Brick Tamland Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 It's not that serious. Its just weather lol. Move up north if you want snow. shouldn't have to move up north, lived here for 60 years and have had snow every year to speak of except last year and it looks like maybe this year. living in the mtns. of nc there should be snow every year. we've been know for four seasons but I think we're going to three seasons, spring summer fall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 Interesting facts for Asheville. The last measurable snow at AVL (other than a trace) was 0.4 inches on January 13, 2011. There are other parts of the county that may have gotten more from a NW flow event, but those have been the only snowmakers around here in almost two years. tell me about it, its terrible, maybe things will turn around, I have a feeling for around the 20-23 of Jan. Just a hunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kilgore Trout Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 tell me about it, its terrible, maybe things will turn around, I have a feeling for around the 20-23 of Jan. Just a hunch. Not surprisingly, this is the longest stretch without measurable snow in the history of records at AVL. Also, I signed up on January 9, 2011, a day before our last big storm which was on the 10th. Coincidence? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 Well, today is the 3rd...the day I said we'd have a wide spread zrain storm in Ga. My hopes for a new career are in ashes. Following my spectacular win in the pick the first tropical storm and where it will form thread, my confidence was high, my path was set, my arms ready to hold the awards, my ears the adulation...yet now, I'm doomed once more to oblivion. Doomed to the trash heap of failed storm predictors. My rise was to be meteoric, yet in failure I crashed without as much as a sputter. Weather seer...thy name be ruination. I am destitute.... Ok...... I will go out on a limb and predict wide spread ip/sn for the nGa area, from Macon north on Feb 3rd. Take it to the bank!!! You experience may vary. The sponsor of this prediction is not resposible in anyway for similarities, real or imagined to this prediction. Prediction subject to change.without warning. All predictions are non binding! Said predictor wlll be held harmless in all instances of litigation. Prediction is just for fun, if you take it to heart, you need to find other outlets!! That is all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 Yeah we have to wait till the end of the month apparently. Happy Birthday Justin! Thank you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 It looks like this winter overall will suck, but all we need is the timing right for about a week and maybe we can cash in on one huge storm. This is from the thread on tidbits from the web. Here is an awesome writeup on the Carolina Crusher 2000. Notice the first chart showing the Positive NAo and negative PNA throughout that January, then around the 18th they flipped temporarily for about 10 days and produced one of the greatest 8 day stretches of winter weather in North Carolina history. Also a great lesson on why not to hinge your forecast just on models but use them as tools. http://www.weatherbe...tter-1-4-2012-d Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 Thank you! Happy Bday, Justin! You're a great poster, and you deserve it!! Cake and ice cream for everybody!!!! T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 ➕1Happy birthday Justin!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 Does anyone else here garden? I must have spilled some lettuce seeds and with the milder temps and rain, I've got lettuce coming up like crazy! Our rye grass is also suddenly growing like crazy....so much that we may actually have to get the mower out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 Posting hint....notice my post is mostly blather, but still stands, while yours was removed....because having learned from Joe, the master, I put some model related words in with my post, thus making it acceptable. i.e. .... say you are posting in the Obs thread, and you say, "My hemoroids are sure hurting this morning, and I've got to cut the grass." This post will be moved. But if you simply add, " I guess the fact that it is 43, and raining doesn't help", then you are fine! T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 The GFS is back baby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 The GFS is back baby But if it not great success, it will be execute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NGaWxNerd Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 Well, today is the 3rd...the day I said we'd have a wide spread zrain storm in Ga. My hopes for a new career are in ashes. Following my spectacular win in the pick the first tropical storm and where it will form thread, my confidence was high, my path was set, my arms ready to hold the awards, my ears the adulation...yet now, I'm doomed once more to oblivion. Doomed to the trash heap of failed storm predictors. My rise was to be meteoric, yet in failure I crashed without as much as a sputter. Weather seer...thy name be ruination. I am destitute.... Ok...... I will go out on a limb and predict wide spread ip/sn for the nGa area, from Macon north on Feb 3rd. Take it to the bank!!! I too bought into the 3rd being a lovely event for the ATL area, so much so that I posted that big fat lie on my FB like it was written in stone. Thank goodness my FB friends never go back and look at my weather posts and hold me to the fire when I am wrong. You experience may vary. The sponsor of this prediction is not resposible in anyway for similarities, real or imagined to this prediction. Prediction subject to change.without warning. All predictions are non binding! Said predictor wlll be held harmless in all instances of litigation. Prediction is just for fun, if you take it to heart, you need to find other outlets!! That is all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 The GFS is back baby I doni believe we will torch too bad and the cold to follow will be rewarding! If possible stay away from the obs thread till the 12th or so...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 Can we take a poll on who is the worst poster? And can the winner get 5-posted? Fortunately they've been banned so I want vote for them! Maybe let's do one that includes worst poster that's not banned??? BTW happy b day youngin! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 Everybody all happy, happy, happy. -Phil Good to see you back blue kazoo! How bout make that thing bounce for some mojo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 LOL!!!! Good to see you Steve...still racing? Has anyone seen WeatherNC?? He hasn't been on since Thanksgiving....Miss his Moderating! No offense Buckeye but loved it when him or Lookout got on somebody!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 Yup. And at 300 on the 18 gfs, my location showed 1.19" at a surface temp of 30 via meteo star . This has been constant over the last 4 runs of the gfs . The GFS is back baby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 Good to see you Steve...still racing? Has anyone seen WeatherNC?? He hasn't been on since Thanksgiving....Miss his Moderating! No offense Buckeye but loved it when him or Lookout got on somebody!! No Buckeye is the greatest mod in the SE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 No Buckeye is the greatest mod in the SE! Buckeye is great, was stating how I missed the way he and Lookout used to get after people..not debating who's the best Mod! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 Good to see you Steve...still racing? Has anyone seen WeatherNC?? He hasn't been on since Thanksgiving....Miss his Moderating! No offense Buckeye but loved it when hioticem or Lookout got on somebody!! Thanks! I'm still here! Racing is over for the season, the last event was the first week of December and we'll get started back in February. Here's a video of one of my runs: I let Youtube fix the video (which i won't do again), you'll notice how I'm in a time warp and it makes the cones lean! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 Have we ever had severe cold outbreaks with a lack of a -NAO in the SE? Sure the PNA and AO COULD be favorable. Snowcover will also be substantially lower from this warm up so you would expect it to moderate by the time it reaches the SE. Where is everyone getting this cold from for mid-late JAN? I'm most likely missing another important factor or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 Not being able to multiquote this evening is irritating Ocooneexman......I know what you mean Weathernc has been busy these past few weeks and Lookout has been around, but hasn't had time to post lately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 Lol, The enduring magic of the hemoroid joke T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 Thanks! I'm still here! Racing is over for the season, the last event was the first week of December and we'll get started back in February. Here's a video of one of my runs: I let Youtube fix the video (which i won't do again), you'll notice how I'm in a time warp and it makes the cones lean! Well, that's not the nose of a Lamborghini, so I guess I have to keep calling you Jeep Boy, lol. Nice run!! I thought your recent absence was you rounding up funding for a new Italian ride T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 Have we ever had severe cold outbreaks with a lack of a -NAO in the SE? Sure the PNA and AO COULD be favorable. Snowcover will also be substantially lower from this warm up so you would expect it to moderate by the time it reaches the SE. Where is everyone getting this cold from for mid-late JAN? I'm most likely missing another important factor or two. The snow cover northward and westward shouldn't be affected that terribly. It's not like this "warm up" is some dramatic heat wave. As far as the late January cold - I suspect it's coming from the progged PNA spike and cold features on the GFS, and Euro (somewhat). Also, apparently the weeklies read contrary to warmth today - but I think they were for weeks 3 & 4. Then there is the Strat warming, etc... My personal opinion is that until the flow slows down, I'm supicious of anything that far out regardless of model/weekly consensus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 The snow cover northward and westward shouldn't be affected that terribly. It's not like this "warm up" is some dramatic heat wave. As far as the late January cold - I suspect it's coming from the progged PNA spike and cold features on the GFS, and Euro (somewhat). Also, apparently the weeklies read contrary to warmth today - but I think they were for weeks 3 & 4. Then there is the Strat warming, etc... My personal opinion is that until the flow slows down, I'm supicious of anything that far out regardless of model/weekly consensus. Personally and this probably pure weenism I like the look the GFS has had for the Carolinas at least with the cold coming down then receding. I've always believed that you get better chances this way at a big storm. As the pattern starts to change is when you get the most instability in the atmosphere. Give me some small to medium changes and hopefully it creates something big out of the chaos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 Personally and this probably pure weenism I like the look the GFS has had for the Carolinas at least with the cold coming down then receding. I've always believed that you get better chances this way at a big storm. As the pattern starts to change is when you get the most instability in the atmosphere. Give me some small to medium changes and hopefully it creates something big out of the chaos. Don't get me wrong, I really like that look as well. The question to me is whether or not that and other model looks are conclusions of confusion because of the difficulty stemming from the PAC (as has seemed to be the case so far). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 Good to see you back blue kazoo! How bout make that thing bounce for some mojo! I'm bringing the mojo back: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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