burgertime Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 I take all the credit for this event(if it works out) you better start the nowcast/obs thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 https://www.facebook.com/41FirstAlert?ref=stream Shamless plug, but come on by and say hi! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Listen up folks...................before posting here read the pinned thread on posting etiquette, then re-read it several times until you completely understand. Consider this a warning to everyone. My trigger finger is running on a short fuse and time outs/warnings will be issued without notice. Just in case anyone missed this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 I take all the credit for this event(if it works out) you better start the nowcast/obs thread. It's all you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 I've hit 70 degrees a total of 4 times (I think) since December. Two of those were in the first week of Dec. which isn't unusual. Folks in eastern NC however - yeah...suck city this year. And there goes the snow hole on the 18z GFS! (Great, the best-looking model is the lowest-resolution and worst-performing this close to the event.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 So Wilkes, I guess you think DT is correct now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 I don't wanna hear any complaining from Brick. There is usually a 3-4 inch gradient across Wake County and I'm in the SE little corner that always gets the least. He's in the money spot and don't let him tell ya any different. I feel bad for Jon...he's farther south than me. But maybe the Pack can come through for him tonight at least! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Why is Atlanta under a WSW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Why is Atlanta under a WSW? Um, It's gonna snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NGaWxNerd Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Why is Atlanta under a WSW? 1. more for black ice Friday am than anything 2. This will affect us at our rush hour and when drivers see 1 snowflake fall from the sky, the Derby Crashes will begin 3. It's Atlanta and P'tree city hates to get caught with their pants down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 I don't wanna hear any complaining from Brick. There is usually a 3-4 inch gradient across Wake County and I'm in the SE little corner that always gets the least. He's in the money spot and don't let him tell ya any different. I feel bad for Jon...he's farther south than me. But maybe the Pack can come through for him tonight at least! Seems the TV forecasts are just saying an inch at best, though. Maybe they will increase it tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Um, It's gonna snow? Lol what model is showing 2-4 inches for ATL..? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Holy **** you guys better hope, the NAM is right. Look how far N the Gfs is lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 1. more for black ice Friday am than anything 2. This will affect us at our rush hour and when drivers see 1 snowflake fall from the sky, the Derby Crashes will begin 3. It's Atlanta and P'tree city hates to get caught with their pants down. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Charlottesville has 6-10 inches in the FC when the NAM has nothing. Somebody is gonna get Mega Screwed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Lol what model is showing 2-4 inches for ATL..? None that I know of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Why is Atlanta under a WSW? They didn't consult you first? I feel shocked! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 None that I know of. How much are you expecting? I see you are in a WSW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Charlottesville has 6-10 inches in the FC when the NAM has nothing. Somebody is gonna get Mega Screwed! Yet, this system will still prove you were wrong. I will - in all seriousness - give you credit for admitting that you didn't think the globals would bow to the NAM. Many of us would not have thought that in the beginning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 They didn't consult you first? I feel shocked! Yeah I issue WSW. As soon as I got off, they issued 'them everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Charlottesville has 6-10 inches in the FC when the NAM has nothing. Somebody is gonna get Mega Screwed! It seems that your hobby is to gleefully hope that no one gets snow because you live in the tropics and can't get any in the best of winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Under a ws watch for 1-2" after set to get 2-3" of rain during the day tomorrow sloppy ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Was thinking about this too. How much UVM do you need to dynamically cool a column to produce snow? New data valid at 18Z sounding has 850mb temps way above zero, then crashing to zero by 00Z. I know intense VV's can cool the column quickly, but just HOW quickly? Alright, help me out someone. We've got some mighty big acronyms floating around the storm thread that I can't make sense of. What is UVM and VV? Thanks for dropping some knowledge on me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 How much are you expecting? I see you are in a WSW. That's a good question. My experience with these types of systems is that the don't go crazy here like they tend to do for some of the western and northern areas (I posted that in the other thread too). I would guess a sloppy inch or two here. I think ATL is under a WSW just to raise public awareness of the potential...and there is potential for a minor event there (and here). If that pans out, they can always change to a WAA. If it trends worse, they can always upgrade to a Warning. A WSW leaves them room and options going forward. It's a prudent thing to do at this point, probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 It seems that your hobby is to gleefully hope that no one gets snow because you live in the tropics and can't get any in the best of winters. Dude please stfu because I never said that. I said I thought it wouldn't snow outside the mountains. I see that I was wrong. I don't give a care about snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Was thinking about this too. How much UVM do you need to dynamically cool a column to produce snow? New data valid at 18Z sounding has 850mb temps way above zero, then crashing to zero by 00Z. I know intense VV's can cool the column quickly, but just HOW quickly? Alright, help me out someone. We've got some mighty big acronyms floating around the storm thread that I can't make sense of. What is UVM and VV? Thanks for dropping some knowledge on me! UVM is upward vertical motion. DVM would be downward vertical motion. VV is vertical velocity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Dude please stfu because I never said that. I said I thought it wouldn't snow outside the mountains. I see that I was wrong. I don't give a care about snow. Sorry, I seem to have touched a nerve. That's just what it seemed like to me after reading your posts so far this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rawlee Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 My concern is Mr. Cold Rain isn't on board it seems. I joined this forum right about the time he called his own 'shot' around Xmas a few years ago and we got bombed on IMBY, get on board man! An aside, I kind of have to agree with chapelhillwx, metalic dude seems hell bent on being the trollio of upcoming bust areas... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Dude please stfu because I never said that. I said I thought it wouldn't snow outside the mountains. I see that I was wrong. I don't give a care about snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Whatever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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