Quakertown needs snow Posted March 12, 2013 Share Posted March 12, 2013 no big coastal this run but some nice precip amounts showing up for some. but its only tuesday so still time for adjustments Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 12, 2013 Share Posted March 12, 2013 more precip on 22nd. chilly run on euro. no warmup pending Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 12, 2013 Share Posted March 12, 2013 my euro snow maps show for the first one is mainly snow from central montco and bucks and northern chester co on north. Shows a 6-10 inch snowfall. The 2nd storm gets the i95 corridor with 2 plus inches and adds another 2-4 in the nw burbs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted March 12, 2013 Share Posted March 12, 2013 my euro snow maps show for the first one is mainly snow from central montco and bucks and northern chester co on north. Shows a 6-10 inch snowfall. The 2nd storm gets the i95 corridor with 2 plus inches and adds another 2-4 in the nw burbs... I'm sorry Tom, what were the estimated dates for these potentials? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted March 12, 2013 Share Posted March 12, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 12, 2013 Share Posted March 12, 2013 I'm sorry Tom, what were the estimated dates for these potentials? Thanks. 3/18-19 and 3/22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 12, 2013 Share Posted March 12, 2013 euro has .99 for abe , all snow. 0z mon-12z tues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 IT WILL NEVER HAPPEN. LV HAS BEEN BURNED TOO MANY TIMES IN 3 YEARS------ THE RULE OF 3 APPLIES-- WHEN 3 MODELS AGREE IN 3 DAYS OF THE MODELED STORM EVENT ---ITS AN EXACT SCIENCE MAN I just saw it and I don't buy the euro snow with the low pressure in the lakes. All that from over running in second half of march? The ensembles are milder Boston look out though two more feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 I liking the chance for some light snow in the Poconos this Friday night into Saturday. While not much is expected it would certainly make my skiers stoked to wrap the local season with some fresh snow on the ground in the AM. As for next week...hard to get excited at this point. I know what march storms can do especially for NEPA region, but it's hard to buy into anything yet. As a side note I did find it rather hilarious to see TWC showing GFS, Euro loops, ensembles and spaghetti plots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 TWC showing GFS, Euro loops, ensembles and spaghetti plots. they are? wow, times have changed! 0z euro not as snow friendly mon-wed. .70 front end precip for abe, snow .73 rain from cutter after. phl, rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 they are? wow, times have changed! 0z euro not as snow friendly mon-wed. .70 front end precip for abe, snow .73 rain from cutter after. phl, rain. At this point I say f'it let's get spring on the road and get thunderstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 At this point I say f'it let's get spring on the road and get thunderstorms. Better yet, let's skip spring and go right into summer and hurricane season! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 lol Next week, like in early Feb, relies on a PV revolution along side of a developing blocking ridge. We are going to see numerous changes in its evolution. But, we won't have split flow like we did in Feb. When does the +PNA come back? I was wrong here. The models clearly have moved in the direction of returning the STJ 3/20-3/24 and the modeled height field reminds me of 2/5-10 again. It is quite possible the models are once again not transferring out the southern wave properly, hooking it all back into the western trough. I'm becoming increasingly interested in this period but the time of year has me more unconfident in the outcome (for example, the ultimate outcome may end up being rain anyway from a storm not yet modeled for that period). So I know the focus will be on the waves before this period for the possibility of snow but I'm looking for a nor'easter potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 12z euro brings in the snow 12z mon (120hr.) for area, yeah i'm still on the band wagon for now. still snowing at 126hr, 132hr. then comes the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby EPAWA Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 12z euro brings in the snow 12z mon (120hr.) for area, yeah i'm still on the band wagon for now. still snowing at 126hr, 132hr. then comes the rain. Looks like the temperatures from 120-132 are a mirror of 00z run, precip amounts may have backed off a tad, but still snow in the same areas depicted from last night. Timing is going to play a huge role here if that wave does in fact come that far north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 I was wrong here. The models clearly have moved in the direction of returning the STJ 3/20-3/24 and the modeled height field reminds me of 2/5-10 again. It is quite possible the models are once again not transferring out the southern wave properly, hooking it all back into the western trough. I'm becoming increasingly interested in this period but the time of year has me more unconfident in the outcome (for example, the ultimate outcome may end up being rain anyway from a storm not yet modeled for that period). So I know the focus will be on the waves before this period for the possibility of snow but I'm looking for a nor'easter potential. low forming along gulf coast at 198hr on 12z euro, HM storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 euro not backing down on the chill / cold next week at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 low forming along gulf coast at 198hr on 12z euro, HM storm? The trough splits out west at 222 with a monster block to the north..That's the storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 The trough splits out west at 222 with a monster block to the north..That's the storm yeah pattern looks interesting on tail end of the run. our head master might be on to something here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 yeah pattern looks interesting on tail end of the run. our head master might be on to something here Pretty awesome setup..If this run is right we get an arctic blast with temps struggling to get above freezing followed by a storm train as the blocking goes nuts up north. The period from the 20th-30th looks very interesting for a late season snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 To reiterate what HM is talking about, big time threat it appears in the days following the equinox. Let's hope the air mass is good enough by then. Turns out next week was a but of a faux coastal threat, but some overrunning mixed precip with that brutally cold air mass to the north is still reasonable possibility Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 on my euro snowfall maps...its basically a fall line on north and west ordeal. Phl gets less than an inch...from eastern chester,central montco and bucks on south and east its 1-3. western chester and northern parts of montco and bucks its 3-4...reading to lehigh valley is 3-6, with the 6 being around abe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 on my euro snowfall maps...its basically a fall line on north and west ordeal. Phl gets less than an inch...from eastern chester,central montco and bucks on south and east its 1-3. western chester and northern parts of montco and bucks its 3-4...reading to lehigh valley is 3-6, with the 6 being around abe.you have begin and end times for that snow in the LV Tom? I'm assuming the snow extends back through MDT as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 0z euro, congrats NE, again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 0z euro, congrats NE, again! yup all the ecm long range snow threats for the area have evaporated on this run as it gravitates toward the gfs. Euro performing as badly with spring snow as it did in our winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 even if we get no snow, one thing for sure, no signs of spring yet on euro or gfs. below normal temps till ? saturday could spit some white for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 even if we get no snow, one thing for sure, no signs of spring yet on euro or gfs. below normal temps till ? saturday could spit some white for some. Doesn't even look to get above the low 50's for the rest of the month. Yeesh! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 I read a facebook post that the 0z euro had 8-12" of snow for N and Eastern PA on Monday. Is that not correct?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 I read a facebook post that the 0z euro had 8-12" of snow for N and Eastern PA on Monday. Is that not correct?? Doesn't look like it to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 I read a facebook post that the 0z euro had 8-12" of snow for N and Eastern PA on Monday. Is that not correct?? Two days ago it showed that then yesterdays 0z it cut it in half Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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