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Winter '12/'13 Complaint Thread Part 2


Powerball

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Your biggest system must be between 4-5" I'm thinking.

 

It was between 3 and 3.5" with both the late December events.  I would seriously not post in this thread if we got just one six inch storm (which would be nice, since the region is on a streak of at least one six inch storm for someone in the metro, counting the surrounding three or four counties, for several years running).  We have yet to see that this winter, though.

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That really sucks, but you probably won't be missing much, this next clipper looks to be trending north, it'll probably be a Rhinelander and Green Bay special. One of these days you'll get in on a big storm. You're due as much as anyone, up there with Chicago.

You're right...GHD was terrible for MLI and ORD. :guitar:

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Gonna be awhile for Chicago. The return rate for true big dogs is nicely displayed below.

23.0 inches Jan 26-27, 1967

21.6 inches Jan 1-3, 1999

21.2 inches Jan 31-Feb 2, 2011

20.3 inches Jan 12-14, 1979

19.2 inches Mar 25-26, 1930

There might not be any rhyme or reason to this but this is an interesting pattern.

1930-1967: 37 years

1967-1979: 12 years

1979-1999: 20 years

1999-2011: 12 years

next one: longer than 12 years?

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Return rate for 10" storms in LAF is about 7-8 years. The last one was 5 years ago (Dec 15-16, 2007)...well, who are we kidding...we're not getting one this winter so we might as well already bump it up to 6 years. Point is that we are closing in on the average return rate so hopefully it won't be too many years from now.

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Return rate for 10" storms in LAF is about 7-8 years. The last one was 5 years ago (Dec 15-16, 2007)...well, who are we kidding...we're not getting one this winter so we might as well already bump it up to 6 years. Point is that we are closing in on the average return rate so hopefully it won't be too many years from now.

 

We doubled up with Feb 2007 and Dec 2007. 7-8 times two...another 14-16 years. :(

 

:P

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Guess I have no reason to complain after the past few days in this area, but I'm going to anyway. The past few days have featured numerous clippers/waves with LES and lake enhancement for NE IN. I have received snowfall for the past 12 out of 16 days. My CoCoRaHS records (taken at 7 AM):

 

1/21 T

1/22 T

1/23 0

1/24 0.4

1/25 0

1/26 1.6

1/27 T

1/28 T

1/29 0

1/30 0

1/31 0.4

2/1 0.3

2/2 0.6

2/3 0.8

2/4 0.8

2/5 0.4

 

As you can see, days and days with a wintery look and feel, but very little to show for it (current snow depth - 2"). Even with daily flakes flying recently, the previous 2 week stretch had 0 snow depth, along with the first 3 weeks of December. The biggest 'storm' was 3.4".

 

Using a grading system, I would weigh snow depth, number of days with snowfall, and the number of good storms. Living through 1978, the only way a winter would receive an 'A' would be to get another like that (tough grader). That being said, this winter is only rating a D right now, due to lack of big snows, being 8" below average, and long stretches of bare ground.

 

Others who feel they are gettting shafted this winter please feel free to chime in.

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But Alek will be growing palm trees by then.

 

Our climate is changing but the palm tree stuff is very much hyperbole.  Anyways, I think you could make a good argument that big dogs (for chicago and laf) are more likely now than they were 40+ years ago...as are equally impressive periods of futilty...or (insert extreme weather here). 

 

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Our climate is changing but the palm tree stuff is very much hyperbole.  Anyways, I think you could make a good argument that big dogs (for chicago and laf) are more likely now than they were 40+ years ago...as are equally impressive periods of futilty...or (insert extreme weather here). 

 

 

You sure like pimping this link. You just had a very snowy and barely above the 100 year average temp decade, short term memory?

 

Arctic ice decline will make more blocking... or less blocking... more cold... less cold...more precip... less precip.

 

Garbage.

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You sure like pimping this link. You just had a very snowy and barely above the 100 year average temp decade, short term memory?

Arctic ice decline will make more blocking... or less blocking... more cold... less cold...more precip... less precip.

Garbage.

Explain.

I just did....

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You sure like pimping this link. You just had a very snowy and barely above the 100 year average temp decade, short term memory?

 

Arctic ice decline will make more blocking... or less blocking... more cold... less cold...more precip... less precip.

 

Garbage.

 

I don't buy all the hype of increasing extremes (it's still a bit inconclusive IMO) but compare the number of new daily record highs as compared to new daily record lows it's pretty clear there's something changing.

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I need to starting making a home in this thread. Long overdue I suppose. 

 

As clipper, after clipper, after clipper misses to the north. 

 

Yeah I'm starting to spend more time in here lately as well.  The snow missing just north again tomorrow night and Thursday is enough to make you wanna puke.

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