CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 Bare ground and temps near zero. I hope not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 8, 2013 Author Share Posted January 8, 2013 On 1/8/2013 at 4:39 PM, forkyfork said: tuesday. the SE ridge is strong and will be tough to dislodge. i know ctblizz expects a flash freeze and immediate cold/snow but it's not going to happen that way That thing is monstrous. I'd favor Tuesday as well. The cold airmass doesn't settle in till Thurs/Fri. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 On 1/8/2013 at 4:39 PM, forkyfork said: tuesday. the SE ridge is strong and will be tough to dislodge. i know ctblizz expects a flash freeze and immediate cold/snow but it's not going to happen that way I should have clarified for sne but I suppose ur talking about us wrt timing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 8, 2013 Author Share Posted January 8, 2013 On 1/8/2013 at 4:40 PM, Brian5671 said: what's the difference b/w a polar and Arctic front? Found something from back in 2007 from Todd Gross. http://www.toddgross.com/todd_gross_new_england_we/2006/12/continental_arc.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 That would be the ultimate kick in the nuts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 We ll lay the snow down on Wednesday and then unleash the hounds behind that wave the Euro has. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 On 1/8/2013 at 4:16 PM, Brian5671 said: March 09 was a big event on March 1st if I'm not mistaken so that one is right on the edge That's the one that had the gravity wave rip through at about 2-3 in the morning of the 2nd. Even in coastal New London County there was double digit snowfall from that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 On 1/8/2013 at 3:45 PM, CT Blizz said: With low dews little will melt the next few days unless on south facing slopes Dews, schmews. These temps are hurting the pack. 36.1/24 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 GFS is a cold fest with end of the run with sleet denting tolland pates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 the suspense is terrible, i hope it'll last Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 8, 2013 Author Share Posted January 8, 2013 All the way up to 46F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 March is a volatile month...the baseline avg temp in the region is close to 35F so when you get an above normal month, it can feel like a total torch and below normal will often average near or below freezing for the month so it feels a lot more wintry. This upgrade won't let me post an image but here are the monthly temps for MA in March http://img842.imageshack.us/img842/4193/graphjan811024446041870.gif We may not get a March 1916 again, but we will see our fair share of cold/snowy Marches to come. No guarantee we don't torch ridiculously again either for a 2nd consecutive year (just see 1945/1946) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 up to 47 here...might be able to touch 50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 On 1/8/2013 at 2:13 PM, SnowMan said: Lets just fast forward to May...70s and sun... 50 and fog at Logan e winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 On 1/8/2013 at 5:06 PM, Brian5671 said: up to 47 here...might be able to touch 50 Another day where MOS busts low and 850mb temperature guidance provides a more accurate high temperature. Mid-40's across almost the entire state of Connecticut right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 honestly ... i think perhaps some of you are so jaded (why that is, not sure ... considering we've had some winter excitement (sorry Scott ) ) that you are not looking at the 12z GFS the right way. that enters the possibility of a long duration ice event there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 MET had 43F in ORH for today and MAV had 41F....38F at noontime. We'll see if we get one of those hours where it jumps 3 degrees or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 i know this may pass through blind eyes but man ... just stepped out and it is flat out gorgeous out there. beautiful weather! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 snow is no match for this wind driven inferno. 47 and still rising, snowpack being obliterated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 On 1/8/2013 at 5:17 PM, Typhoon Tip said: honestly ... i think perhaps some of you are so jaded (why that is, not sure ... considering we've had some winter excitement (sorry Scott ) ) that you are not looking at the 12z GFS the right way. that enters the possibility of a long duration ice event there. when is that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 On 1/8/2013 at 5:19 PM, ORH_wxman said: MET had 43F in ORH for today and MAV had 41F....38F at noontime. We'll see if we get one of those hours where it jumps 3 degrees or something.Im not even sure my place hits 41 today. Will check when get home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 I will say the hill towns in northern CT have been cold lately. It seems to be SW CT that is torching, largely thanks to less snow cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 8, 2013 Author Share Posted January 8, 2013 On 1/8/2013 at 5:22 PM, OSUmetstud said: when is that? Model la la land Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 On 1/8/2013 at 5:22 PM, OSUmetstud said: when is that? Tuesday...the Canadian has it too. It definitely has synoptic signatures of an icing event, but it remains to be seen how much cold air drainage there is at the sfc. The Euro has been pretty gung ho on it too...though the Euro has made it more of a Wednesday event on its runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 On 1/8/2013 at 5:24 PM, ORH_wxman said: Tuesday...the Canadian has it too. It definitely has synoptic signatures of an icing event, but it remains to be seen how much cold air drainage there is at the sfc. The Euro has been pretty gung ho on it too...though the Euro has made it more of a Wednesday event on its runs. the gfs looked too warm synoptically...but if the confluence over nova scotia is stronger...than maybe that canadian high can push a bit farther south. There's quite a battle with a big Atlantic high at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 On 1/8/2013 at 5:24 PM, Quincy said: I will say the hill towns in northern CT have been cold lately. It seems to be SW CT that is torching, largely thanks to less snow cover.agree-but the other areas will catch up in a couple of days when the cover goes-which it will with this sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 On 1/8/2013 at 5:22 PM, CT Blizz said: Im not even sure my place hits 41 today. Will check when get home The deeper snow cover areas will definitely be tougher to warm up today/tomorrow...but we'll still see more melting than recently because of the stronger SW winds. The low dewpoints help, but the stronger winds will help with sublimation with those low dewpoints. Ideally, we want those 38-39F days where there is very little wind and low dewpoints. Then you get nearly no melting/sublimating at all. You'll hit 41 today easily though. Its already 38-40F over the N ORH hills with another hour or two of heating left. The mesonet tolland stations are in the low 40s now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 On 1/8/2013 at 4:46 PM, CT Blizz said: We ll lay the snow down on Wednesday and then unleash the hounds behind that wave the Euro has. Meaning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 GFS is all by its lonesome with that silly Tuesday fropA. Everything has it tearing thru on Monday. In progressive pattern this week faster makes sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2013 Share Posted January 8, 2013 On 1/8/2013 at 5:28 PM, ORH_wxman said: The deeper snow cover areas will definitely be tougher to warm up today/tomorrow...but we'll still see more melting than recently because of the stronger SW winds. The low dewpoints help, but the stronger winds will help with sublimation with those low dewpoints. Ideally, we want those 38-39F days where there is very little wind and low dewpoints. Then you get nearly no melting/sublimating at all. You'll hit 41 today easily though. Its already 38-40F over the N ORH hills with another hour or two of heating left. The mesonet tolland stations are in the low 40s now. Yeah I'm guessing a 42 or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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