Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Didn't you just say the good news is that it's not getting pushed back? LOL. It depends on how strong the blocking is in the NAO region and up by AK. As modeled, it's fine...but I could see us riding the line if a few things aren't lined up perfectly. Besides, many times coastal areas are on the line anyways...lol. Lets get later into this week and see where we are from there. I don't think anything changed today...actually feel decent about some winter right now. Had a whole post typed and of course it didn't take. Does anyone else notice the quotes don't list the quoter? I didn't buy the speed of the Euro cool down, I figured 1/18ish. Now I am worried a bit that we're seeing similarties to the earlier pattern of the cold thrusting west of us and then following the low tracks NE into Canada (high pressure still too far west off the west coast etc). We get the dribble over cold with random shots of true cold. essentially a similar sensible weather pattern to what we had but more climo cold. We will see, I do have slightly less faith in a major cold pattern change than I did yesterday, may just be a blip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Yeah...still looks like somewhere between the 15-20th it turns colder with snow chances. The only thing this really affects is my area where the hope was to mute the torch a bit. Instead, we may not even be able to mute the John Mayer. Yeah I would agree with you and Jerry. I think I'm gonna wait until later this week to see if models still hold onto this look. Still far out to get excited for my personal taste, but I'm hoping they're correct. At least it seems some global indices are supporting it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Had a whole post typed and of course it didn't take. Does anyone else notice the quotes don't list the quoter? Must be a browser issue for you. What are you using? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Must be a browser issue for you. What are you using? I noticed this a few times earlier. A poster would reply to my remark, but it would show both my reply and the previous post from the poster, all in one quote...kind of like what happened a few days ago. It's better now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Consistency lol, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Consistency lol, Gfs has been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Consistency lol, Ens have been Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Ens have been Yeah, modeled well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Yeah euro op has been all over the place in details. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 And to be fair gfs op has been inconsistent run to run within the d10 range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Still some to go.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Lots of pressure for late jan thru late feb to produce , sad that the cp wasted almost all of dec and 1'st half of jan, at least what fell last week stayed around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Ens have beenYea but since we were discussing the OP I thought ... anyway since you brought it up, EnS have consistently brought us out of the doldrums by the 15th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Lots of pressure for late jan thru late feb to produce , sad that the cp wasted almost all of dec and 1'st half of jan, at least what fell last week stayed around. ???? Pickles, your expectations are based on epic winters. They come but not frequently in the big scheme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Had a whole post typed and of course it didn't take. Does anyone else notice the quotes don't list the quoter? I didn't buy the speed of the Euro cool down, I figured 1/18ish. Now I am worried a bit that we're seeing similarties to the earlier pattern of the cold thrusting west of us and then following the low tracks NE into Canada (high pressure still too far west off the west coast etc). We get the dribble over cold with random shots of true cold. essentially a similar sensible weather pattern to what we had but more climo cold. We will see, I do have slightly less faith in a major cold pattern change than I did yesterday, may just be a blip. IE was giving me crap with funcionality. Was suggested I try in Chrome. Too lazy to download it but ot a lot of functionality back by opening in firefox. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Well ill concede full and total of all snow loss to c vt and Nh fine if euro is right. That was disturbing to say the least for snowpack lovers. I have a feeling it won't shake out that warm , but I am concerned. At least it comes back day 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 ???? Pickles, your expectations are based on epic winters. They come but not frequently in the big scheme. ?? I'm basically saying that for me to get ave snowfall. Ie 50-51 inches, that late jan to late feb is gonna have to throw up a 30+ spot. For ave, not epic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Must be a browser issue for you. What are you using? IE 10 Win 8. The two issues are when I'm quoting in the exit box it lists the quote but not the quoter. Secondly it times out when trying to post at times and loses the post in the process. I noticed this a few times earlier. A poster would reply to my remark, but it would show both my reply and the previous post from the poster, all in one quote...kind of like what happened a few days ago. It's better now. Yea but since we were discussing the OP I thought ... anyway since you brought it up, EnS have consistently brought us out of the doldrums by the 15th. True but it's slowing down. The 0z GEFS had us about approaching -6 to -8 by 12z on the 16th, this run is +2 with the SE ridge hanging on longer. We'll see if that continues my vote is yes, and the cold air continues to be delayed. I wonder if the eventual pattern is still going to feature the plunge from the Dakotas to Texas and we're mainly left with the cold air coming at us from the west. (that's not really a bad thing, it's produced well at times this year) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Euro may be going overboard there to some extent...but do think odds still favor at least one very mild day sandwiched around the rest of the meh. Yeah I've been favoring this. Euro is still really only one disastrous day. It doesn't show 4-5 days of torchure like the GFS shows on some runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 We all know it thaws, final details are up in the air, ugly just how ugly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 tue/wed look pretty warm with sun and westerly downsloping flow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 I remember when the Pats had that money field goal kicker, about the same time we could count on the Euro to be money inside 120. He went to the Colts , the Euro went to the CFL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 After digging out from this morning's snowstorm, I took a drive over to our local lake in Bolton. We walked out onto the ice of Middle Bolton Lake after seeing a fisherman leaving for the day and telling us the ice was 4-5" thick. This is my first time out on this lake and there where several folks out skating on the far shore and alot of ice fishing holes bored into the ice from previous fishing. This lake is relatively high in elevation at 700' so it is a bit colder than Coventry Lake which still has alot of open water at this point in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 42-43f high temp today in wakefield, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 tue/wed look pretty warm with sun and westerly downsloping flow Thats going to be the classic day where its 48-49F in the downslope spots that have little snow pack while its 7-8F cooler in the hills. I think Wed is going to be warmer...it looks like better mixing that day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 at least it's a good week to take down xmas lights Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Yeah I've been favoring this. Euro is still really only one disastrous day. It doesn't show 4-5 days of torchure like the GFS shows on some runs.Gun to kneecap.. Do we escape with cover before winter returns day 9? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Gun to kneecap.. Do we escape with cover before winter returns day 9? No....I'll prob escape with partial cover up here in the woods. But most of the open areas should be wiped out. I think it will take until the final assault though. We'll keep it until next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 No....I'll prob escape with partial cover up here in the woods. But most of the open areas should be wiped out. I think it will take until the final assault though. We'll keep it until next weekend.Yeah low 40's and sub freezing dews Tu and Wed should hold it ok. Next weekend just locks selves in a room with no windows and beer and come out day 9 to cold again and hope a pile or 2 are left Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Yeah low 40's and sub freezing dews Tu and Wed should hold it ok. Next weekend just locks selves in a room with no windows and beer and come out day 9 to cold again and hope a pile or 2 are left Pretty much going as planned though, lets hope the return goes as planned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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