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December 19th-20 Storm Thread II


Baroclinic Zone

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don,

may be one of the most weenie posts ever but i think the ensemble track is my favorite and the mean right now. We got the west outliers causing us to mix and the east outliers that only scrape.. in the middle lies benchmark run like that on the ensembles...

I'll buy that Jay but always reserve rights to bail. There are still alot of if's. To many pieces have to come together, some even unfold in nowcast. One thing that we have going is the depiction of stall and the location if this was to occur. The prior three storms have retro'd. Even a whiff right may hook back last minute!

Discussion of synoptics on the rado show is great.

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little confused. What is the low currently in new mexico going to phase with along the coast to create a storm? another low? pv? nothing and its just going to explode off the coast?

There is a piece of vorticity that breaks off the huge ULL off the PAC coast and phases with the New Mexico energy along with another piece that rotates south off of the PV.

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There is a piece of vorticity that breaks off the huge ULL off the PAC coast and phases with the New Mexico energy along with another piece that rotates south off of the PV.

Part of the energy coming ashore at hour 30 is going to meet up with the new mexico energy? crazy how it can catch up with it. Where is the pv currently? thanks for the info.

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