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January Banter


WilkesboroDude

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I wonder if Mariettawx learned his lesson this week on why you should not poo poo potential threats 4 days in advance....

I'm guilty of this also but looking back 4 days ago I would probably do the samething. This is one of the rare situations the models changed for the better. 4 days ago the models weren't showing this strong of a ULL. Then of all things the NAM pulls a rabit out of its hat. Oh well....I'd rather be wrong if it's going to bring me snow. :-)

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Hey, Girl, you could get lucky on this one, if it continues to do the  north thing!  More than a few inches anyway!  I'm pulling for ya'll up north 'cause I got the snow with the last two ULLs and you guys got screwed.  Nature like a balance!  Of course it wouldn't bother me to get a spread out cold core, and get some good rates down here too :)  Good luck!!  T

Looking this morning as I hang my frizzy haired head out the door, I'm not so sure. Having a hard time deciding which thread to follow and have blow up my phone today while I am out and about. My husband and my BFF and neighboor are both on the south side of ATL today and are depending on me to tell them when to get their Derby Cars started to fight their way north to the lake.OBS said a few flakes in Alabama already. I keep seeing this bid dry looking comma thing on the maps and that makes me sad.

 

If I get screwed I am blaming Wilkesdude for messing with the Norm and bleeping the mojo.

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Yeah, I'm not sure whether that is good or bad!  From wikipedia, concerning the Shakespearean play Othello:

 

Iago is a Machiavellian schemer and manipulator, as he is often referred to as "honest Iago", displaying his skill at deceiving other characters so that not only do they not suspect him, but they count on him as the person most likely to be truthful.

 

Is this storm simply a schemer and manipulator?  Do we get our hopes up and believe all the models only to have them dashed on the rocks of disappointment and despair?  Let's hope not...

 

:lmao:

 

(OK. where do I come up with this psychological mumbo-jumbo?)

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Yeah, I'm not sure whether that is good or bad!  From wikipedia:

 

 

Is this storm simply a schemer and manipulator?  Do we get our hopes up and believe all the models only to have them dashed on the rocks of disappointment and despair?  Let's hope not...

 

:lmao:

 

(OK. where do I come up with this psychological mumbo-jumbo?)

Dude, that's deep. I think you've been hanging in the attic with Stovepipe's woodpeckers.I here it's quite the party.

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Dude, that's deep. I think you've been hanging in the attic with Stovepipe's woodpeckers.I here it's quite the party.

 

Haha!

 

I think Stovepipe has the solution to his problem in his own username.  Simply pipe the heat/smoke from his stove into his attic and you'll quickly force those woodpeckers back out into the elements.  Of course, you might also burn your house down, if you're not careful.  But it's worth a try?  Right?

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While I'm not new to the board I am still learning.  What in the heck is a snow shadow?  It looks like there is one on the RAP that goes right through Wake County.  I'm assuming that's not a good thing.  We got dryslotted a couple years ago and I was bummed.  We are in far North Raleigh so I'm beginning to get concerned.  Are IMBY posts ok in banter threads?  I hope I'm not going to get into any trouble.  And yes, there is another woman in here so whoever said they need to pull their pants up please do so :).

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While I'm not new to the board I am still learning.  What in the heck is a snow shadow?  It looks like there is one on the RAP that goes right through Wake County.  I'm assuming that's not a good thing.  We got dryslotted a couple years ago and I was bummed.  We are in far North Raleigh so I'm beginning to get concerned.  Are IMBY posts ok in banter threads?  I hope I'm not going to get into any trouble.  And yes, there is another woman in here so whoever said they need to pull their pants up please do so :).

 

IMBY requests are more than welcome in the banter thread.  They may not always get answered, but there's no harm in asking.  My definition of "snow shadow" is simply an area that seems to have much less snowfall than the areas immediately around it.  Others may define it differently.

 

I think you'll have a great shot at seeing some nice snow later this evening, but I'm no met.  In fact, recent trends of the NAM have been upping the modeled precipitation amounts for your area.

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While I'm not new to the board I am still learning.  What in the heck is a snow shadow?  It looks like there is one on the RAP that goes right through Wake County.  I'm assuming that's not a good thing.  We got dryslotted a couple years ago and I was bummed.  We are in far North Raleigh so I'm beginning to get concerned.  Are IMBY posts ok in banter threads?  I hope I'm not going to get into any trouble.  And yes, there is another woman in here so whoever said they need to pull their pants up please do so :).

Welcome. 

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Thank you both for your replies!  I am trying my best to learn because I really do love weather.  While I do have a degree in Journalism one of my favorite classes I took at Carolina was weather and climate.  Needless to say I didn't do very well, which is why I'm struggling to learn everything.  I have tried to temper the expectations of our kiddos but they are expecting tons of snow, so that shadow better be far, far, far away from North Raleigh!

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While I'm not new to the board I am still learning.  What in the heck is a snow shadow?  It looks like there is one on the RAP that goes right through Wake County.  I'm assuming that's not a good thing.  We got dryslotted a couple years ago and I was bummed.  We are in far North Raleigh so I'm beginning to get concerned.  Are IMBY posts ok in banter threads?  I hope I'm not going to get into any trouble.  And yes, there is another woman in here so whoever said they need to pull their pants up please do so :).

Welcome to the board!

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Thank you both for your replies!  I am trying my best to learn because I really do love weather.  While I do have a degree in Journalism one of my favorite classes I took at Carolina was weather and climate.  Needless to say I didn't do very well, which is why I'm struggling to learn everything.  I have tried to temper the expectations of our kiddos but they are expecting tons of snow, so that shadow better be far, far, far away from North Raleigh!

 

Good to have you! you can correct my spelling mistakes

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Thank you both for your replies!  I am trying my best to learn because I really do love weather.  While I do have a degree in Journalism one of my favorite classes I took at Carolina was weather and climate.  Needless to say I didn't do very well, which is why I'm struggling to learn everything.  I have tried to temper the expectations of our kiddos but they are expecting tons of snow, so that shadow better be far, far, far away from North Raleigh!

 

The shadow I have referred to (and others, as well) has been showing up in the lee of the mountains.  We're talking Burke, Caldwell, Wilkes counties.  The cities of Morganton, Lenoir, Wilkesboro.  Raleigh is nowhere near this feature.

 

I have three small kids myself, though.  I always temper my expectations when talking with them.  I don't want to build it up so big and then dash their hopes.  So, I've told them that there is a good chance we might "see" snow this evening, but that I'm still not positive.  It's much better to surprise them with bigger amounts than to disappoint them with lower ones.  At the same time, I'm privately hoping for around 4 inches of snow, but I keep this to myself.  :)

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I wonder if Mariettawx learned his lesson this week on why you should not poo poo potential threats 4 days in advance....

 

I was with Marietta on this one.  Let's be honest - who really thought the NAM would lead the way at that point?  I don't blame him at all.  Hell, I just started biting on this 2 days ago.

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Ok, I have a weenie question.  In what most would consider classic "good" snowstorms (Miller A for example), what kind of radar returns are typical?  The Hi-Res NAM is throwing out 40-45dzb for 4 hours straight with 30dzb returns on each end of that.  It's also showing masive precip of .25+ during those hours.  That has to be overdone right?  If not, it would be over a foot!  Somebody calm me down please!

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The shadow I have referred to (and others, as well) has been showing up in the lee of the mountains.  We're talking Burke, Caldwell, Wilkes counties.  The cities of Morganton, Lenoir, Wilkesboro.  Raleigh is nowhere near this feature.

 

I have three small kids myself, though.  I always temper my expectations when talking with them.  I don't want to build it up so big and then dash their hopes.  So, I've told them that there is a good chance we might "see" snow this evening, but that I'm still not positive.  It's much better to surprise them with bigger amounts than to disappoint them with lower ones.  At the same time, I'm privately hoping for around 4 inches of snow, but I keep this to myself.  :)

Thank you for your response!  That makes sense about the shadow.  I guess I was just reading the map wrong (not surprising.)  I told our kiddos this morning that it would be a pleasant surprise if we saw snow in the morning but our seven year-old said, "well we better have some snow because we didn't get any last year and it wasn't fair."  Kids don't seem to understand that life isn't always fair :).

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