OSUmetstud Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 I'm still concerned with Scott about the the degree of arctic blocking. EC ensemble last night actually had a slightly positive NAO in the day 8-10 range...while this op run is in the significantly negative territory. The GFS/GEFS is also not gung ho about a -NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 right. in fact, the D10 Euro ...it certain looks real good via rip-and-read, but also appears to be too much of a good thing in that SPV being so magnanimously anomalous and threatening to come down. that is a classic subsume scenario though. The Ceveland Super Bomb of Jan 25+ 1978, and the Feb 5 events two weeks later were both subsumers it's when an SPV fragment dangles precipitously N of the Can/U.S. border, a Pac S/W ejects underneath, and down she comes! if the frequencies align, memorable phasing results, to put it lightly. not so sure though when the SPV that tries to come down is roughly half the polar mass of the cosmos though Yeah thats why i would have loved to see the 11-15 day, just pure weather porn would have ensued Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 It also possible for the PV to lift out and then warm up a bit somewhat quickly as we may lose a favorable Pacific...and then we end up with very little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 Throw ur friggin caution flags out the windows kiddies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 I'm still concerned with Scott about the the degree of arctic blocking. EC ensemble last night actually had a slightly positive NAO in the day 8-10 range...while this op run is in the significantly negative territory. The GFS/GEFS is also not gung ho about a -NAO. The 11-15 day euro ensembles actually had a decenty -NAO...well at least IMO. I would take that any day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 I just looked at the Euro now and what I saw was a great chance at a snow event for a chunk of the region on Tuesday, and then bitter cold at the end of the run with another threat at D10. What in the hell is the page and a half of b**ching all about? your new Mod started the fiasco Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 JMA joins GFS and ECMWF along with UKMET with heck of a way to run a heat wave snow/ice event Ark to New England Tue into Wed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 Apparently hit and run sentence formation too. Have you gone back to try to read what he wrote? Just to let ya know, I will say this gently, he has some difficulties, just let it go. He is a regular. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 Throw ur friggin caution flags out the windows kiddies. not yet...sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 dude, you make it painfully obvious you don't understand basic meteorological concepts. you can't have 470dm heights over James Bay, with 588 heights over Miami, and generate a KU storm on the EC - that's the point. what's really at stake here is that you and your ilk of users on the board are losing patients and are so nerved up that you react before thinking. Oh there are plentu of patients on this board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 not yet...sorry we careless about LES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 Oh there are plentu of patients on this board if i had anymore patients I would be a doctor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 your new Mod started the fiasco Huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 we careless about LES i'm talking about snowstorms, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 Oh there are plentu of patients on this board ah hahaha - apropos type-o no pun intended! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 if i had anymore patients I would be a doctor right - i should have put double quotes around that because clearly people need one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 I was looking at record lows for Caribou ME and I didn't realize how ridiculous 2009 was there. They have 6 of their 31 record low daily temps for January in 2009. The potential cold shot lines up around the time of a lot of those record lows...and they are some of the toughest ones to beat in the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 I was looking at record lows for Caribou ME and I didn't realize how ridiculous 2009 was there. They have 6 of their 31 record low daily temps for January in 2009. The potential cold shot lines up around the time of a lot of those record lows...and they are some of the toughest ones to beat in the month. That was the year Big Black River recorded -50F, Van Buren held it previously at -48F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 That was the year Big Black River recorded -50F, Van Buren held it previously at -48F Yeah what a sick month that was in Maine. It was very cold across all of New England, but Maine definitely got the real brunt of it in terms of anomalies. They've had some obscene torches there in recent winters (2010 is the worst)...but that was a real doozy for cold mixed in there. CAR had their all time lowest January temp (2nd lowest for any month...only Feb 1, 1955 had a colder reading. It was their 2nd coldest January on record...only 1994 was colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 Just to let ya know, I will say this gently, he has some difficulties, just let it go. He is a regular. Was unware and was just having fun...wasn't trying to be serious...sorry about that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 Yeah what a sick month that was in Maine. It was very cold across all of New England, but Maine definitely got the real brunt of it in terms of anomalies. They've had some obscene torches there in recent winters (2010 is the worst)...but that was a real doozy for cold mixed in there. CAR had their all time lowest January temp (2nd lowest for any month...only Feb 1, 1955 had a colder reading. It was their 2nd coldest January on record...only 1994 was colder. We try to forget 2010 Will......lol, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 The day 10 deal may be something to watch. PV lifts out and some energy dives in from Manitoba and tries to form a low off the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 The day 10 deal may be something to watch. PV lifts out and some energy dives in from Manitoba and tries to form a low off the coast.Remember.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 10, 2013 Author Share Posted January 10, 2013 The day 10 deal may be something to watch. PV lifts out and some energy dives in from Manitoba and tries to form a low off the coast. bout the only thing remotely interesting on my mind is this potential. snow just about gone here now. torched to 48f. saw 51-52 driving home from boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 The day 10 deal may be something to watch. PV lifts out and some energy dives in from Manitoba and tries to form a low off the coast. Yeah, Its in clown range but will keep an eye on it, Depending on what happens next week it may be the next shot of winter weather up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QVectorman Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 Newest CCKW map shows the extra tropical rossby wave train at 155W 30N and the one continuing to develop at 150E 20N along with the CCKW at 165E 0N. Still on schedule the 155W RW should move over the eastern US on Jan 15-16 and the 150E should pass over the eastern US Jan. 22-23. Tip you still on board for 22-23 time frame with the PNA? Also watching the GWO, the analogs are pointing to an arctic blast of air possible Jan 24-27 or Feb 2-4. I'm leaning more towards the 24-27 time frame since it coincides with the 2-3 week window after the SSW->PV split yesterday. Obviously models aren't feeling this yet but I think they will come around in the end. Still falls in line with my thoughts back on the the 5th that Jan 25-30 could see -33C 850 tmps sneaking over the northern plains or GLKS or NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 Also the 11-15 day pattern on the euro is decent. No vodka cold, but the -NAO was enough to keep the cold in here, and s/w's moving from west to east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 Remember.... Hence the word "may." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 Euro ensembles are definitely more amped with the Tuesday system. More of an icy look for interior...maybe some snow to start and finish north of the pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 How do Euro ens look for Monday nite snow/ icestorm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.