January Banter

[metalicwx366]

Ok then. I'm done. Good luck on Friday.

[LithiaWx]

Ok then. I'm done. Good luck on Friday.

Thursday for Georgia and others dude.... How can you not know that if you have been tracking this thing.

[calculus1]

Dude... You need to chill out. You have made your point. There are other models than the 18 z gfs. Fact is some folks will see some snow and things look better now than 48 hours ago IMO. I doubt many will see much and fewer will see accumulation but leave it be man. You have been 5 posted before and on your way to it again. You're pissing off some quality members really quick.

 

Kudos, sir, for being willing to change your outlook with the advent of new information rather than just sticking to your original guns for ol' time's sake.  I can see that gleam of hope beginning to grow!  Nice SWS you posted in the other thread.  It shows you're not just looking for wilted flowers in a bed of roses.  (Does that even make sense?) 

 

It's not just quality members. It's starting to bother me too.

 

OK, that was hilarious!! 

[metalicwx366]

Thursday for Georgia and others dude.... How can you not know that if you have been tracking this thing.

I don't care about GA. I'm talking about NC and SC. Definitely the likelihood of some snow for N GA, Alabama, and TN, and MS.

[WilkesboroDude]

should i make a snowfall map and who would look at it

[NGaWxNerd]

I don't care about GA. I'm talking about NC and SC. Definitely the likelihood of some snow for N GA, Alabama, and TN, and MS.

Well, that's just rude. I bet you hate peach pie too.

[NGaWxNerd]

should i make a snowfall map and who would look at it

Make sure you color in the lines.

[metalicwx366]

Well, that's just rude. I bet you hate peach pie too.

Lol. I was referring to the Thursday mess. I have never had peach pie.

[NGaWxNerd]

Lol. I was referring to the Thursday mess. I have never had peach pie.

Ala mode is the only way to go.

[jburns]

Lol. I was referring to the Thursday mess. I have never had peach pie.

I have. She lived in Macon. mmm

[POWERSTROKE]

Ala mode is the only way to go.

Apple!

[NGaWxNerd]

SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHEASTPREFERENCE:  NON-NAM COMPROMISE WITH AVERAGE CONFIDENCETHE 12Z NAM WAS STRONGER THAN THE OTHER GUIDANCE ALOFT, WHICHLEADS TO A MORE NORTHERLY SURFACE LOW TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST. THE 12Z NAM LIES ON THE NORTHERN FRINGE OF THE 00Z GLOBAL ENSEMBLEGUIDANCE WITH ITS SURFACE LOW SOLUTION (WITH THE 12Z GFS NOT THATFAR BEHIND WITHIN THE SOUTHEAST), AND EVEN THE 09Z SREF ARGUES FORA WEAKER SOLUTION ALOFT/MORE DEPRESSED SURFACE LOW TRACK, WHICH ISWORTH NOTING CONSIDERING ITS NUMBER OF MEMBERS WITH WRF PHYSICS(THAT WOULD OTHERWISE FORECAST A STRONGER SOLUTION ALOFT).  THESYSTEM SHOULD SHEAR OUT/WEAKEN AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST,MOVING UNDER THE BASE OF THE EASTERN TROUGH AT THAT TIME, WHICHARGUES AGAINST A NAM-LIKE SOLUTION.  THE PREFERENCE IS FOR ANON-NAM COMPROMISE SOLUTION (WHICH EFFECTIVELY DEALS WITHUNCERTAINTIES ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE) WITH AVERAGE CONFIDENCECONSIDERING ITS PROGRESSIVE NATURE.

 

Dear NAM,

 

I really thought we had something good going here. You were showing me your goods and got me all excited. Now you're saying things like shear, uncertainty aloft, and your weakening. I feel like you have one foot out the door after a day of foreplay. I'm hurt and frustrated.

 

Kat

 

 Bold Copied from Dacula on discussion board...posting here so I could make smart a** comments and not clog up the pipes.

[LithiaWx]

Kudos, sir, for being willing to change your outlook with the advent of new information rather than just sticking to your original guns for ol' time's sake.  I can see that gleam of hope beginning to grow!  Nice SWS you posted in the other thread.  It shows you're not looking just looking for wilted flowers in a bed of roses.  (Does that even make sense?) 

 

 

OK, that was hilarious!! 

Thank you.

[frazdaddy]

There's pie?

[NGaWxNerd]

There's pie?

With snow cream if you want to wait a day or two.

[rduwx]

SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST
PREFERENCE:  NON-NAM COMPROMISE WITH AVERAGE CONFIDENCE

THE 12Z NAM WAS STRONGER THAN THE OTHER GUIDANCE ALOFT, WHICH
LEADS TO A MORE NORTHERLY SURFACE LOW TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST. 
THE 12Z NAM LIES ON THE NORTHERN FRINGE OF THE 00Z GLOBAL ENSEMBLE
GUIDANCE WITH ITS SURFACE LOW SOLUTION (WITH THE 12Z GFS NOT THAT
FAR BEHIND WITHIN THE SOUTHEAST), AND EVEN THE 09Z SREF ARGUES FOR
A WEAKER SOLUTION ALOFT/MORE DEPRESSED SURFACE LOW TRACK, WHICH IS
WORTH NOTING CONSIDERING ITS NUMBER OF MEMBERS WITH WRF PHYSICS
(THAT WOULD OTHERWISE FORECAST A STRONGER SOLUTION ALOFT).  THE
SYSTEM SHOULD SHEAR OUT/WEAKEN AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST,
MOVING UNDER THE BASE OF THE EASTERN TROUGH AT THAT TIME, WHICH
ARGUES AGAINST A NAM-LIKE SOLUTION.  THE PREFERENCE IS FOR A
NON-NAM COMPROMISE SOLUTION (WHICH EFFECTIVELY DEALS WITH
UNCERTAINTIES ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE) WITH AVERAGE CONFIDENCE
CONSIDERING ITS PROGRESSIVE NATURE.

Dear NAM,

I really thought we had something good going here. You were showing me your goods and got me all excited. Now you're saying things like shear, uncertainty aloft, and your weakening. I feel like you have one foot out the door after a day of foreplay. I'm hurt and frustrated.

Kat

Bold Copied from Dacula on discussion board...posting here so I could make smart a** comments and not clog up the pipes.

LOL!

[calculus1]

My first call...

Purple:6-12

Blue:1-5

Pink: Under 1inch

Black: Wildcard...heavier accumulation possible per radar watching.

 

Wilkesborodude, my favorite part of your map is how you made the little job south and east to grab Hickory and my dot off Burger's map.  Nice!  I hope you're right, but 1-5 is quite the range in that blue section.  I've never attempted to make a snow map for any storm (didn't even need one last year), so I will grant that it's a difficult exercise.

 

One thing I might adjust in your map is to extend the southwestern tip of your snowfall to include more of north GA, particularly to the west.  And I think your black area has a decent shot to be in your blue category too.  Not bad, though.

[Cold Rain]

Eight years ago today, my wife and I were sleeping.  About 4 hours later our son was born and taken immediately to the NICU with breathing and heart issues.  There he stayed for 4 weeks.  After 2 surgeries to open his airway, we happily took him home.  About 2 weeks later, his airway closed again, and we for the second time, found ourselves back in the hospital.

 

Another surgery re-opened his airway, but he was going to have to have surgery to close the hole in his heart.  It was the worst news in the world when the doctor told us that because of an ancillary condition in his heart, the surgery, which had before looked fairly straightforward, would only have about a 60% chance of success.  There was nothing else they could do.

 

After about 5 hours of surgery, the surgeon came out and told us his heart looked much better than they had initially thought and that he came through with flying colors.  Five weeks later, we took our boy home, on oxygen, and that was the last time we had to stay in the hospital.

 

Eventually, he came off the oxygen, and after having been fed via NG and G-tube for 3 years, he learned how to eat on his own.  And aside from some language delays, due to his severe hearing loss, and some developmental delays, he is a healthy, happy eight year old who can run and play and laugh and cry and do all the things that little boys do.  Life is not normal in the sense of what having a normal child would be, and it's not always easy (in fact, given great sensory disregulation, it's quite hard), but it's our normal and we have much to be thankful for.  We praise God for Alex, and we treasure every moment we have with him.

 

Whether it snows or not or whether we sometimes disagree about things, there is much to be thankful for, , much to be happy about, and much to enjoy.  I enjoy coming on this board every day and bantering with the same good people that also happen to show up every day.  Whether we ever meet or whether our paths never cross, I'm thankful for this place, and in some weird way, I consider you all to be my friends.

 

Ok, mushy stuff over...back to weather and all the stuff that goes with it.

[calculus1]

figured what the blank right... here's a first call

 

even though this upper-low isn't a powerhouse capable of producing an expansive cold-core, these are some heavy a$$ precip rates and the thermal profile across Western NC will be overcome... some people will get popped

 

I'm as big of a snow weenie as anyone else, but don't hold the messenger at weenie   if this isn't IYBY friendly 

 

Thanks for sharing your map, Andy.  You don't need my approval as a weather enthusiast, but it looks pretty good.  I appreciate it!

[metalicwx366]

SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST
PREFERENCE:  NON-NAM COMPROMISE WITH AVERAGE CONFIDENCE

THE 12Z NAM WAS STRONGER THAN THE OTHER GUIDANCE ALOFT, WHICH
LEADS TO A MORE NORTHERLY SURFACE LOW TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST. 
THE 12Z NAM LIES ON THE NORTHERN FRINGE OF THE 00Z GLOBAL ENSEMBLE
GUIDANCE WITH ITS SURFACE LOW SOLUTION (WITH THE 12Z GFS NOT THAT
FAR BEHIND WITHIN THE SOUTHEAST), AND EVEN THE 09Z SREF ARGUES FOR
A WEAKER SOLUTION ALOFT/MORE DEPRESSED SURFACE LOW TRACK, WHICH IS
WORTH NOTING CONSIDERING ITS NUMBER OF MEMBERS WITH WRF PHYSICS
(THAT WOULD OTHERWISE FORECAST A STRONGER SOLUTION ALOFT).  THE
SYSTEM SHOULD SHEAR OUT/WEAKEN AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST,
MOVING UNDER THE BASE OF THE EASTERN TROUGH AT THAT TIME, WHICH
ARGUES AGAINST A NAM-LIKE SOLUTION.  THE PREFERENCE IS FOR A
NON-NAM COMPROMISE SOLUTION (WHICH EFFECTIVELY DEALS WITH
UNCERTAINTIES ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE) WITH AVERAGE CONFIDENCE
CONSIDERING ITS PROGRESSIVE NATURE.

Dear NAM,

I really thought we had something good going here. You were showing me your goods and got me all excited. Now you're saying things like shear, uncertainty aloft, and your weakening. I feel like you have one foot out the door after a day of foreplay. I'm hurt and frustrated.

Kat

Bold Copied from Dacula on discussion board...posting here so I could make smart a** comments and not clog up the pipes.

Don't worry expect half a foot of snow. Models have a shear bias.

[calculus1]

Whether it snows or not or whether we sometimes disagree about things, there is much to be thankful for, , much to be happy about, and much to enjoy.  I enjoy coming on this board every day and bantering with the same good people that also happen to show up every day.  Whether we ever meet or whether our paths never cross, I'm thankful for this place, and in some weird way, I consider you all to be my friends.

 

Ok, mushy stuff over...back to weather and all the stuff that goes with it.

 

Amen, sir!  We complain about a lot of petty stuff from time to time.  (I think it's Stovepipe who reminds us of all our First World Problems with his memes!)  We do have much to be thankful for.  My middle son also spent the first two weeks of his life in the NICU (due to a lung issue).  I can relate somewhat to your experiences, and I'm so thankful to God for him and my other children.

 

This forum is a great place to hang out.  I'm probably on here way too much, but I tend to like you guys too.  It's a lot of fun getting to know each member's Internet personalities, at least!  Thanks for sharing, CR.

[Carvers Gap]

Eight years ago today, my wife and I were sleeping.  About 4 hours later our son was born and taken immediately to the NICU with breathing and heart issues.  There he stayed for 4 weeks.  After 2 surgeries to open his airway, we happily took him home.  About 2 weeks later, his airway closed again, and we for the second time, found ourselves back in the hospital.

 

Another surgery re-opened his airway, but he was going to have to have surgery to close the hole in his heart.  It was the worst news in the world when the doctor told us that because of an ancillary condition in his heart, the surgery, which had before looked fairly straightforward, would only have about a 60% chance of success.  There was nothing else they could do.

 

After about 5 hours of surgery, the surgeon came out and told us his heart looked much better than they had initially thought and that he came through with flying colors.  Five weeks later, we took our boy home, on oxygen, and that was the last time we had to stay in the hospital.

 

Eventually, he came off the oxygen, and after having been fed via NG and G-tube for 3 years, he learned how to eat on his own.  And aside from some language delays, due to his severe hearing loss, and some developmental delays, he is a healthy, happy eight year old who can run and play and laugh and cry and do all the things that little boys do.  Life is not normal in the sense of what having a normal child would be, and it's not always easy (in fact, given great sensory disregulation, it's quite hard), but it's our normal and we have much to be thankful for.  We praise God for Alex, and we treasure every moment we have with him.

 

Whether it snows or not or whether we sometimes disagree about things, there is much to be thankful for, , much to be happy about, and much to enjoy.  I enjoy coming on this board every day and bantering with the same good people that also happen to show up every day.  Whether we ever meet or whether our paths never cross, I'm thankful for this place, and in some weird way, I consider you all to be my friends.

 

Ok, mushy stuff over...back to weather and all the stuff that goes with it.

+ 10,000

[Disc]

Eight years ago today, my wife and I were sleeping.  About 4 hours later our son was born and taken immediately to the NICU with breathing and heart issues.  There he stayed for 4 weeks.  After 2 surgeries to open his airway, we happily took him home.  About 2 weeks later, his airway closed again, and we for the second time, found ourselves back in the hospital.

 

Another surgery re-opened his airway, but he was going to have to have surgery to close the hole in his heart.  It was the worst news in the world when the doctor told us that because of an ancillary condition in his heart, the surgery, which had before looked fairly straightforward, would only have about a 60% chance of success.  There was nothing else they could do.

 

After about 5 hours of surgery, the surgeon came out and told us his heart looked much better than they had initially thought and that he came through with flying colors.  Five weeks later, we took our boy home, on oxygen, and that was the last time we had to stay in the hospital.

 

Eventually, he came off the oxygen, and after having been fed via NG and G-tube for 3 years, he learned how to eat on his own.  And aside from some language delays, due to his severe hearing loss, and some developmental delays, he is a healthy, happy eight year old who can run and play and laugh and cry and do all the things that little boys do.  Life is not normal in the sense of what having a normal child would be, and it's not always easy (in fact, given great sensory disregulation, it's quite hard), but it's our normal and we have much to be thankful for.  We praise God for Alex, and we treasure every moment we have with him.

 

Whether it snows or not or whether we sometimes disagree about things, there is much to be thankful for, , much to be happy about, and much to enjoy.  I enjoy coming on this board every day and bantering with the same good people that also happen to show up every day.  Whether we ever meet or whether our paths never cross, I'm thankful for this place, and in some weird way, I consider you all to be my friends.

 

Ok, mushy stuff over...back to weather and all the stuff that goes with it.

Well spoken! + ∞

And at the end of the day, we're all weather nuts! 

[rduwx]

Eight years ago today, my wife and I were sleeping. About 4 hours later our son was born and taken immediately to the NICU with breathing and heart issues. There he stayed for 4 weeks. After 2 surgeries to open his airway, we happily took him home. About 2 weeks later, his airway closed again, and we for the second time, found ourselves back in the hospital.

Another surgery re-opened his airway, but he was going to have to have surgery to close the hole in his heart. It was the worst news in the world when the doctor told us that because of an ancillary condition in his heart, the surgery, which had before looked fairly straightforward, would only have about a 60% chance of success. There was nothing else they could do.

After about 5 hours of surgery, the surgeon came out and told us his heart looked much better than they had initially thought and that he came through with flying colors. Five weeks later, we took our boy home, on oxygen, and that was the last time we had to stay in the hospital.

Eventually, he came off the oxygen, and after having been fed via NG and G-tube for 3 years, he learned how to eat on his own. And aside from some language delays, due to his severe hearing loss, and some developmental delays, he is a healthy, happy eight year old who can run and play and laugh and cry and do all the things that little boys do. Life is not normal in the sense of what having a normal child would be, and it's not always easy (in fact, given great sensory disregulation, it's quite hard), but it's our normal and we have much to be thankful for. We praise God for Alex, and we treasure every moment we have with him.

Whether it snows or not or whether we sometimes disagree about things, there is much to be thankful for, , much to be happy about, and much to enjoy. I enjoy coming on this board every day and bantering with the same good people that also happen to show up every day. Whether we ever meet or whether our paths never cross, I'm thankful for this place, and in some weird way, I consider you all to be my friends.

Ok, mushy stuff over...back to weather and all the stuff that goes with it.

Where's the like button? I'm glad Alex is doing well!

[Bevo]

Eight years ago today, my wife and I were sleeping.  About 4 hours later our son was born and taken immediately to the NICU with breathing and heart issues.  There he stayed for 4 weeks.  After 2 surgeries to open his airway, we happily took him home.  About 2 weeks later, his airway closed again, and we for the second time, found ourselves back in the hospital.

 

Another surgery re-opened his airway, but he was going to have to have surgery to close the hole in his heart.  It was the worst news in the world when the doctor told us that because of an ancillary condition in his heart, the surgery, which had before looked fairly straightforward, would only have about a 60% chance of success.  There was nothing else they could do.

 

After about 5 hours of surgery, the surgeon came out and told us his heart looked much better than they had initially thought and that he came through with flying colors.  Five weeks later, we took our boy home, on oxygen, and that was the last time we had to stay in the hospital.

 

Eventually, he came off the oxygen, and after having been fed via NG and G-tube for 3 years, he learned how to eat on his own.  And aside from some language delays, due to his severe hearing loss, and some developmental delays, he is a healthy, happy eight year old who can run and play and laugh and cry and do all the things that little boys do.  Life is not normal in the sense of what having a normal child would be, and it's not always easy (in fact, given great sensory disregulation, it's quite hard), but it's our normal and we have much to be thankful for.  We praise God for Alex, and we treasure every moment we have with him.

 

Whether it snows or not or whether we sometimes disagree about things, there is much to be thankful for, , much to be happy about, and much to enjoy.  I enjoy coming on this board every day and bantering with the same good people that also happen to show up every day.  Whether we ever meet or whether our paths never cross, I'm thankful for this place, and in some weird way, I consider you all to be my friends.

 

Ok, mushy stuff over...back to weather and all the stuff that goes with it.

 

Just read this to my wife - good on you and your family.

 

Amen, sir!  We complain about a lot of petty stuff from time to time.  (I think it's Stovepipe who reminds us of all our First World Problems with his memes!)  We do have much to be thankful for.  My middle son also spent the first two weeks of his life in the NICU (due to a lung issue).  I can relate somewhat to your experiences, and I'm so thankful to God for him and my other children.

 

This forum is a great place to hang out.  I'm probably on here way too much, but I tend to like you guys too.  It's a lot of fun getting to know each member's Internet personalities, at least!  Thanks for sharing, CR.

 

Str8cashhomey can attest - my internet personality is about as close to my actual personality as one could get.  Some will like it, and some will not.  But in the end, you will at least get honesty from me.

[sparkync]

Well spoken! + ∞

And at the end of the day, we're all weather nuts!

[WilkesboroDude]

Play nice in here, 0z may very well be emotional. Goodnight.

 

[CAD_Wedge_NC]

Eight years ago today, my wife and I were sleeping.  About 4 hours later our son was born and taken immediately to the NICU with breathing and heart issues.  There he stayed for 4 weeks.  After 2 surgeries to open his airway, we happily took him home.  About 2 weeks later, his airway closed again, and we for the second time, found ourselves back in the hospital.

 

Another surgery re-opened his airway, but he was going to have to have surgery to close the hole in his heart.  It was the worst news in the world when the doctor told us that because of an ancillary condition in his heart, the surgery, which had before looked fairly straightforward, would only have about a 60% chance of success.  There was nothing else they could do.

 

After about 5 hours of surgery, the surgeon came out and told us his heart looked much better than they had initially thought and that he came through with flying colors.  Five weeks later, we took our boy home, on oxygen, and that was the last time we had to stay in the hospital.

 

Eventually, he came off the oxygen, and after having been fed via NG and G-tube for 3 years, he learned how to eat on his own.  And aside from some language delays, due to his severe hearing loss, and some developmental delays, he is a healthy, happy eight year old who can run and play and laugh and cry and do all the things that little boys do.  Life is not normal in the sense of what having a normal child would be, and it's not always easy (in fact, given great sensory disregulation, it's quite hard), but it's our normal and we have much to be thankful for.  We praise God for Alex, and we treasure every moment we have with him.

 

Whether it snows or not or whether we sometimes disagree about things, there is much to be thankful for, , much to be happy about, and much to enjoy.  I enjoy coming on this board every day and bantering with the same good people that also happen to show up every day.  Whether we ever meet or whether our paths never cross, I'm thankful for this place, and in some weird way, I consider you all to be my friends.

 

Ok, mushy stuff over...back to weather and all the stuff that goes with it.

Wow, glad he is ok now....... That must have been a very difficult time...... When my daughter was born she weighed just 1 pound and 15oz and now she is a healthy 23 year old married woman. I give thanks every day because I know that some folks were not as fortunate.

[burgertime]

Eight years ago today, my wife and I were sleeping.  About 4 hours later our son was born and taken immediately to the NICU with breathing and heart issues.  There he stayed for 4 weeks.  After 2 surgeries to open his airway, we happily took him home.  About 2 weeks later, his airway closed again, and we for the second time, found ourselves back in the hospital.

 

Another surgery re-opened his airway, but he was going to have to have surgery to close the hole in his heart.  It was the worst news in the world when the doctor told us that because of an ancillary condition in his heart, the surgery, which had before looked fairly straightforward, would only have about a 60% chance of success.  There was nothing else they could do.

 

After about 5 hours of surgery, the surgeon came out and told us his heart looked much better than they had initially thought and that he came through with flying colors.  Five weeks later, we took our boy home, on oxygen, and that was the last time we had to stay in the hospital.

 

Eventually, he came off the oxygen, and after having been fed via NG and G-tube for 3 years, he learned how to eat on his own.  And aside from some language delays, due to his severe hearing loss, and some developmental delays, he is a healthy, happy eight year old who can run and play and laugh and cry and do all the things that little boys do.  Life is not normal in the sense of what having a normal child would be, and it's not always easy (in fact, given great sensory disregulation, it's quite hard), but it's our normal and we have much to be thankful for.  We praise God for Alex, and we treasure every moment we have with him.

 

Whether it snows or not or whether we sometimes disagree about things, there is much to be thankful for, , much to be happy about, and much to enjoy.  I enjoy coming on this board every day and bantering with the same good people that also happen to show up every day.  Whether we ever meet or whether our paths never cross, I'm thankful for this place, and in some weird way, I consider you all to be my friends.

 

Ok, mushy stuff over...back to weather and all the stuff that goes with it.

 

That feel..

 

[sparkync]

Amen !!!