Quincy Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 12z Euro is cutting back a bit with the "warmth" for Sunday. Squashing that ridge to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 March is a month that has a high variance...but there's been no trend of snowfall decrease. There's been a couple poor years...but march 09, march 07 and march 05 were above normal in the snowfall, the last 3 years have been below normal, march 10, 11, and 12. The mid 1980s had below snowfall in March for 7 straight years...I'd hate to see what Kevin would have thought then. This is key, even at my latitude where March remains a winter month for avg snowfall. I say that despite not having seen a March storm reach 12-hr warning criteria (7") since 2007. Only 14 winters at my place, but here are avg temps and snowfall for DJFM: Temp Snow DEC 22.15 18.85 JAN 14.22 20.59 FEB 17.90 20.82 MAR 28.29 16.74 The past four years have brought only 33" total in March. For 1999-2008 the month avg was 20.11. The 14-yr avg is still more than 80% of the averages for Jan/Feb despite being so much milder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 Yeah that's the -PNA trying to return. Heights rise in the east, but heights also rose near AK quite a bit. Like you said, just wait until the end of the weekend and keep flags handy. This whole thing screams of model volatility too. I have the flags in my back pocket with the bags for the dog. Both for cleaning doodoo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 I have the flags in my back pocket with the bags for the dog. Both for cleaning doodoo. GFS has been the most agressive with phase 7 of the MJO, its following the trend of the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 12z Euro is cutting back a bit with the "warmth" for Sunday. Squashing that ridge to the south. Shirtless Pats game cancel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 Euro barely gets front through and returns back as a WF on Monday with a wave. Still tries to pass it through Monday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 What's euro doin wrt frontal passage timing fellas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 this run is slow to bring the cold east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 What's euro doin wrt frontal passage timing fellas check back the end of next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 looks cold for the denver game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 Put your boobs away NSFW (neither are some of the current temp maps I've seen) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 It looks like after the front, we'll just get some very pedestrian temps. We'll have to wait until the s/w diving into the Lake Superior area a week from now, to really chill off. Probably not until after next Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 NSFW (neither are some of the current temp maps I've seen) LOL. I actually ticked down a smidge. Was up to 39.3 and have just slipped back to 38.8. I still can't see how I'll avoid the 40 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 It looks like after the front, we'll just get some very pedestrian temps. We'll have to wait until the s/w diving into the Lake Superior area a week from now, to really chill off. Probably not until after next Wednesday.Yeah kinda like we'd been discussing. Temps back close to normal or slightly above with the threat for ice/snow and then once that wave goes by we release the hounds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 I'm working in BOS today but we had very little melt yesterday, so it looked pretty much the same as the pics I posted on Sunday. Maybe 8-10" left on the ground except the all-day sun torched SE facing areas which might be 4-6". Today should be the first day where I see some visual effect of the thaw. up to 48 here and full sun areas is down to patches. shaded areas still solid covering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 Yeah kinda like we'd been discussing. Temps back close to normal or slightly above with the threat for ice/snow and then once that wave goes by we release the hounds Meh, not big on the snow, maybe ice distant interior. I'd rather it be warm instead of arctic cold and bare ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 euro has the actual "arctic front" on the 17th. bitter air behind that. before then...torch-ure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 Meh, not big on the snow, maybe ice distant interior. I'd rather it be warm instead of arctic cold and bare ground.No way. Bitter cold much better than this crap today . With cold snow will come Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 Balls cold next thurs on the Euro, 486dm in Northern Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 euro has the actual "arctic front" on the 17th. bitter air behind that. before then...torch-urewake me up when we're within 5 days... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 38 here after a low of 2. I don't see much melting going on though. ORH up to 40F at 1pm. First 40F temp since December 21. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 No way. Bitter cold much better than this crap today . With cold snow will come Not always. Give me today instead of 10F with a 40mph wind and bare ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 Yeah kinda like we'd been discussing. Temps back close to normal or slightly above with the threat for ice/snow and then once that wave goes by we release the hounds I'm very skeptical on snow in sne for midweek,as I think most folks are Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 Meh, not big on the snow, maybe ice distant interior. I'd rather it be warm instead of arctic cold and bare ground. Yeah who the fuk wants the hounds in bare ground and a dry pattern? Hounds with snowpack is a different story though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 I'm very skeptical on snow in sne for midweek,as I think most folks are Nothing before MLK weekend. I agree with you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 I'm very skeptical on snow in sne for midweek,as I think most folks areVery good shot at ice . Prob like 70~75% chance for all interior. Snow chance about 30-40% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 the "fear" of jan 04 at day 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 I'd rather cold then torch that's me. Fire up the fireplace and put the feet up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 I'll have to peak at the QBO. Every decent bomb that has landed here imby ( Jan 67/78/79 etc ) did so when the QBO was +. Not saying it won't happen but i always feel much better about such potential when that is +.. Other then that the potential does seem to be there. I think you all may get yours ( big snowstorm ) in Feb if all goes as i expect it too. You did it now. The weather gods will now give you the pattern i have had for a few years now. Enjoy getting to normal snowfall via penny/nickle events. No dimes or better for you for a few years. Hopefully we all get something nice. Well, I do think there is something to that with what I've found with the +QBO (Aleutian High) and what it could also imply with vortex placement (not suppressive). But please don't think I'm calling for a 99' repeat or Cleveland Bomb. I meant the period could be "near-historic" like in December where a few areas get nailed while others just see an active period. It will most likely not come in one storm but the AAM will want a displacement of high pressures along the lee-side. Right now the modeling is blah again with this (we saw this in December too and is certainly a worry). Expect a few opportunities through the end of the month as the forcing shifts into the western Pacific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 That Wednesday system definitely has potential in the interior. That looks like some decent frozen there on that run verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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