Harry Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 GFS is beast mode starting around the 22nd. Coldest air in years if that verifies. Did it just do what i think it did with the PV? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 lol -30 850s over Louisville.... -18 over Myrtle Beach 06Z will show 40s and monsoons during the same time period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 lol -30 850s over Louisville.... -18 over Myrtle Beach ....and then it's raining up to 1-70 4 days later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Did it just do what i think it did with the PV? It got tired of Canada so it decided to pay us a visit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 06Z will show 40s and monsoons during the same time period. Too bad it is so far out because THAT is what you wanna see if you wanna see some heavy duty LES in these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Can we just freeze this and let it be the final outcome? :weenie: Oh well.. Off to bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Incredible run of the GFS. It appears to depict the second coming of February 1899. lol Light snow into New Orleans. Ice flows on the Mississippi! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 That has the look of some all-timers on the GFS...but obviously must take with a ton of caution with it being over 10 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 1994 anyone? Dear god that looks deadly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 This thing is going to bring massive LES and then freeze the lakes over... Boy that would suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Guys. Guys. Guys. The GFS was cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Holy moly lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 The GFS would be an interesting test of how cold it could get with bare or nearly bare ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 The GFS would be an interesting test of how cold it could get with bare or nearly bare ground. There are several clippers moving through that will whiten up Michigan and northern Indiana, Ohio, Wisconsin... So those places will have snow. The lake belts as well.... But lower Indy and those other states could see frost going deep in the soil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 GFS smoking something good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Definitely interesting, but the GFS indicated very cold air for the time period starting tomorrow a week or so ago. Hard to get excited about this given it's so far out. Lack of snow cover over much of our region would probably make it less impressive as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 There are several clippers moving through that will whiten up Michigan and northern Indiana, Ohio, Wisconsin... So those places will have snow. The lake belts as well.... But lower Indy and those other states could see frost going deep in the soil. Yeah I was mainly talking about non lake belts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Definitely interesting, but the GFS indicated very cold air for the time period starting tomorrow a week or so ago. Hard to get excited about this given it's so far out. Lack of snow cover over much of our region would probably make it less impressive as well. I was just going to post that. Once again we have fantasy cold snaps getting pushed back to 240hrs with almost every run. We just can't seem to lock this "extreme" cold in under 130hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Yeah I was mainly talking about non lake belts. Not only that, but the lakes would certainly modify the airmass, so it would be a situation where Cinci would be colder than Detroit, verbatim. And, in a pattern like that with clippers riding through the lakes, the latter would be snow covered but the areas where the airmass wouldn't be modified by the lakes would probably be pretty bare. It would still be cold though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Dang that run is cold! Looks like some clippers coming to cover the subforum real estate over pretty good before then. Edit: The 3rd week of January is like prime time for the coldest outbreak's to occur. So if there is enough snow down, it could be getting mightly cold around here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Can't remember seeing a run like the 0z GFS. -40 deg C at 850mb entering US and -33 deg C down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 00z Euro has very cold air in fantasy land too. Looks like 850's about -30C in the Lakes and a 1052 mb surface high in the Dakotas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QVectorman Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Sorry just have to share even though it's from pay site since they adjust their contours and post the min. temp...this might be once in life time run to see a forecast run with -40.2C 850's just north of the border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Well holy sh**, that is one hell of an arctic outbreak. Enjoy the warmth tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 06z GFS and GEFS came in much more subdued with respect to the cold snap. Just a few days of significantly below normal readings, mostly glancing blows focused Northeast of the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 nice, brutally cold and dry is awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 A 46f 9am temp around this region is amazing... Hard to imagine that type of cold so close to home. For giggles, what would the expansion rate of snow be at -40.2C ?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 Cold keeps getting pushed back on the long range. 3 days Later: "Cold keeps getting pushed back on the long range" 6 days Later: "Cold keeps getting pushed back on the long range" 12 days Later:"Cold keeps getting pushed back on the long range" REST OF THE FORECAST...MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH THE BIG QUESTION...WHEN TO BRING IN THE ARCTIC AIR. THIS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO BE AN ISSUE...AS THEY USUALLY STRUGGLE WITH ENERGY AND AIRMASSES THAT ORIGINATE FROM THE DATA-POOR CANADIAN ARCTIC. THE GFS HAS BACKED AWAY FROM BRINGING IN THE DEEP FREEZE LATE IN THE WORK WEEK...AND MEX GUIDANCE NOW KEEPS TEMPS NEAR OR ABOVE CLIMO ALL WEEK. THE ECMWF STILL FEATURES A GLANCING SHOT OF COLD AIR THURSDAY. FOR NOW...HAVE MODERATED LATE-WEEK TEMPS JUST A SMIDGE. NWS Gaylord Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 The GFS still wants to bring the coldest air since 1994 to the continental US... If the future would even catch up to the present. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 12, 2013 Share Posted January 12, 2013 The GFS still wants to bring the coldest air since 1994 to the continental US... If the future would even catch up to the present. I'm cautiously optimistic this could happen. I just need to see it predicted to happen within 200 hours. Like I said, the cold shot that was originally supposed to be quite intense around the 17-19th no longer looks very impressive. The GFS, for one thing, doesn't seem to know whether to bring the front through on the 16th or 17th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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