Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 Roads are as sweaty as a winter weenies dreams for next week. Dangerous combo as even though it's 37-40 there are icy patches in shady areas due to the cold ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 LOL..Huh? I'm not bent out of shape at all. We're heading into a great pattern. And I'm excited about it. That's all I mean don't think he's being a DD and saying mild wx for days and days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 Yeah Saki...black ice. Just walked home from work. Hanging onto snow for the final evening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 Yeah it will...who knows when though. Asia missed out a lot back in some of our 1980s/early 1990s cold outbreaks...now they have gotten the lions share recently...they are having their coldest winters since the 1970s the past 5-6 years. Whether we get a brutal arctic outbreak or not, I think we'll have plenty of snow chances coming up in this pattern. I would prefer that we really don't get a brutal Arctic outbreak...while we still can get snow chances I would rather take my chances with a more slightly below average pattern or more near normal and have an active jet stream close by. The pattern (at least right now) does certainly look favorable and it's coming at just about the perfect time of year as well...at least climo wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 Yeah it will...who knows when though. Asia missed out a lot back in some of our 1980s/early 1990s cold outbreaks...now they have gotten the lions share recently...they are having their coldest winters since the 1970s the past 5-6 years. Whether we get a brutal arctic outbreak or not, I think we'll have plenty of snow chances coming up in this pattern. Yes..this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 I spent the day at Berkshire East, temps below freezing all day, they were making snow until noon. Torch has underwhelmed today but the weekend looks bloody. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 Down to 26F. No real snow loss here as the high was 37F and that was only for an hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 Wow RyanMaue (Ryan Maue) GFS 18z drops Arctic Oscillation index into low territory -5 or -6 -- means 40 to 50°F below norm for midlat Eurasia & NW N. America Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 Wow RyanMaue (Ryan Maue) GFS 18z drops Arctic Oscillation index into low territory -5 or -6 -- means 40 to 50°F below norm for midlat Eurasia & NW N. America LL says "Meh" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 LL says "Meh" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 Yeah Saki...black ice. Just walked home from work. Hanging onto snow for the final evening? Weird out there, now the roads are getting frosty at 37. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/38737-icepssy-glossary/ You forgot one............ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 Yeah Saki...black ice. Just walked home from work. Hanging onto snow for the final evening?I think I will still have snowcover come Monday morning...maybe I am wrong39F for the high here. 25 attm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 GEFS are a flag. We'll see what 0Z says as it may be a burp in the 12z/18z suite and considering CMC/ECMWF. But the models are shifting in subtle ways that can have huge outcome differences. Gun to head I'd say gradient pattern but more robust than depicted on GEFS. I'm glad I'm 42N vs 39 but would feel better if I were at 44. Hi Jerry.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 I think I will still have snowcover come Monday morning...maybe I am wrong 39F for the high here. 25 attm. Might be tough to keep the snow cover during the assault on Sunday/Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 Might be tough to keep the snow cover during the assault on Sunday/Sunday night.Maybe...sort of depends on wind and humidity I thinkBOX says (for now) I max.at 50F...that will probably be a little low... the lower part is pretty iced up. If it goes it goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 Sat-Sun looks rough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 Sat-Sun looks rough Close your eyes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 Sat-Sun looks rough When the torch is certain, embrace it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 I spent the day at Berkshire East, temps below freezing all day, they were making snow until noon. Good news. Hoping to get there for a few Saturday nights. Really cheap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 Close your eyes. And tap your heels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 Down to 16F here, High of 35F today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 Yikes at the end of the GEFS from 18z...hopefully its a blip. Didn't look like this on the earlier runs today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 Yikes at the end of the GEFS from 18z...hopefully its a blip. Didn't look like this on the earlier runs today. Yeah it's one of the questions I have. Hopefully the 00z run improves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 Yikes at the end of the GEFS from 18z...hopefully its a blip. Didn't look like this on the earlier runs today. I think there's been some signs in this regard over the last few runs. I'm hoping that people here are right and inaccurate progs are what's at work and that we're not already seeing the back end of the cold (which I think is the more likely case) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 Its tuff to not just expect this to crap out for the coastal plane, after the ptsd from last year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 Yeah it's one of the questions I have. Hopefully the 00z run improves. The monster Pac ridge seems to be in retrogression to the west post 174 hours when you loop through the 18z GEFS. That's definitely the main problem. We could live with that PV setup if the Pac stayed as favorable as it is around Day 7-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 I think there's been some signs in this regard over the last few runs. I'm hoping that people here are right and inaccurate progs are what's at work and that we're not already seeing the back end of the cold (which I think is the more likely case) Earthlight's GEFS pattern is probably not horrific for New England. Seems gradient-ish with plenty of cold north of the border and an active southern stream? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 I think the pattern is a good one going forward... it's not necessarily "great" though. Lots of questions going forward but I don't think it will be boring by any means. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 9, 2013 Share Posted January 9, 2013 Ryan keepin weenies smiling... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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