nflwxman Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 This: Gisstemp: Sept: .81 Oct: .78 Nov: .64 Dec: .73 Jan: .75 Feb: projected to be .78C If Feb comes in at .78C on GISS and March threw December is the same as it was in 2014 then 2015 would end up 0.72C+ on GISS for the year. Mind you this is all happening without even a NINO. hheh yeah for the all the grief he gave me for my predictions, they mostly came to pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 hheh yeah for the all the grief he gave me for my predictions, they mostly came to pass. How'd you get GISS to manipulate the data for you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nflwxman Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 How'd you get GISS to manipulate the data for you? Science. Also, update your Snow signature..it's not 2011-2012 anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Science. Also, update your Snow signature..it's not 2011-2012 anymore I think I'll leave it to illustrate how frequently I come to these fora and how much that other thing hurts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 I think I'll leave it to illustrate how frequently I come to these fora and how much that other thing hurts. Always two sides of the climate coin, but Tacoman was trying to be Harvey Dent in a science forum. As an aside, ending up back in the warmer regimes on the North American side with the ongoing Northern Hemisphere evolution would make 2012 look like a walk in the park. Places like Siberia and Alaska are way farther north than most of us. It also explains why 2012 was a cold year globally and we still managed to torch massively and break heat records. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SVT450R Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 http://youtu.be/3E0a_60PMR8?list=PLrEnWoR732-BHrPp_Pm8_VleD68f9s14- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Oh my, not this guy lol. He can't even talk right, the man is a trainwreck. These are not the kind of people who should be leaders. Experience does not count for much when the pace of societal evolution is this fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FreeRain Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Mann was among the team of scientists who established the well-known "hockey stick graph," which reconstructed 1,000 years of global temperature trends and illustrated rapid warming since the industrial age. http://www.latimes.com/science/sciencenow/la-sci-sn-global-warming-hiatus-20150226-story.html Claiming to be the author of the "hockey stick graph" is not a good thing or at least it raises a reasonable doubt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FloridaJohn Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Claiming to be the author of the "hockey stick graph" is not a good thing or at least it raises a reasonable doubt. In which way? Please elaborate on your above statement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FreeRain Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 In which way? Please elaborate on your above statement. There has been questions raised in recent years about the Hockey Stick Graph. Some have called it inaccurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Mann used PCA techniques that were shown to artificially enhance the hockey stick shape. The first papers questioning the technique was McIntyre and McKitrick in 2005 and since then there have been others. The idea was basically that the PCA technique Mann used created a hockey stick with any random set of data. Most hockey stick reconstructions now are not as flat with the shaft portion of the stick as Mann's graph was. This is very old news in terms of climate science though. Most of the newer papers aren't centered on past global temperature reconstructions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted March 8, 2015 Share Posted March 8, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted March 8, 2015 Share Posted March 8, 2015 Nothing but prolific garbage and personal attacks ever come out of this forum. We need a 2012+ melt to shut people down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 Florida bans climate change. Sea level rise now to be referred to as nuisance flooding http://www.miamiherald.com/news/state/florida/article12983720.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 For another view here is a recent TED talk on the impact of SLR on S. Florida. Note SLR in S Florida is currently faster than the global average due to local subsidence, changes in ocean currents etc.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 Similar situation locally. Thanks for posting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted March 10, 2015 Share Posted March 10, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted March 10, 2015 Share Posted March 10, 2015 Verizon FIOS cut off my access to TWC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 10, 2015 Share Posted March 10, 2015 Verizon FIOS cut off my access to TWC. enjoy the accuweather deniers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bhs1975 Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 We're f*cked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 2006 is the best I could find, in terms of hoping for a miraculous comeback. (for the year) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 We're f*cked You've had 20+ years of warning, and for 16 of those I was out of policy making position. Don't give me that ****. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 somewhat OT....but still significant. The sun wakes up finally...releases a X flare. An X2.1 class solar X-ray flare occurred on 2015-Mar-11 with a peak time of 16:22UT. The flare occurred in NOAA AR 2297. (sunspot #) X2-FLARE AND RADIO BLACKOUT: Sunspot AR2297 has just unleashed a strong Earth-directed solar flare (March 11 @ 16:22 UT). Extreme UV radiation from the blast, which measured X2 on the Richter Scale of Flares, is causing HF radio fade-outs and other propagation effects on the dayside of Earth, primarily over the Americas: map. Meanwhile, natural radio emissions from the sun suggest that a CME might be emerging from the blast site at speeds exceeding 1,400 km/s (3.1 million mph). breaking story.. kind of interesting as well....many think solar activity and earthquakes have a link...and this just happened to occur 1 minute after the flare : 5.4 Mag. Earthquake hit Costa Rica Additional X-flares possible as 2297 is just starting to ramp up and become more earth-facing. First images : Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 unfathomable. Why do prior years not have these oscillations? Did ESRL change their equipment? 403.43 PPM!!! This is messed up...wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dabize Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 Florida bans climate change. Sea level rise now to be referred to as nuisance flooding http://www.miamiherald.com/news/state/florida/article12983720.html Great response to this on Rabett Run: David Appell said... My suggestion is calling it the "Rick Scott effect." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 this guy's a little strange...but does good , daily updates on what's going on with the sun / universe in general Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 https://robertscribbler.wordpress.com/2015/03/11/entering-the-middle-miocene-co2-likely-to-hit-404-parts-per-million-by-may/ Entering the Middle Miocene — CO2 Likely to Hit 404 Parts Per Million by MayThe Pliocene. A period of time 2-5 million years ago hosting carbon dioxide levels ranging from 350 to 405 parts per million and global average temperatures that were 2-3 degrees Celsius hotter than 1880s levels. The great ice sheets of Greenland and West Antarctica were feeble, if they existed at all. And seas were about 25-80 feet higher than today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 ^ yet, why so few amounts of people worry about rapid warming possibilities....baffles me. not everything goes holly / jolly out to space....like skeptics like to dream / imagine. and all the junk / different chemicals were pumpin into the atmosphere. there's absolutely noway to know for certain what can happen next....and what earth's atmospheric threshold is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 The warming already in the pipeline is enough to hit thresholds. Our carbon budget is pretty much spent and the rate of CO2 emissions is going up apparently based on ESRL data I posted above. Either that or it's coming from some additional source like methane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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