HM Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Holy crap. At 00z 2/9, the h2 jet is exceeding 130kts over southern Arizona. That is one heck of a southern jet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 So huge southern stream low over 4-corners and a giant PV in the Hudson Bay 2/8-2/9. Hmmmm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Holy crap. At 00z 2/9, the h2 jet is exceeding 130kts over southern Arizona. That is one heck of a southern jet.pretty healthy, but still looks primed to cut.of course, truncation screws this us. Holds back a piece of the vort, and the lead sw gets sheared out. weak fropa with rain. tell you what, comparing that timeframe with the 6 and 0z gfs runs, look fairly consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 So huge southern stream low over 4-corners and a giant PV in the Hudson Bay 2/8-2/9. Hmmmm... It's good i didn't punt, Andy Reed would have punted for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 pretty healthy, but still looks primed to cut. of course, truncation screws this us. Holds back a piece of the vort, and the lead sw gets sheared out. weak fropa with rain. tell you what, comparing that timeframe with the 6 and 0z gfs runs, look fairly consistent. Truncation ruins the next wave coming into western Canada, the strength of the system exiting the NE coast, speed of the southern low and interaction with the northern stream under the PV. This is clearly a significant threat, if the large-scale players are similar to where the GFS places them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 There are so many threats in the next 7 days. It has become exhausting keeping track of them. Don't count if the GFS doesn't show them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 btw what has happened today is the most ridiculous thing i ever remember with a raging snowstorm from wimpy barely perceptible wave moving at warp speed through a bone dry atmosphere dumping 4-7" snow in south jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 btw what has happened today is the most ridiculous thing i ever remember with a raging snowstorm from wimpy barely perceptible wave moving at warp speed through a bone dry atmosphere dumping 4-7" snow in south jersey That's what happens when people dismiss clippers 4 days out. Granted they don't have a ton of moisture. With the cold air in place .2 qpf can turn into 4 inches of snow with good ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Plenty of cold air available in Canada. Would be nice to see a planetary wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 1, 2013 Author Share Posted February 1, 2013 There are so many threats in the next 7 days. It has become exhausting keeping track of them. so .2-12"? would love not to see that cutter cut rather have it slip slide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 so .2-12"? would love not to see that cutter cut rather have it slip slide way to far out in time. Deal with whats on your plate within the next 5 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 1, 2013 Author Share Posted February 1, 2013 way to far out in time. Deal with whats on your plate within the next 5 days ok , .2-12" then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 ok , .2-12" then good expectations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Yeah but give me 2-4 feet or give me death etc so on and so forth....... Well, that's fine, I guess. If your standard is KU or bust, it's (probably) going to bust. But there's no reason we can't double or triple seasonal totals through the next 3 weeks before winter is over. I have to find a better way to convey sarcasm I guess. I'm all for the multiple snow threats over the one big one which was my vague point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Dr No is anemic next week, likely wouldn't see a single event get over 1" locally, then torches day 9-10 and takes the polar vortex to the other side of the world and there goes February Good it's been awful all winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Ahh what a nice retro 80's like day up to 8" in south jersey, probaably drifting to 2' with the strong winds and nary a flake here, all that's missing is Ronald Reagan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 May be just may be the GFS ensemble is sniffing out a -NAO after mid month? NAO Bar Graph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timp Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Light snow in Saylorsburg, pa with a coating on the ground due to the lake effect streamers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Dr No is anemic next week, likely wouldn't see a single event get over 1" locally, then torches day 9-10 and takes the polar vortex to the other side of the world and there goes February Good it's been awful all winter And the fact that next run will be totally different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Dr No is anemic next week, likely wouldn't see a single event get over 1" locally, then torches day 9-10 and takes the polar vortex to the other side of the world and there goes February Good it's been awful all winter Winter cancel.............at least until 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 1, 2013 Author Share Posted February 1, 2013 okay, lets see how much has fallen after this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Dusting here at about 5-5:30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timp Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Roads were an absolute mess. Drove from Saylorsburg to Bangor and some places had over an inch. Definitely a nice surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Roads were an absolute mess. Drove from Saylorsburg to Bangor and some places had over an inch. Definitely a nice surprise. I heard that. Saw cars on 611 on my way home with a fair amount of snow on them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Any NEPA skiers the Poconos got squalled with 3-4 inches of fresh pow pow. Just grabbed the crew from boulder and they had a blast for a few hours. Nothing like a Friday surprise. The roads were a mess through it with white outs and closing but the crews are out doing their thing. Very icey Heard the cut off was around Jim Thorpe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 2, 2013 Author Share Posted February 2, 2013 hope elk gets some by sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 hope elk gets some by sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PAPPG Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Looks like a thread is needed for sat niight/sun morn... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Looks like a thread is needed for sat niight/sun morn... Tom has the super massive "all Feb 1-15 threats" thread for discussion of the forecast and models. Its a bit early for an obs thread. I kinda think he has prevented jinxing by putting them all together, after all look what happened in Cape May today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 May be just may be the GFS ensemble is sniffing out a -NAO after mid month? NAO Bar Graph [/quote Prob after the pV retreats and then we go back to a dec pattern... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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