CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Looks like euro ensembles are juuuuuust outside the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 If this storm pans out... HUGE win for the GFS. The GFS wasn't great (lots of flip-flopping) but definitely had a much stronger signal than the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 I have a mac... you go into system settings and then network settings. Click on the advance button and then find the DNS tab. Just make sure to write down your original DNS. I told Ray to try using ff vs ie as ie wasn't working. Maybe that will help as it will be a virgin browser. Who knows... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 If this storm pans out... HUGE win for the GFS. The GFS wasn't great (lots of flip-flopping) but definitely had a much stronger signal than the Euro. It's too bad the gfs had the two sh*tty runs, otherwise it would have been epic win.....IF it does verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Looks like euro ensembles are juuuuuust outside the BM. That makes me feel better...you too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 People with DNS issues can try a DNS flush too. http://www.tech-faq.com/how-to-flush-dns.html Tell everyone to check our Twitter page for tweets on other hints. http://twitter.com/americanwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 If this storm verifies Sunday evening, I think everyone needs to give the GFS an award. Even though there have been runs where it flopped a little, it has this thing 4-5 days ago or longer. It took the Euro until early this morning/late last night to pick up on it. Cheers GFS, you are still my favorite. This is silly reasoning since, using your explanation, the ECM should really "win" since it was first to even suggest this storm. Either way, no model wins. Overall they did a good job suggesting it. Even now this storm is most definitely not a definite hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 I told Ray to try using ff vs ie as ie wasn't working. Maybe that will help as it will be a virgin browser. Who knows... I couldn't get on with anything. Changed my DNS and it worked like a charm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Looks like the ECMWF ensemble mean is going almost directly over the benchmark...maybe just a stones throw east. Would that help SE MA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 I told Ray to try using ff vs ie as ie wasn't working. Maybe that will help as it will be a virgin browser. Who knows... Browser has nothing to do with it. If you're having a browser issue you probably only need to clear your cache. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 That makes me feel better...you too? Yeah sort of. Ensemble are always a little se of the op anyways, but the euro ensembles are a much better resolution than the gfs ensembles. Sometimes these things tick a little east after a huge correction west, but it certainly doesn't have to work that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 The Euro ensemble mean doesn't get much better for Boston for heavy snow. That would probably be a top 10 snowstorm for them if that verified.It doesn't get a lot better than that look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 The stalls east of the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 That makes me feel better...you too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 I told Ray to try using ff vs ie as ie wasn't working. Maybe that will help as it will be a virgin browser. Who knows... check your PM in a second. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Canadian ensembles about 100nm east of BM How's that in relaiton to the op? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Yeah sort of. Ensemble are always a little se of the op anyways, but the euro ensembles are a much better resolution than the gfs ensembles. Sometimes these things tick a little east after a huge correction west, but it certainly doesn't have to work that way. Youd think the margin of error at this point should be 50 miles east or west. Right now none of us can complain, looks like 12/19 but with a more expansive heavy snow shield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Browser has nothing to do with it. If you're having a browser issue you probably only need to clear your cache. He's done that and cookies. It probably is DNS but I flushed per the Twitter last night and it still was a pita. Away from home, not a problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 How's that in relaiton to the op? It's way east of the op, but that isn't a surprise for the Canadian ensembles to do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 TOL to ORH is definitely the jackpot on the Euro run. Of course it is. YOu and Kevin can argue over who gets more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 The stalls east of the BM. That about as good as it gets for eastern New England....it does almost a little loop near the BM and then slowly crawls E or ENE....most of the major monsters like Feb '78 and April '97 all did a similar move. I think most here would love to lock in the ECMWF ensemble mean right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 The Euro ensemble mean doesn't get much better for Boston for heavy snow. That would probably be a top 10 snowstorm for them if that verified.It doesn't get a lot better than that look. Just when I was getting to complete some projects....thanks Will! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 He's done that and cookies. It probably is DNS but I flushed per the Twitter last night and it still was a pita. Away from home, not a problem. Yeah...then the DNS still has to propagate. I know it can be frustrating, but it'll be fine for everyone over the next 24-48hrs...and most of those having issues will probably be better some time today. We had to upgrade though with this storm on the horizon. We're doing fairly well right now with nearly 1000 online. People may experience an occasional slow down when a tweak is made. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 That about as good as it gets for eastern New England....it does almost a little loop near the BM and then slowly crawls E or ENE....most of the major monsters like Feb '78 and April '97 all did a similar move. I think most here would love to lock in the ECMWF ensemble mean right now. No kidding. My concern is that this will be a longitude storm. I don't mind it coming near the Cape, but if it moves wnw and stalls like the op run has, then I likely flip to a cold rain with those ne winds. We'll see, I had a feeling this could happen, but sometimes they tick east during the final 72 hours. The euro took a massive leap west over the last day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Still at work. Is somthing going on?lol If I still can't get on at home have fun guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 That about as good as it gets for eastern New England....it does almost a little loop near the BM and then slowly crawls E or ENE....most of the major monsters like Feb '78 and April '97 all did a similar I think most here would love to lock in the ECMWF ensemble mean right now. March 2001 loop d loop? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 The Euro ensemble mean doesn't get much better for Boston for heavy snow. That would probably be a top 10 snowstorm for them if that verified.It doesn't get a lot better than that look. Slightly OT, but you have to wonder if the NFL will take a hard look at re-scheduling the Sunday night Pats-Packers game if it appears by this time tomorrow that an epic storm is imminent. Normally I wouldn't have thought of it, but in the wake of the recent Giants-Vikings snowstorm-related travel debacle I could see the ever-image-conscious league erring on the side of caution so people don't get stranded. At least there's no inflatable dome to worry about. I personally LOVE snow games and think it would be great TV (if not in person), so I hope they end up playing in a MECS. (Of course, Belichick's Pats are 10-0 in snow games....) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 No kidding. My concern is that this will be a longitude storm. I don't mind it coming near the Cape, but if it moves wnw and stalls like the op run has, then I likely flip to a cold rain with those ne winds. We'll see, I had a feeling this could happen, but sometimes they tick east during the final 72 hours. The euro took a massive leap west over the last day. Well given the rest of the guidance and ensembles from various models...I wouldn't be shocked if the Euro over trended a bit. We've certainly seen it do that before. But I think you are looking fairly good at the moment. The Euro ens mean is a HECS for most of the eastern 2/3rds of New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 16, 2010 Author Share Posted December 16, 2010 it's not til the end of the run but it's basically split in half...so the mean looks quite good. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Looks like the ECMWF ensemble mean is going almost directly over the benchmark...maybe just a stones throw east. amfpsu16 says well east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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