Brick Tamland Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Folks should remember with big wins come big losses. Someone is going to get plastered while 30 miles away someone is gonna get nothing. It will be fun watching it play out none the less. Not if I get nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Seems like the maps keep showing less and less snow around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Seems like the maps keep showing less and less snow around here. What happened to "Keep the hope alive!"? That sentiment dried up quickly. Relax, Brick. You've got a lot better chance of seeing snow than you have anytime in the past two years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 What happened to "Keep the hope alive!"? That sentiment dried up quickly. Relax, Brick. You've got a lot better chance of seeing snow than you have anytime in the past two years. This is what drives me crazy. He'll cash in better than 80% of this board and when the next one comes around he'll complain about how he never gets snow and it's so unfair. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Just some folks like Foothills and a few others are really talking up this storm, and then it seems the maps are showing less and less, and some folks keep saying like a dusting. I can't help but to think this might be a big time fail in my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Just some folks like Foothills and a few others are really talking up this storm, and then it seems the maps are showing less and less, and some folks keep saying like a dusting. I can't help but to think this might be a big time fail in my area. What is Foothills calling for in your area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 A weenie post (that's why it's here), but temps are staying colder than predicted today (for piedmont NC). Currently in the low 40s. We're been in the 40s for a long period now and if "if" we get snow may help drop ground temps a bit to help with some accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 A weenie post (that's why it's here), but temps are staying colder than predicted today (for piedmont NC). Currently in the low 40s. We're been in the 40s for a long period now and if "if" we get snow may help drop ground temps a bit to help with some accumulation. My temps have also been held down today. Only 42* currently and we were forecasted to reach 55. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Not too excited about much here in this area. I would expect a brief period of snow before the precip pulls out, regardless of what the model snow maps show (they are almost always overdone by a mile). And if the north trend continues, then I'll be even less optimistic. But hey, I'm just glad there's a chance of some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Suncat Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 I'm waiting to see all the beer, bread and milk run posts tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Not too excited about much here in this area. I would expect a brief period of snow before the precip pulls out, regardless of what the model snow maps show (they are almost always overdone by a mile). And if the north trend continues, then I'll be even less optimistic. But hey, I'm just glad there's a chance of some snow. You are making me sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Not too excited about much here in this area. I would expect a brief period of snow before the precip pulls out, regardless of what the model snow maps show (they are almost always overdone by a mile). And if the north trend continues, then I'll be even less optimistic. But hey, I'm just glad there's a chance of some snow. See my post in the storm thread. After 36 hours the 700mb low is decaying pretty quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Suncat Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 See my post in the storm thread. After 36 hours the 700mb low is decaying pretty quick. Yeah, and that's why I'm planning to be at work on Friday and suffocate my frustration with a Spam and cheese sandwich for lunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 See my post in the storm thread. After 36 hours the 700mb low is decaying pretty quick. I'm very skeptical myself of much acclamations here in n.foothills each run keeps pushing further north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 See my post in the storm thread. After 36 hours the 700mb low is decaying pretty quick. The question is, do we trust the low-resolution GFS or the higher-resolution NAM, during what is arguably its wheelhouse? (sub 48 hours out) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 It seems people are all over the place with what they think this will bring. It's a roller coaster ride. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Just some folks like Foothills and a few others are really talking up this storm, and then it seems the maps are showing less and less, and some folks keep saying like a dusting. I can't help but to think this might be a big time fail in my area. Foothills is not talking about your backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Foothills is not talking about your backyard. But he is saying most of NC when he talks about the heavy snow rates. He didn't say anywhere specific, but he keeps saying most of NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 It seems people are all over the place with what they think this will bring. It's a roller coaster ride. If you would learn a little about this hobby then you would be able to come up with your own conclusions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 But he is saying most of NC when he talks about the heavy snow rates. He didn't say anywhere specific, but he keeps saying most of NC. I guess it's up to you to think logically, then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 The question is, do we trust the low-resolution GFS or the higher-resolution NAM, during what is arguably its wheelhouse? (sub 48 hours out) In this case, I'm giving the nod to the Hi-Res NAM - and as strange as it feels to say that, it looks dialed in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 I'm very skeptical myself of much acclamations here in n.foothills each run keeps pushing further north? It's gonna be a quick hard hitting window for some. Mostly dynamic driven. So if you are just north of the 700mb low and have elevation you should be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 In this case, I'm giving the nod to the Hi-Res NAM - and as strange as it feels to say that, it looks dialed in. I agree, would love to have some more hi res models to view tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 In this case, I'm giving the nod to the Hi-Res NAM - and as strange as it feels to say that, it looks dialed in. Bevo, what are you thinking for our general area? I almost wish we were out of the money completely because then it wouldn't even tease me at all. It might just come down to precip rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kennedy Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 When is this system suppose to move in time wise? I think a lot of folks are going to be off guard with this event. Good Luck to everyone !!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 When is this system suppose to move in time wise? I think a lot of folks are going to be off guard with this event. Good Luck to everyone !!!!!!! Depends on your location. Wintry weather anywhere from Thursday afternoon/evening to very early Fri morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Looks like we could miss the forecasted high by a good 10 degrees today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 I be hatin Ima gonna get nada IMBY.. That's as of now. ULL's are like herding cats. They go where they decide to go, do what they decide to do. You might end up with all of it. Might end up with a now cast, and still not be sure What's pathetic is how the cold air can't make it into Ga. Not a good sign in the long range. Counting on a storm to bring it's own cold is a losing proposition most times. Two winters in a row where any artic blast stops at the Tenn. line is spooky scary. Sure it gets cold even in a bad winter, but no freezing in Cuba on the GFS, well that's Mayan Poxyclipz stuff, lol. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Bevo, what are you thinking for our general area? I almost wish we were out of the money completely because then it wouldn't even tease me at all. It might just come down to precip rates. Honestly, I don't know that we can call it yet. It's so close - but if I had to give an estimate, I'd say Hwy 11 will be the judge in this case. I would rather be sitting in TR than this close to I-85. Either way, there will be a lot of rain falling for a while. If the track and strength maintain what NAM showed earlier (and being optimistic), north of I-85 could see 1"-3" of a slushy mess after all is said and done (more as you reach the northern parts of upstate counties). Those rates look solid enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 Honestly, I don't know that we can call it yet. It's so close - but if I had to give an estimate, I'd say Hwy 11 will be the judge in this case. I would rather be sitting in TR than this close to I-85. Either way, there will be a lot of rain falling for a while. If the track and strength maintain what NAM showed earlier (and being optimistic), north of I-85 could see 1"-3" of a slushy mess after all is said and done (more as you reach the northern parts of upstate counties). Those rates look solid enough. The rates look solid, but it almost looks like an extension of the foothills snow shadow is going to make its way down here. Of course I'm not too sure; I've only lived in SC since the end of August. The way things are looking now I'd be happy to see snow fall and thrilled with a sloppy inch. There's a little weenie "mountain" about a mile from campus (Paris Mountain I think). Maybe they'll get a foot. Edit: I checked. It's somehow over 2000ft elevation. Weird Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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