Allsnow Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 Euro looks interesting at 168. Hopefully pv does not squash it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 A bit more robust with QPF than 00z was. Almost tickling 0.4" here in CT. It's def a lot colder also vs gfs. I believe orh looks to stay all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 I'd take 2-4". Get it to look like winter again after Sunday's melt. Sounds good to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 It's def a lot colder also vs gfs. I believe orh looks to stay all snow Yup... definitely chillier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 I'd bet dollars to weenies that Pickles interp of Euro is not what it actually shows lol . well there was no warm push wrt to ML on tue eve from what i see. so it look'd like a rain to snow sorta deal mon into tues w a bit of HP to the NW on tues with temps -8c 850 in my neck of the woods wed am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 Mid week event is snow away from coast. Still around .25. Obv that could still change Dividing line for frozen looks to be around I-84, perhaps 25 miles north or so. From Euro, would not expect major icing event as 850/925 mb temps are subzero to the coast by h120 and 126... of course can't rule out sneaky warm layers. It is the surface that is the problem. But good god, it's like pulling teeth getting that cold air in here - I know these things take time, but this could be shaping up to be more of a glancing blow of Arctic chill kind of deal. At least through h156... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 It's def a lot colder also vs gfs. I believe orh looks to stay all snow The op GFS is also much warmer and north of most of its ensemble members. Have to go with the op Euro and about half the GEFS members for a wintry appeal on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 Euro is a messy mix for Tuesday AM. Probably snow/sleet and some ZR down here.So we sped up timing Mon nite into Tuesday. Nice. When does Euro rip front thru? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 Dividing line for frozen looks to be around I-84, perhaps 25 miles north or so. From Euro, would not expect major icing event as 850/925 mb temps are subzero to the coast by h120 and 126... of course can't rule out sneaky warm layers. It is the surface that is the problem. But good god, it's like pulling teeth getting that cold air in here - I know these things take time, but this could be shaping up to be more of a glancing blow of Arctic chill kind of deal. At least through h156... Yeah euro has the pv further north this run. But hr 180 looks interesting with the energy in the south. It might not be a bad thing if cold is a glancing blow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 So we sped up timing Mon nite into Tuesday. Nice. When does Euro rip front thru? LOL that's the thing... it really doesn't. Verbatim the Euro looks like 40ish to me most of next week with a glancing blow of chill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 LOL that's the thing... it really doesn't. Verbatim the Euro looks like 40ish to me most of next week with a glancing blow of chill. oh boy-another 7-10 days before anything comes? Here we go again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 Drool at hr 192 op euro run. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 LOL that's the thing... it really doesn't. Verbatim the Euro looks like 40ish to me most of next week with a glancing blow of chill. ASOUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 PV looks considerably farther north than previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 LOL that's the thing... it really doesn't. Verbatim the Euro looks like 40ish to me most of next week with a glancing blow of chill.No I meant the first front Sunday/ Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 LOL that's the thing... it really doesn't. Verbatim the Euro looks like 40ish to me most of next week with a glancing blow of chill. That's totally fine. Maybe that will keep the storminess close by. Give me 35-40F with chances of storms and snow versus 10-15F with cold and dry on a NW flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 Looks like the Euro is going to show a suppressed storm, probably followed by a relax to the cold air, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 LOL that's the thing... it really doesn't. Verbatim the Euro looks like 40ish to me most of next week with a glancing blow of chill. snow>cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 PV looks considerably farther north than previous runs. whats 500 miles among friends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 Long term I thought GEFS had some potential as depicted for this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 LOL that's the thing... it really doesn't. Verbatim the Euro looks like 40ish to me most of next week with a glancing blow of chill. well some were on board for 37-43 type of weather after first front went thru i recall. so long as tues is a frz deal for NE mass i will be content. glancing blow at arctic chill would sound better to me wrt storm chances next weekend. but again we still have SOOO much time to sort out middle of next week . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 it's a sh*t pattern over all - not to burst anyone's optimism, but this is the atmospheric equivalent to being a troll. the problem is between 130 and 110 W longitudes. the ridge axis is too far W, and that antecedent circumstance leads directly to trough severance and closure in the SW. That feature then reloads the SE ridge downstream creating the old too much gradient aloft meat shredder scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 It's muting the extreme cold but I think it's better for snow. Flipping like a trout... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 Hr 204 pv slips further south, to push the southern energy off coast. Verbatim it snows in southern va. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 LOL that's the thing... it really doesn't. Verbatim the Euro looks like 40ish to me most of next week with a glancing blow of chill. It's been a long time since we've had a shot of Arctic air that delivered as modeled 7-10 days out... I couldn't believe the Euro sfc temps for Wed-Fri... where's the cold? Also, the Vodka presses just to the US/Canada border and not much further south... SE Ridge is beaten back but just won't die... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 Pickles, I post on a phone too.... You have to mute the shorthand...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 Hr 204 pv slips further south, to push the southern energy off coast. Verbatim it snows in southern va. DT snow shield would find a way to block that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 it's a sh*t pattern over all - not to burst anyone's optimism, but this is the atmospheric equivalent to being a troll. the problem is between 130 and 110 W longitudes. the ridge axis is too far W, and that antecedent circumstance leads directly to trough severance and closure in the SW. That feature then reloads the SE ridge downstream creating the old too much gradient aloft meat shredder scenario. looks like the pattern is getting to you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 DT snow shield would find a way to block that... hopefully, just push it north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 10, 2013 Share Posted January 10, 2013 looks like the pattern is getting to you NO. the pattern is what it is, and it is wrong for snow - fyi for you snow lovers. I could care less. I have many outdoorsy activities I can do when if it snows its less enjoyable anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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