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2013 Southeast Tropical Storm Thread


jburns

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Wind shift here in Greenville now out of the west and quite gusty, maybe even the highest wind gust of the day, still partly cloudy we actually didnt get much rain at all 1-2" tops and most of that was last night. It takes a lot of rain however to flood us without a storm surge in the sound. 

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Buoy 30 miles off Wilmington had some decent gust all day and a few really high ones which is odd as other locations around it didnt seem to do this well wonder if it is off or just in the right spot....sustained 52 knts gusting to 62 knts is pretty damn decent 

 

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41037

 

06 07 5:00 pm    SW 38.9 50.5 - - - - - - 65.8 74.5 - 35.73 - -

 

06 07 4:00 pm    SW 52.4 62.2 - - - - - - 65.8 74.3 - 35.74 -
 

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The shortwave trailing Andrea is making its way through the mountains right now...Asheville (Airport) had a thunderstorm anchor itself for about 2 hours...the airport picked up over 2.5 inches meanwhile less than a half-inch Downtown Asheville.

 

An area of moderate of heavy showers have congealed and is moving eastward through the mountains and into the Foothills.

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  • 2 weeks later...

I know it's just one model run, but I'm throwing this out there...

post-1807-0-67381900-1371805848_thumb.pn

The GFS is probably a tad too fast with the development of this. I'd delay the development a few days as the GFS has been a bit early developing these systems, but it's had the right idea with the first two systems this year. Let's see if any models jump on board or if the next run makes it disappear. haha!

 

Hey, it's something to watch instead of scattered showers in the afternoon with highs near 90. :lol:

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^06z GFS showing it again. It showed it with all four runs yesterday, just had varying location on landfall. Each of the runs show development beginning in 7 days in the SW Caribbean. This was also the only model that showed Barry development from this far out.

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I know it's just one model run, but I'm throwing this out there...

attachicon.gif6-21-13 00Z gfs_mslp_pcpn_watl_67.png

The GFS is probably a tad too fast with the development of this. I'd delay the development a few days as the GFS has been a bit early developing these systems, but it's had the right idea with the first two systems this year. Let's see if any models jump on board or if the next run makes it disappear. haha!

 

Hey, it's something to watch instead of scattered showers in the afternoon with highs near 90. :lol:

 

I'd say there is a pretty good chance of something developing in the SE.  I will be at NMB from 6/30 to 7/6.  

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I'd say there is a pretty good chance of something developing in the SE.  I will be at NMB from 6/30 to 7/6.  

LOL my family is headed to a house we rented on the Pamlico that same week, I saw this and was like UGH....good news is it still down ion the GOM on July 1 and would take several more days to get here, of course there would prolly be ample SE flow so lots of showers etc a day or two before it got here....

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LOL my family is headed to a house we rented on the Pamlico that same week, I saw this and was like UGH....good news is it still down ion the GOM on July 1 and would take several more days to get here, of course there would prolly be ample SE flow so lots of showers etc a day or two before it got here....

 

Actually my marriage could end over something like this.  A hurricane moving up the Atlantic coast. My wife, insisting on leaving before it arrives.  Me, totally ignoring her.

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