Martin Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 A couple things I picked up here at AMS yesterday. Storm Surge Warnings are scheduled to go live in 2015 with testing starting this season. 6-7 day storm tracks from the NHC will be released in text form in an experimental phase and possibly graphic form. NHC is confident in that forecast range but its unclear when the products will ever be fully released. New storm surge maps and products from the NHC may go experimental this season. And just for fun.... Knabb said yesterday Sandy may be upgraded to a major hurricane during its time in the Caribbean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 I'm mega-psyched about the 6-7-day track forecasts-- woo hoo! It makes sense, since their skill at predicting tracks as continued to increase over the years. Re: Sandy being upgraded to a major for its Cuba landfall-- I've been basically assuming that's going to happen. The data support such a move. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Turtle Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 Hmmm...verrrrrry interesting!!! Sandy a major, huh? How about it being a hurricane when it Jersey!???!??! Inquiring minds, you know... --Turtle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 Hmmm...verrrrrry interesting!!! Sandy a major, huh? How about it being a hurricane when it Jersey!???!??! Inquiring minds, you know... --Turtle Calling it a major when it hit Cuba makes sense-- the data and satellite imagery support that.Do you think it should be called a hurricane at landfall in NJ? It would be a pretty funny-looking hurricane, if ya ask me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 Hmmm...verrrrrry interesting!!! Sandy a major, huh? How about it being a hurricane when it Jersey!???!??! Inquiring minds, you know... --Turtle He seemed pretty sure in the Sandy town hall that is was post-tropical. If they were going to make a change, the tenor of his presentation would have been different, IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Turtle Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 Calling it a major when it hit Cuba makes sense-- the data and satellite imagery support that. Do you think it should be called a hurricane at landfall in NJ? It would be a pretty funny-looking hurricane, if ya ask me. May or may not. I think it should be considered. However, the way it was handled, it likely will not be. I could definitely see the Cat 3 in the Carib/Cuba. He seemed pretty sure in the Sandy town hall that is was post-tropical. If they were going to make a change, the tenor of his presentation would have been different, IMO. I'm sure it was. Probably very carefully scripted IMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 May or may not. I think it should be considered. However, the way it was handled, it likely will not be. I could definitely see the Cat 3 in the Carib/Cuba. Yeah, I was wondering about it, and so I point-blank asked one of the Specialists there afterward. He pretty firmly said they're not going to re-classify the landfall status in postanalysis. While of course real-life systems don't always fit into neat categories-- and the space between tropical and extratropical is actually a continuum rather than a precise border-- it seems Sandy was just structurally too far from its tropical roots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billgwx Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 I can buy Sandy's post-tropical classification at landfall based on radar presentation. She did however have an eyewall in the hours not too long before that. Close shave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted January 11, 2013 Share Posted January 11, 2013 I can buy Sandy's post-tropical classification at landfall based on radar presentation. She did however have an eyewall in the hours not too long before that. Close shave. Yeah, it was really close. That eyewall feature actually came within radar range, and I remember thinking, "Omg! They're going to get a real hurricane!" And then it just went poof! As cool as it looked, though, I heard somewhere that the highest winds were not co-located with that feature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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