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Moving past first week of January General Discussion/banter


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Wasn't 1/17 the one where it spiked to 50 and poured and then back to snow with 3inches anafrontal? Also, I think February was the example? The first event?

 

Yes...1/17-18 had a spike up into the 40s (and prob 50F on the coast) and then the front came through...one of the sharpest fronts I've ever seen. It was like 4am-5am on the 18th. I remember waking up that early and seeing it asbolutely pouring snow outside with everything covered and flash frozen. Temp literally fell the entire day after the snow stopped early that morning. I think we were down near 0F by evening.

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And BTW..where in the hell were the forecasts for winds ripping 50-55mph overnight? i mean the house was shaking for an hour or 2 overnight.  They issue wind advisories for 30 mph events and miss this entirely?

 

Actually was pretty well forecast. Tuesday when I was working I mentioned strong winds overnight and early Thursday... plus there was a gale watch in effect for LIS. 

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Yes...1/17-18 had a spike up into the 40s (and prob 50F on the coast) and then the front came through...one of the sharpest fronts I've ever seen. It was like 4am-5am on the 18th. I remember waking up that early and seeing it asbolutely pouring snow outside with everything covered and flash frozen. Temp literally fell the entire day after the snow stopped early that morning. I think we were down near 0F by evening.

 

January 19th, 1994 is one of the only 2 times since February 1934 that BUF had a high below zero.

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The Danbury coop had 70" in '93-'94. Even torch-central in BDR had 55" right on the water.

 

 

To add to that, even the Groton co-op which is about a mile inland from GON, had 56.9 inches.

 

I loved that winter. I was in Guilford and we probably had 70ish. I don't have the exact number in front of me but it was a very impressive/memorable winter. The 2-part storm in February clobbered the New Haven area.

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January 19th, 1994 is one of the only 2 times since February 1934 that BUF had a high below zero.

 

I think we had a high of 4F here that day...the direction for the cold wasn't as good as it was a few days earlier on 1/16/94. We barely missed a high of 0F on 1/16/94...high was 1F.

 

The 1/19/94 outbreak though was beyond epic for your area through the OH Valley and also down into DC area. DCA had a daily split of 8/-4 that day. That's almost impossible for me to believe.

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Yeah it really is only a 2-4" difference in climo from stamford to holmdel..I've already noticed the difference in snowfall between stamford and nridgeport/new haven in the few events this winter. Bridgeport is at about 15 inches on the year and stamford at about 10". 

 

Aside from new haven being a decent tick north in latitude, is it the terrain/funneling of northerly flow that can hang on down the CT river valley in many marginal events that perhaps aids in that little coastal CT snowfall max?

 

The whole coast from Milford/Orange to Guilford averages in the 30-35" range and then it ticks down on either side. There's a few things... one is the northerly drain which can keep it a bit colder and limit marine taint. An ENE wind is offshore for HVN where it isn't for BDR so that can be a help too.

 

Longitude-wise HVN can be just far enough east to cash in on a late blooming miller-b that areas to the west can't. My average in Guilford was in the low 30s about 2 or 3 miles inland and at 300 feet so that's not bad for the shoreline. 

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I think we had a high of 4F here that day...the direction for the cold wasn't as good as it was a few days earlier on 1/16/94. We barely missed a high of 0F on 1/16/94...high was 1F.

 

The 1/19/94 outbreak though was beyond epic for your area through the OH Valley and also down into DC area. DCA had a daily split of 8/-4 that day. That's almost impossible for me to believe.

 

yeah we were -10/-1 that day. Jan 1994 was slightly colder than January 2004 here.  It's tied for the coldest month since Feb 79.

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BOS had plenty of taint...but there were plenty of all snow events too, and the melting was often short lived.

 

 

BOS tainted in 1/4/94, 1/17/94, and 1/28/94. The 1/4/94 storm was a lot of snow, but BOS was actually IP/ZR for hours during it.

 

Feb '94 was pretty sweet staying all snow in the back to back systems.

 

Plenty of taint farther north, too (and we whiffed on most of the Feb snow.)  The 1/17-18 storm was classic for that.  The evening of 1/17 we had +SN with rimey flakes at 3F at my (then) Gardiner home, while 35 miles east in ROK it was mid 40s with +RA and SE gales.  That gritty snow in Gardiner refracted lights upwar, creating vertical light-bars (the "searchlight snow"), a phenomenon I've never seen otherwise.  Farther north, BGR went from brutal cold (-3/-20 on 1/16) to low 40s and rain at mid-storm, then quickly back to the -20s.  I-95 from there south to about Newport became a 15-mph crawl through ice and frozen slush that even a grader couldn't scrape.

 

Edit:

The 1/19/94 outbreak though was beyond epic for your area through the OH Valley and also down into DC area. DCA had a daily split of 8/-4 that day. That's almost impossible for me to believe.

 

1/19/94 had Farmington's coldest temp, -39.  That month featured the coldest monthly averages, in N.Maine, for any non-mountain station in New England, though in Farmington it finshed 2nd, 1F less cold than 1/82.

 

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Yeah, the orientation of the coastline means that a greater % of winds (esp. E or ESE winds) are off the land.  It's not an amazing place for snow but if they hang on to SN for an extra hour or two in a big storm  vs. BDR, that'll boost climo.  Plus, HVN oftentimes cashes in on late blooming Miller Bs when areas to the west get screwed.  See 12/29/12 and March 01... HVN did very well in both.

 

 

The whole coast from Milford/Orange to Guilford averages in the 30-35" range and then it ticks down on either side. There's a few things... one is the northerly drain which can keep it a bit colder and limit marine taint. An ENE wind is offshore for HVN where it isn't for BDR so that can be a help too.

 

Longitude-wise HVN can be just far enough east to cash in on a late blooming miller-b that areas to the west can't. My average in Guilford was in the low 30s about 2 or 3 miles inland and at 300 feet so that's not bad for the shoreline. 

 

Plagiarism!

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If Euro is right we have highs near 0-5 late next week

 

Not quite...we'd need another 100-150 mile push south for stuff like that. Probably highs around 10F though if the Euro was right.

 

We need 850 temps near -30C to have high temps below 5F.

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We'll have to watch that front next week. The GFS and even the euro try to bring it north, after suppressing it yesterday.

 

Icy look...sfc front would probably have no chance of coming back north through the CAD unless we got some sort of pretty powerful sfc reflection cutting through NY State or something...but the mid-level front tries to lift back north. Could be a snow to ice deal for many on that.

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Icy look...sfc front would probably have no chance of coming back north through the CAD unless we got some sort of pretty powerful sfc reflection cutting through NY State or something...but the mid-level front tries to lift back north. Could be a snow to ice deal for many on that.

 

I don't know.... no cold high to the north... seems like a little snow flipping to rain for many places. Probably better in the hills but I'd like to see a semi-decent source region.

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