forkyfork Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 and now it's gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 The Global Forecasting Systems 18z run says not so fast............... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 I think Kevin will take this weenie member of the 12z GEFS: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 .05 with good ratios can still be a couple of inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 18z GFS actually has a nice little band of lift and qpf between .05-.10 across a chunk of the area for Sunday morning. The vortmax on this thing is decent so I won't be surprised if there is some snow out of this. I think it would be mostly under an inch, but not impossible someone could get that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2013 Author Share Posted January 5, 2013 Still seems like many folks will see about an inch tomorrow morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 licking bits of blow off the mirror Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 licking bits of blow off the mirror Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 I think Kevin will take this weenie member of the 12z GEFS: thanks for the hot linked image. now it shows zilch. nam shows nothing gfs shows nothing this thing is weak sauce and will amount to nothing more than some light snsh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 Could be the first time in the history if the boards where a thread was started for a passing dry shortwave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 Could be the first time in the history if the boards where a thread was started for a passing dry shortwave. the shortwave is very odd. looks good as modeled but it is moisture starved. BOX spells it out perfectly. .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/... ANOTHER MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. EXPECTING INCREASING CLOUDS LATE THIS EVENING AND AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE FAIR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS SHOULD ALLOW FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING DURING THE FIRST PART OF THE NIGHT. AS SUCH EXPECTING MINIMUM TEMPERATURES BELOW FREEZING ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND BY THE TIME ANY PRECIPITATION ARRIVES. THERE IS DECENT ISENTROPIC LIFT...BUT DEEP MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE AN ISSUE. MOST OF THE 05/00Z GUIDANCE DEPICTS A SCENARIO WHERE THERE IS A SMALL WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY WHERE THERE ARE ACTIVE ICE NUCLEI ACROSS THE REGION. THIS TIMING DOES NOT QUITE MATCH UP WITH A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER...SO MOST OF THE SNOW WHICH IS GENERATED ALOFT WILL LIKELY SUBLIMATE INTO THE DRY AIR NEAR THE SURFACE. EVENTUALLY THE COLUMN WILL BE SUFFICIENTLY MOIST FOR SOME OF THE SNOW TO REACH THE GROUND. AT THAT POINT THOUGH THERE LIKELY WILL NOT BE ENOUGH TIME TO ACCUMULATE MUCH. MAINTAINED THE IDEA OF JUST A CHANCE OF MEASURABLE WATER EQUIVALENT ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND FOR NOW. WILL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON THE MOVING PARTS IN CASE THEY LINE UP BETTER LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. EXPECTING MAINLY DRY WEATHER FOR THE AFTERNOON AS THE TIMING OF A LOW PRESSURE IN THE SOUTHERN JET STREAM LOOKS SLOWER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 I wouldn't write this one off yet...RPM looks good for a period of light snow across SNE from about 7-10am tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2013 Author Share Posted January 5, 2013 Yeah it's about an inch for many Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 Could be the old 7/10 split for many. S/W forcing brings snows to NNE, and WAA may bring precip for the south coast, but may be rain. Hopefully we can get a coating..but models sort of split the precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 Could be the old 7/10 split for many. S/W forcing brings snows to NNE, and WAA may bring precip for the south coast, but may be rain. Hopefully we can get a coating..but models sort of split the precip.Just wait 'til this baby hits the Gulf Stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 Just wait 'til this baby hits the Gulf Stream. Miracles can happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 any OES on the 7'th . perhaps i should start a thread on that lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2013 Author Share Posted January 5, 2013 Let's tickle an inch CONSIDERING ALL THIS...THERE IS THE CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATING SNOW OF LESS THAN AN INCH IN GENERAL...FROM SUNRISE INTO THE MID MORNING PARTICULARLY AREAS S OF THE MASS PIKE WITH FLURRIES POSSIBLE INLAND. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 GYX on board for a fractional in my 'hood. It's coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 GYX on board for a fractional in my 'hood. It's coming. get ur bread and milk b4 it's too late. this is the real deal. sounds like greens will get 3-5 on the spine everyone else a mood snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 The NWS has reduced this snow event to a chance of flurries, hopefully I avoid being snowbound on sunday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 licking bits of blow off the mirror Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 nice to see the ice frzn on lake quonipolluted in wakefield center forky who's pics are u using as your avatar, random hotties? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2013 Author Share Posted January 5, 2013 The NWS has reduced this snow event to a chance of flurries, hopefully I avoid being snowbound on sunday morning.They have us getting up to an inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 AWT OTHERWISE...THE AFOREMENTIONED CLIPPER IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A TRACK WELL INTONRN NEW ENGLAND BY LATE TONIGHT. HOWEVER...THE COMBINATION OF ITSASSOCIATED UPPER LVL SHORTWAVE AND A WEAK SFC TROUGH WILL ACT INCONJUNCTION WITH SOME SFC-H7 MOISTURE CONVERGENCE TO GENERATELIGHT PRECIPITATION WELL S OF THE CLIPPER LOW /IN ESSENCEPORTIONS OF SRN NEW ENGLAND/. ATTM...GIVEN MUCH OF THE FORCING ISIN THE LOWER LVLS AND THE FAVORED SNOW GROWTH REGION IS ABOVE THISFORCING FOR ASCENT AND THE BEST MOISTURE FLUX...SNOWFALLGENERATION IS EXPECTED TO BE INHIBITED. DESPITE THIS FACT...CAN/TRULE OUT THERE BEING ENOUGH FORCING AND ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR APERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW CLOSELY ASSOCIATED WITH THE SFC TROF. THISFAVORS PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA S OF THE MASS PIKE. ITAPPEARS GIVEN THE EARLY RAD COOLING COMBINED WITH A DRY BLSUPPORTING EARLY EVAPORATIVE COOLING ONCE THE TROF MOVES IN...THECOLUMN SHOULD SUPPORT ALL SNOW FOR EVEN THE INTERIOR OF THEISLANDS INITIALLY AS PRECIP STARTS...BUT ENOUGH LOW LVL WARM AIRFROM SLY COMPONENT TO THE WIND MAY BRING ABOUT A CHANGE TO RAINAFTER SUNRISE FOR THE CAPE AND ISLANDS ESPECIALLY.CONSIDERING ALL THIS...THERE IS THE CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHTACCUMULATING SNOW OF LESS THAN AN INCH IN GENERAL...FROM SUNRISEINTO THE MID MORNING PARTICULARLY AREAS S OF THE MASS PIKE WITHFLURRIES POSSIBLE INLAND. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 So based on that snowfall map the P/C forecast is correct with flurries and no snow accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 They have us getting up to an inch I highly doubt it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 So based on that snowfall map the P/C forecast is correct with flurries and no snow accumulation. Stop letting facts cloud the optimism. Big inch incoming...big, big inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 Since this is the Jan 6 snow event thread... it gon' keep snowing. If only all winter could be like these last two weeks... a couple big double digit storms mixed in with near daily nickle and dime snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 MA Highway pre treating roads Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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