snowNH Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Yeah significantly east of 15z run. Ok, now I'm getting pretty nervous. SREF's pretty much equal the NAM.. I have a feeling that this is a rare occasion where the Euro may have a hiccuped. I mean its one thing for the the NAM to hold serve but to go east is another Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Well they used to be, but they've gotten better in the past year or so. I still would be careful making any conclusions based on the 72+ hour SREF solutions. But seeing them go well east is certainly not as good as if they had come west a bit. I'm feeling better about being in my longitude...lol. SREFs actually gives me a decent hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Well they used to be, but they've gotten better in the past year or so. I still would be careful making any conclusions based on the 72+ hour SREF solutions. But seeing them go well east is certainly not as good as if they had come west a bit. Wha'ts the cause for the eastward shift? Is it handling the southern stream much differently? Is it not as amplified? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I'm feeling better about being in my longitude...lol. SREFs actually gives me a decent hit. I feel pretty good here for a good hit, I think much of it has the potential to be non white for me. The Boston to PVD corridor and around Etaunton is probably ground zero barring a shift SE at 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 What happen to the Canadian model? The CMC was it? I haven't heard any jabber about it.. Last year it was one of the players.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Ginx, I guess no Wa-Wa-Wachusett Monday? Unless you have a snowmobile. I took it as a personal day. Might wind up a snow day. Do you know if the radio show works on an iPod/Ipad? Yea it works, got yelled at last time for the late night one, which was blah anyway, at least Will is there tonight. I hope tuesday for WAWA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Matt Noyes seems , well, Blah about the whole thing. http://www.necn.com/pages/weather I havent watched him since they moved him to PM shift. Maybe is is always blah now? I think it was an excellent synopsis. Way too early to tell the public they are getting buried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 What happen to the Canadian model? The CMC was it? I haven't heard any jabber about it.. Last year it was one of the players.. Look in the thread about rate the storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 This model forecasting is so frazzling. One minute...OTS...next, major hit...next maybe too far west...back to OTS worries...I think I'm going to be sick. I feel a whole lot better that the EURO shows the storm and the GFS shows the miss at this timeframe. If it was the other way around, I wouldn't feel so comfortable about a snowy solution. That said...if the EURO goes down, I'm going down with it. EURO FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 What happen to the Canadian model? The CMC was it? I haven't heard any jabber about it.. Last year it was one of the players.. Nailed us 12Z....huge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 The 21z srefs are flatter, both with the s/w across the south and ridging in the western Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Really? Nice...I did one both by hand and on excel. Is this one you made or did you find it online? No Nine inch nails did it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Its a reach to get nervous over NAM and SREF combo when they are both out of their range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 The 21z srefs are flatter, both with the s/w across the south and ridging in the western Atlantic. Still early, but look how noticeably stronger the southern s/w is on the 00z NAM at 18 hours vs 24 hours on the 18z run...the energy entering the PAC NW is also stronger it looks like to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 The 21z srefs are flatter, both with the s/w across the south and ridging in the western Atlantic. ugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 NAM now running through 18 hours. PV north of us is further north 18 vs 12z 30 fwiw...and tugging just a tad more NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 No Nine inch nails did it Ahhh. Whatever happened to him BTW? Just disappeared. If you don't mind could you send it to me...I'm sure it might be more accurate than mine, I've writen down some data (like the EPO) which is completely wrong lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Still early, but look how noticeably stronger the southern s/w is on the 00z NAM at 18 hours vs 24 hours on the 18z run...the energy entering the PAC NW is also stronger it looks like to me. Yes, both look better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 NAM now running through 18 hours. PV north of us is further north 18 vs 12z 30 fwiw...and tugging just a tad more NW. Here's the NAM and GFS coming off the crack they were on at 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I have to say... even though it is the NAM and not worth much I'd love to see it come through with a big hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Anyone else on this board have family members that make fun of them for being on the computer so much during the winter season...my dad keeps asking in his annoying voice..."How are the models looking?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southshorewx Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I think it was an excellent synopsis. Way too early to tell the public they are getting buried. I agree Gerry, Just seems a little tame for him. Ill have to see if I can find his old blog. He used to do a split between "official" and "how cool would this be" analysis on his blog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 ugly I remember the SREFS very well from our only big storm last year at 60 they had Dc with a .25 contour and us with zippo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Well the 18Z of the RGEM looked decent although you know only out to 48. Crazy Uncle looked like a hit. So 18Z is split. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Anyone else on this board have family members that make fun of them for being on the computer so much during the winter season...my dad keeps asking in his annoying voice..."How are the models looking?" Everyone has that issue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I remember the SREFS very well from our only big storm last year at 60 they had Dc with a .25 contour and us with zippo Until 24 or 36 hours they're not of a whole lot of use. Would like the GFS and NAM to show something fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 what are acceptable time frames of all the models, i.e. RUC inside 36hours etc.? thanks in advance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Still early, but look how noticeably stronger the southern s/w is on the 00z NAM at 18 hours vs 24 hours on the 18z run...the energy entering the PAC NW is also stronger it looks like to me. Yeah the energy out in the PAC NW was an eye catcher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I have to say... even though it is the NAM and not worth much I'd love to see it come through with a big hit. Same here. Actually, the NAM or the GFS. It will make me sleep better and I won't have to stay up for the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southshorewx Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Anyone else on this board have family members that make fun of them for being on the computer so much during the winter season...my dad keeps asking in his annoying voice..."How are the models looking?" Tell him you are watching porn, let him sort those feelings out for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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