lab94 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 On 2/6/2013 at 5:02 PM, johnc said: That's pretty ballsy to put that on a broadcast. I know they labeled it as model output and I'm sure the on-air met communicated likewise, but we all know people will look at those numbers and at least give it some level of credence. What's the value in that? What people have left out of this story is that they showed that then they showed the GFS with 2.6" and said this is the forcasting problem and cant give totals untill better agreement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnc Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 On 2/6/2013 at 5:07 PM, lab94 said: What people have left out of this story is that they showed that then they showed the GFS with 2.6" and said this is the forcasting problem and cant give totals untill better agreement I don't know much about the RPM model except that it does seem to come up on broadcast graphics a lot. Is there much of an equivalence (in terms of accuracy / confidence) between the GFS and RPM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab94 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 On 2/6/2013 at 5:30 PM, johnc said: I don't know much about the RPM model except that it does seem to come up on broadcast graphics a lot. Is there much of an equivalence (in terms of accuracy / confidence) between the GFS and RPM? I dont know. The point they were making was the models were all over and could not make a snow forecast yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 RPM is a proprietary WSI model. It's probably roughly equivalent to the NAM. Trust the GFS and Euro over it this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnc Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 On 2/6/2013 at 5:37 PM, am19psu said: RPM is a proprietary WSI model. It's probably roughly equivalent to the NAM. Trust the GFS and Euro over it this far out. Ahh ok that makes more sense. WSI being owned by NBC, I suspect the local station probably has a little pressure to get that graphic on-air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 funnest 18z GFS of the winter wants to turn the entire northeast into siberia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 presidents day is sick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnc Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 On 2/6/2013 at 11:49 PM, Quakertown needs snow said: presidents day is sick Yeah I was looking at that earlier. Even us Southerners have something to look forward to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Wonder who will hug the nam/SREFS 84hr runs.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 On 2/11/2013 at 2:14 AM, irishbri74 said: Wonder who will hug the nam/SREFS 84hr runs.... Mike2010. Luckily, we don't have to hear it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 On 2/11/2013 at 2:25 AM, cast4 said: Mike2010. Luckily, we don't have to hear it. Did he get banned? For what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 On 2/11/2013 at 2:37 AM, famartin said: Did he get banned? For what? Wasn't he trolling Mt Holly just before he went away? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 On 2/11/2013 at 2:39 AM, snowlurker said: Wasn't he trolling Mt Holly just before he went away? Ah, yeah that rings a bell, quite possibly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 On 2/11/2013 at 2:39 AM, snowlurker said: Wasn't he trolling Mt Holly just before he went away? On 2/11/2013 at 2:41 AM, famartin said: Ah, yeah that rings a bell, quite possibly. Yeah, I'm pretty sure that's what it was for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 On 2/11/2013 at 2:45 AM, cast4 said: Yeah, I'm pretty sure that's what it was for. I remember him actually being a pretty decent poster up 'til that point. He was pretty reliable for being the only one in the forecast area who would have grill pics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 On 2/11/2013 at 2:55 AM, snowlurker said: I remember him actually being a pretty decent poster up 'til that point. He was pretty reliable for being the only one in the forecast area who would have grill pics. Yeah, it was a pretty sudden downfall for him, his grill pics were nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 rain just about to start...it's 33 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 On 2/11/2013 at 3:05 AM, cast4 said: I remember him actually being a pretty decent poster up 'til that point. He was pretty reliable for being the only one in the forecast area who would have grill pics. Yeah, it was a pretty sudden downfall for him, his grill pics were nice. The grill dude got banned? No way..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 11, 2013 Author Share Posted February 11, 2013 had a slick driveway, otherwise poured on the way to work, 33f, free car wash, D+ winter so far, time is running out for a 6-12" dump! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 A bit of ice this AM, temps stubborn to rise, most local temps at 32 and just above. A few accidents, school delays, slick sidewalks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 We lost power 3 times between 4 and 6am temps were very slow to rise above freezing here in NW Chesco. Looks like they heavily salted the roads this AM and it has now risen to 32.7 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnc Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 It's 54 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 love how ptw is 46 and my house 7 miles northwest is 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 46 here in Brookhaven never made it to 51 the forecasted high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 / thought this was pretty cool: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 On 2/11/2013 at 9:55 PM, irishbri74 said: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=core&module=attach§ion=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=89537'>ImageUploadedByTapatalk1360619700.978788.jpg/ thought this was pretty cool: I called and warned my friend who lives in Springfield mass warning him of the tornado threat I said it to him before BOX put out a tornado warning gave him a 3 minute heads up and it touched down 600 yards away from his house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 On 2/11/2013 at 9:55 PM, irishbri74 said: ImageUploadedByTapatalk1360619700.978788.jpg/ thought this was pretty cool: Thats incredible.... On a less important more weenie note I'll go with a C-2 inches in delco for the next event because that is the trend for the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 11, 2013 Author Share Posted February 11, 2013 On 2/11/2013 at 11:29 PM, tombo82685 said: Imho, these are the only models you should look at first tier: euro, gfs and their ensembles 2nd tier: ggem and ukie inside 48 hrs turn to the sref, euro, and gfs inside 12hrs nam, sref, euro the jma,cras,kma,nogaps look at when you have had a couple drinks in you need a tier breakdown for mets/pro's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 11, 2013 Author Share Posted February 11, 2013 watch temp drop via car from 48 around lansdale to 36 at home base in qtown. still snow on ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 On 2/11/2013 at 11:48 PM, Quakertown needs snow said: need a tier breakdown for mets/pro's First tier: HM, Rainshadow, Mgorse, Am19PSU Second tier: Mitchell Gaines, Famartin Third tier: vendor thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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