weathafella Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 2:00 AM, tavwtby said: what are acceptable time frames of all the models, i.e. RUC inside 36hours etc.? thanks in advance GFS inside of 3 days, NAM inside of 48 hours, RUC inside 6 hours. That's my sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 1:29 AM, weathafella said: Here is Harvey's forecast video. 75% big impact, 25% fringe. http://www.theboston...427/detail.html I love how he indicates all snow from rt 128 on out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 1:59 AM, Ginx said: Everyone has that issue my wife thinks I'm an idiot, and seeing how she just told she's preggo...thinks I should pay more attn to her Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 2:01 AM, weathafella said: GFS inside of 3 days, NAM inside of 48 hours, RUC inside 6 hours. That's my sense. Euro inside 216 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 2:00 AM, CT Rain said: Until 24 or 36 hours they're not of a whole lot of use. Would like the GFS and NAM to show something fun. I fully expect mayhem from the NAM until inside 48 and the GFS LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 2:00 AM, tavwtby said: what are acceptable time frames of all the models, i.e. RUC inside 36hours etc.? thanks in advance Really all you need to know... EURO: Deadly inside 96 hours Others... SREFs: Inside 36 hours GFS: Inside 30 minutes NAM: Inside 48 hours But these models are really inconsistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 2:02 AM, tavwtby said: my wife thinks I'm an idiot, and seeing how she just told she's preggo...thinks I should pay more attn to her Well you could be in a bar looking for old men. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Hard to tell...through 30 southern vort just a tad sharper..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 2:03 AM, NorEastermass128 said: Really all you need to know... EURO: Deadly inside 96 hours Others... SREFs: Inside 36 hours GFS: Inside 30 minutes NAM: Inside 48 hours But these models are really inconsistent. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 2:04 AM, weathafella said: Hard to tell...through 30 southern vort just a tad sharper..... Yeah i think it looks better than 18z. We should tell soon if it will produce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 All I want to see on the NAM is somewhat of a westward track.shift from it's previous few runs...that's all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 2:04 AM, weathafella said: Hard to tell...through 30 southern vort just a tad sharper..... Just a bit less confluence over us, but nothing to crazy in terms of changes yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 NAM def more amplified at 24 hours Edit: and it continues at 30.. This ones coming west folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I still feel so spurned from last winter, it's hard to get excited yet. I entered the season with optimism, but the start has felt like a horrible re-run so far. But I'm out in Indiana. There's snow on the ground. It's nice. Let's me know that I can love again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Hillarious, I still can NOT connect I have to go threw hiding someones ass. The VZ fios router is a joke and I work for the clowns. Model huggin all day?. I just sat back and relaxed. We're all going to get nailed! Oh the ups and downs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 What I see mainly is the PV starting to dig towards the southern vort by 33 hours which was not really on 18Z at 39. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 2:07 AM, weathafella said: What I see mainly is the PV starting to dig towards the southern vort by 33 hours which was not really on 18Z at 39. agreed. so far so good. will it be enough??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobBensalemSnow Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 This is going to be a happy run for those who want a storm :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 2:07 AM, CT Rain said: agreed. so far so good. will it be enough??? I don't even know if it has to be good enough... Just a tick west will make me happy tonight from the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 2:05 AM, CoastalWx said: Just a bit less confluence over us, but nothing to crazy in terms of changes yet. Main difference seems to be the reduction in confluence allowing hts to come up in the SE more. Should help I hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 2:07 AM, weathafella said: What I see mainly is the PV starting to dig towards the southern vort by 33 hours which was not really on 18Z at 39. Assuming the Nam is good at the 30 hour range which it usually is, this is great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 2:07 AM, weathafella said: What I see mainly is the PV starting to dig towards the southern vort by 33 hours which was not really on 18Z at 39. Yeah that vortmax over Michigan is trying to line up better with the southern s/w over AR and MO. Also pretty strong vortmax over WY lowering heights out that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I think this may lay a turd...........very tough to call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 2:11 AM, weathafella said: I think this may lay a turd...........very tough to call. Maybe not. Definitely better vs 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 It may not be enough on this run. That southern s/w seems progressive, but the vortmax coming into the High Plains is very strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 2:11 AM, weathafella said: I think this may lay a turd...........very tough to call. On 12/17/2010 at 2:12 AM, weathafella said: Maybe not. Definitely better vs 18z. Oy vey..sums up the last few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 2:06 AM, ARLMAWX said: Hillarious, I still can NOT connect I have to go threw hiding someones ass. The VZ fios router is a joke and I work for the clowns. Model huggin all day?. I just sat back and relaxed. We're all going to get nailed! Oh the ups and downs hey, changing my DNS seetings worked for me.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 2:11 AM, weathafella said: I think this may lay a turd...........very tough to call. On 12/17/2010 at 2:12 AM, weathafella said: Maybe not. Definitely better vs 18z. Is the goal to have me pronounced dead for a 2nd time this year or what Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 All these vortmaxes...no wonder the models don't know whether to sh*t or go blind... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 2:13 AM, CoastalWx said: It may not be enough on this run. That southern s/w seems progressive, but the vortmax coming into the High Plains is very strong. We'll see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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