location with these setups. I still think we see at least 1-2" here along with a Packers victory its an all around win-win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 classic RAP This would be an interesting solution..about the NW half of the CWA is all snow at this point (9z) A degree or two could mean a ton between snow/sleet/freezing rain and precip rates could def have a role. Think we'll see a few surprises. sounding is for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Exactly what I was thinking but also wondering if the cold air moving in quicker will have any pull, probably at the sfc but that only makes the icing situation worse with WAA aloft and lots of moisture. just looking at the storm vista map it doesn't even really look any cooler, plus a lot less QPF would seem to point to futility rolling on. actually, qpf might not be to far off of 00z.for chicago south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 where you seeing the 1-3"? wxunderground? Yep. Upper 30s sneaking in already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 weenie maps. Hopefully Dr No just has diarrhea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Yep. Upper 30s sneaking in already. It will cold enough at the sfc really no matter what unless you're way south, whether it's coming in early. Mid-level warm layer is the issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 As would I. Beating the Seahawks to make the Super Bowl would be the perfect revenge. Its all about being in the perfect location with these setups. I still think we see at least 1-2" here along with a Packers victory its an all around win-win. I like your positivity. I felt good and would be very happy with 1-2".. Euro just had to play with me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Just a reminder, since this system will have all sorts of precipitation with it...send your p-type reports to NSSL, either through the website or mobile app and help improve the radar algorithms! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 It will cold enough at the sfc really no matter what unless you're way south, whether it's coming in early. Mid-level warm layer is the issue. Yeah I know. Any way of telling right now, how that is progressing along? Sounds like some noteworthy sleet accumulations tonight for some members! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 3hr old from Hamernik on Twitter. 3-4" from ARR to Elgin seems too high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 The RAP has been consistently too amped and NW with precip shields all year...especially outside 6 hours. That said, there is probably 3-4" potential from Cyclone up toward Brewers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Yeah I know. Any way of telling right now, how that is progressing along? Sounds like some noteworthy sleet accumulations tonight for some members! Mesoanalysis for now but the 0z raob soundings from DVN and ILX will be telling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 The RAP has been consistently too amped and NW with precip shields all year...especially outside 6 hours. That said, there is probably 3-4" potential from Cyclone up toward Brewers haven't looked at it a lot and don't know how it did with the big 12-20" event in southern WI last month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 The RAP was not too far off with the primary defo band from the solstice storm. It did seem to extend a bit too far NW, but it nailed the dry slot really well. Was too beefed up at the end with the secondary defo band that came through this area in the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Its already down to 32 in Madison. Makes me thinks euro is on to something INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MADISON 1122 AM CST SAT JAN 12 2013 REST OF TODAY MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Its already down to 32 in Madison. Makes me thinks euro is on to something INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MADISON 1122 AM CST SAT JAN 12 2013 REST OF TODAY MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. Yeah I am sitting at 33, so we shall see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 What the FIM shows for snow water equiv. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 12, 2013 Author Share Posted January 12, 2013 Don't have time to do a more detailed analysis but surface temps seem to be dropping toward the faster end of guidance behind the front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Gonna get on with the day and keep expectations low. 0.2" tops here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Gonna get on with the day and keep expectations low. 0.2" tops here. I think you will do much better than that. But this way you won't be disappointed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 I think you will do much better than that. But this way you won't be disappointed. yup lol.. Though I did have a bad feeling before looking at the GFS and NAM, but they held ok....then there was the euro and I tend to hump that model like a rabbit. I'll take my gut and euro over the GFS/NAM/etc. NAM in a bit should be telling for up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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