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Jan 8 CWG discussion


usedtobe

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If you read between the lines I believe Wes likes our chances.

Luckily, I didn't see the 18Z GEFS before writing the discussion. Retrogression of the ridge off the west coast on the forecast valid almost at the same time as the earlier GEFS that had a decent pattern goign forward is really ugly as we get a negative PNA to counteract the atlantic side. If the mean was right, we'd probably again has a lakes cutter or OH valley scenario and would be back above freezing fairly quickly. The run is quite a bit different than last night's 06Z version.

post-70-0-89953100-1357690670_thumb.gif

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