Harbourton Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 So, no sign of warmer weather at all well into April? Really? Uncle W (he's all over the stats) in the NY forum mentioned that half the years we've had such a negative AO in March, had 90 degree readings in May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 euro 240hr tease with low heading towards nc/sc coast. HM big hit? would love to see a 246 and 252hr euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 euro 240hr tease with low heading towards nc/sc coast. HM big hit? would love to see a 246 and 252hr euro Not yet positive that the Euro OTS solution works this late in March since #climo would argue for shorter wave lengths than the CONUS wide one predicted by the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Uncle W (he's all over the stats) in the NY forum mentioned that half the years we've had such a negative AO in March, had 90 degree readings in May. Hopefully between May 3rd and 13th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Not yet positive that the Euro OTS solution works this late in March since #climo would argue for shorter wave lengths than the CONUS wide one predicted by the Euro. the OTS one is for 25th, this one doesn't look like OTS with the setup but its day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Can't tell now which wave I want the models to focus on. The Day 10 EURO is drool-worthy...We gotta cash on ONE of these right?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Capt. Adam Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Can't tell now which wave I want the models to focus on. The Day 10 EURO is drool-worthy...We gotta cash on ONE of these right?! Seriously, how many more events do we need for most in a season? This year has to be up there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 if we don't cash in on one of these with this setup then it will be a long summer. can't believe its mid march and we have these systems to track. #crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Euro ensembles are much closer to the coast for Monday. Nice hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Uncle W (he's all over the stats) in the NY forum mentioned that half the years we've had such a negative AO in March, had 90 degree readings in May. 90's in May around here aren't that unusual (has happened all but three years since 2000)...now April on the other hand... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 18, 2013 Share Posted March 18, 2013 Nice tripple barrel whopper on the 18z GFS, just a little too much time on the grill with warmth but we have the south ecm to cool that off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 0z euro came north several hundred miles to va capes, ensembles said to be even further north so we are starting to have consensus on a big storm to start next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 0z euro came north several hundred miles to va capes, ensembles said to be even further north so we are starting to have consensus on a big storm to start next week Actually it had two storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 19, 2013 Author Share Posted March 19, 2013 0z euro op @ 168: 0z euro ens @168. Hard to tell without seeing increments inside 24 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 0Z EC, continues to bring snow chances and cold for March weather. 21st, 26th, 29th Potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 ukmet 144 from twit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 The ens mean is outside the benchmark, but bring in a ton of qpf. Has to be a good amount of juicy members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 The EC OP looks like what happened during "Snowquester", except there's no left hook up into New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 Thermal profiles are already borderline on today's models. Pull this much further north and it's another cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 The EC OP looks like what happened during "Snowquester", except there's no left hook up into New England. yup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 How far north does the QPF get to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 How far north does the QPF get to? Whole region sees precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 if you have perfect vision you can read that the whole region sees precip on the 00z EC. Much more concerned about type at this point, I think the guy doing days 6 an 7 of the long range shares my concerns . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 All the concern the low won't track far enough north look at the 12z GFS. Cold rain as the primary cuts into MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 ^ more snow for NE! big surprise. poconos could see some with this run, i believe.\ nice trend on this run. another cold run so far up to 186 edit: no spring on 12z gfs today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 19, 2013 Author Share Posted March 19, 2013 ^ more snow for NE! big surprise. poconos could see some with this run, i believe.\ nice trend on this run. another cold run so far up to 186 edit: no spring on 12z gfs today wouldn't call it a nice trend. A primary that occcluded heading into Chicago would prob flood the mid levels with a suotherly flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 What is the timing on tomorrow's potential snow? After 7PM? Sorry, no time to look at anything today... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 What is the timing on tomorrow's potential snow? After 7PM? Sorry, no time to look at anything today... yes after 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 There's snow coming tomorrow night?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greg ralls Posted March 19, 2013 Share Posted March 19, 2013 Someone should probably change this thread. It still talks about February in the subtitle or whatever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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