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January Banter


WilkesboroDude

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:lol: I've said all along, I'll take my chances with normal temps and precip. The problem is by the time the moisture gets close, it runs into those darn portals and dries up....sigh.  It would be a sweet change of pace to see the southern stream ramp up just a tad and that pesky ridge to be displaced to my south.  ^_^

 

 I am going to go out on a limb and say that the portals might not be the problem, as you've gotten 4 times as much falling frozen in the last 3 years than I have :)  I think it has more to do with the storm tracks.  If the train only comes once or twice every few years, it's important where they laid the tracks, lol.  I haven't been able to sled since the zr of 2005.  That's freakin' pitiful, having to hope for a danged ice storm, when what I want is sleet and snow :)  And I hate ice storms with a screaming passion, but they seem easier to get....though that is far from easy!!  T

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Bojangles wise...for me...chicken biscuit, bo rounds, season fries,

I liked their pink lemonade. But they removed it. Also liked their roasted chicken bites but they limited the quantity so I stopped getting them.

Salads are okay too.

Try some cheese on that chicken biscuit some time. Good stuff. Chicken N Cheese biscuit combo.

BTW, I'd keep the pink lemonade thing on the down lo. ;)

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Here is the GFS AFD...

 

AS OF 215 PM EST SUNDAY...THE MEDIUM RANGE IS FRAUGHT WITH
UNCERTAINTY...AS IT USUALLY IS DURING THE WINTER WHEN THE PATTERN IS
FORECAST TO CHANGE DRAMATICALLY. FOR THAT REASON...WE HAVE PLAYED IT
VERY CONSERVATIVELY...PARTICULARLY FOR LATE WEEK.  AT THE START OF
THE PERIOD ON THURSDAY...HPC DEPICTS A SURFACE WAVE MOVING PAST WELL
TO OUR SOUTH. THE GENERAL IDEA IS THAT A RIBBON OF DEEPER MOISTURE
WOULD BE STRUNG OUT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE FCST AREA WITH
SOME MID LEVEL FORCING THAT COULD RESULT IN SOME LIGHT RAIN. WENT
WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE POP OVER NE GEORGIA AND SC TO AGREE WITH
NEIGHBORS...BUT THIS WOULD NOT REALLY BE SIGNIFICANT ANYWAY. TEMPS
WOULD BE WARM ENOUGH THAT IT WOULD ONLY BE LIGHT RAIN.

THE REAL PROBLEM COMES TO LIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY AS
THE LONG WAVE UPPER TROF DEEPENS OVER EASTERN NORTH AMERICA. BOTH
THE GFS AND ECMWF HAVE SOME MEASURE OF A SOUTHERN STREAM ORPHAN
UPPER SYSTEM OVER THE SRN PLAINS ON THURSDAY...WHICH DAMPENS AS IT
IS BEING REABSORBED INTO THE MEAN UPPER TROF BY FRIDAY. AS THE
SYSTEM COMES ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST...FAVORABLE MID/UPPER SUPPORT AND
MOISTURE WOULD FORCE PRECIP DEVELOPMENT IN AN ENVIRONMENT THAT HAS
FAVORABLE THICKNESS AND PROFILES ACROSS THE WRN CAROLINAS AND NE
GEORGIA SUCH THAT ANY PRECIP WOULD BE SOMETHING OTHER THAN RAIN. THE
GFS APPEARED TO BE SOMEWHAT OF AN OUTLIER UNTIL THE 12Z RUN OF THE
ECMWF CAME ON BOARD WITH THE SAME GENERAL IDEA. BECAUSE THIS IS A
RELATIVELY NEW DEVELOPMENT AND THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY
WITH STRENGTH AND TIMING OF A WEAKENING SYSTEM...THINK IT BEST FOR
NOW TO NOT INTRODUCE ANY CHANCE OF A WINTER WEATHER EVENT FOR THIS
CYCLE. IF THE MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT...THEN WE CAN HOP ON BOARD
WITH THE NEXT CYCLE.

THE REST OF THE MEDIUM RANGE FOR THE WEEKEND LOOKS NON-DESCRIPT WITH
A BROAD LONG WAVE TROF OVER THE EAST AND HIGH PRESSURE OFF TO THE
NORTHWEST. TEMPS WERE KEPT CLOSE TO CLIMO...BUT IF ANYTHING THE FCST
IS TOO WARM...DEPENDING ON HOW THE EARLY FRIDAY SYSTEM WORKS OUT.
EXPECT CHANGES...PERHAPS LARGE CHANGES...TO THIS FCST.
 

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